Grand National Betting Tip: Can Pendra win another Grand National for legendary owner JP McManus?
April 05, 2017
The Grand National is packed with drama and romance. The story behind the winner, is always a tear jerker, and this year will be no different.
With the great race being modified by Aintree, most punters tend to focus on the head of the Grand National betting market, but looking at the SP (Starting Price) of winners for the last 10 years, less fancied horses can and often do win.
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With this in mind, of those at a bigger price it is well worth looking at the Charlie Longsdon trained Pendra for this years event.
Pendra ran in last year’s Grand National and finished 13th of the 39 runners. This doesn’t look like a compelling argument to back him this year, but upon closer examination, there are some positive reasons to do so.
Going into last year’s race he hadn’t run for nearly four months and was going well until blundering at the Canal Turn and then being eased when his chance had gone.
His usual tactics of being near the pace had been changed to being held up. This year, Pendra is going into the race with a recent run when finishing a brilliant 2nd (blinkered first time) in the Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup for Amateur Riders at the Cheltenham Festival. He carried top weight that day and may have done just too much, before getting collared towards the line.
Pendra throughout his career has been highly tried and competed in top class staying Chases, but remains lightly raced and doesn’t look fully exposed over this extended trip.
The going across the Aintree Festival is likely to be close to good; Pendra’s form on this type of going reads as 3 runs, 2 wins and 1 second. Providing they don’t go a suicidal pace upfront, I expect Pendra to be near the lead and forcing the pace with the likes of The Last Samuri.
He will look to push on and get those behind to go quicker than they want, before using his stamina and light weight of 10st 7lb to see him through to the winning line.
Bookmakers compete for business on the National and it’s well worth taking advantage of the extra place offers that are available with bet365 and BetVictor who are paying out on 6 places!
ITV are showing the Grand National this year and the off time is 5:15pm.