Betting Tips

Alan Kelly's Horse Racing Tips for Carlisle & Wincanton on Thursday

Carlisle and Wincanton both stage competitive jump meetings on Thursday afternoon in Britain. The ground is currently good to soft at the two venues, conditions which should suit most of the runners taking part. 

We will provide Horse Racing tips, previews and predictions for two races from the Cumbrian racecourse and one from the track in the Somerset countryside.

“Tip of the Day” – Gemirande – 3.20pm Carlisle

An easy winner over fences at Pau when trained in France, the unexposed six-year-old can open his account over the bigger obstacles for trainer Venetia Williams in a race where the hat-trick-seeking Ard Chros looks the main danger.

Deep Charm (Next Best) – 2.10pm Carlisle

All six runners have a chance in this 2m 5f handicap chase, in particular  last month’s Kelso scorer Upandatit. However, back on this forecast good to soft ground, the Stuart Coltherd-trained Deep Charm is fancied to get back to winning ways.

The Kayf Tara gelding did win on heavy ground at Hexham in December but failed to handle similar conditions at Wetherby last time, not helped by a moderate round of jumping which prevented the eight-year-old from getting competitive.

Such were the testing conditions at the Yorkshire track that only four of the 12 runners finished on that occasion. And it should be safe to put a line through that below-par effort from Sam Coltherd’s mount who is still unexposed over fences on just his fifth start.

Gemirande (NAP) – 3.20pm Carlisle

On her first start for 16 months, the Lucinda Russell-trained mare Calle Malva, a winner on her most recent outing at Newcastle, is likely to need this run after such a long absence. Ard Chros has been in excellent form of late and will be fancied to defy his 7lb penalty for winning here just over a week ago. But this looks a good opportunity for top weight Gemirande to record his second victory from four starts over fences.

That first win came at Pau when trained in France. But the gelding did win over hurdles on his second start for trainer Venetia Williams in a novice hurdle at Wetherby. The son of Al Namix finished a length and a half second on his first start over fences for Williams at Southwell, before failing to repeat that form on very heavy ground at Chepstow last time.

The mount of Charlie Deutsch is potentially much better class than his five rivals and is expected to end the winning run of Ard Chaos.

Fevertre (Longshot) – 4.55pm Wincanton

Having his first start for three months, this could be the ideal time to catch the Nicky Martin-trained Fevertre at his best, as was the case when the Sans Frontieres gelding just failed to win at Carlisle over this trip back in November, the seven-year-old’s first run of the season.

The half length winner on that occasion, Stolen Money, who was in receipt of 7lb from Fevertre, went on to land a hat-trick with victories at Haydock and Ayr and is now rated some 17lb higher.

Fevertre’s most recent start when beaten a long way at Catterick can be put down to some poor jumping. The mount of James Bowen is sure to have been well schooled during his break and a reproduction of that Carlisle effort should see the gelding go close.

Colin Tizzard’s Lanspark has to be a danger following wins at Chepstow and Plumpton. While Flowing Cadenza appreciated the return to hurdles with a comfortable all-the-way victory here last month and can still prove competitive off a 7lb higher mark.

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