Kinema – 2.55 Leicester
Kinema deserves a change of luck after some fine placed efforts and is tipped for a return to the winner’s enclosure at Leicester today.
Alan Swinbank’s charge took a steep rise in the weights after winning at Carlisle in June and has continued to improve with some excellent performances to finish in the money on his last four outings. The four-year-old goes in the Sir Gordon Richards Handicap at 2.55pm and looks a good bet at 15/2 on Betfred.
Kinema is taken to beat the early favourite Fabricate who is on a hattrick. Michael Bell’s progressive three-year-old has raced three times and won at Salisbury and Haydock in May. The son of Makfi is up 9lb for his last win and perhaps in need of an outing following his five month absence, we wouldn’t want to risk the bank at his current odds of 7/4.
Top Tug will find underfoot conditions in his favour and can be expected to run his usual race. But Sir Michael Stoute’s entry has proved expensive to follow being beaten favourite on three occasions this season and could represent another risky investment at only 2/1.
Saab Almanal looked to have potential last term. The Dubawi colt produced solid efforts to place in a couple of handicaps following his maiden win at Newbury but hasn’t been seen for over 12 months since finishing well down the field in a big handicap at Newmarket.
Norab is an interesting contender. He won three times for Marco Botti last season and was bought to race from Bernard Llewellyn’s yard in August. The gelding was tried unsuccessfully in the Cesarewitch by his new connections and is dropped back to a much shorter trip today. However, Norab’s winning form is at 13.5 furlongs and beyond and this may prove a little too sharp.
Magic Dancer has had plenty of chances since landing his maiden at Windsor last year and trainer Ralph Beckett is trying cheekpieces and a shorter trip in an effort to find a winning formula for the three-year-old. Dual all-weather scorer Noble Gift has put up some decent performances on turf without being good enough to trouble the judge but must bounce back from a disappointing run at Newbury in September when finishing ten places behind Top Tug who opposes again today.
1pt win Kinema – 15/2 Betfred