Betting Tips

Liverpool vs Southampton – Backing draw HT/Liverpool FT at 19/5 with BetVictor

Despite struggling at times this season, Liverpool’s victory over Watford on Monday night has put them in a very commanding position to qualify for the Champions League next season. But the Reds have struggled for consistency and have already lost to next opponents Southampton at Anfield this season.

Shane Long’s late counter attacking goal in the EFL Cup semi final was a real sucker punch for Jurgen Klopp’s men, yet the different scenario the two sides find themselves in now could be a big advantage for the hosts.

Claude Puel’s Saints are sleepwalking to the end of the season, winning just four of their last ten and failing to do so in three. Their performance against lowly Hull City last week brought boos from the home fans, and their manager is now under increasing pressure.

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The form of January signing Manolo Gabbiadini has dried up since an injury, with the Italian having previously scored six goals early on in his career at St Mary’s. The team has also forged a new identity under Puel, as a slower more technical side than under Mauricio Pochettino or Ronald Koeman, when they adopted a similar high-pressing style than Klopp plays at Liverpool.

That means they will be less likely to leave spaces in behind for the Reds to exploit, but they could also get overrun and picked off.

But our Premier League bet here is a narrow home win because Liverpool may struggle to hit their optimum tempo with the continued absence of captain Jordan Henderson.

Backing draw HT/Liverpool FT at 19/5 with BetVictor
Former Saints star Adam Lallana returned from injury against Watford, and while he replaced a concerned-looking Philippe Coutinho, the Brazilian should be fit to play.

Southampton will be very organised, with Oriol Romeu sitting in front of the defence. If Liverpool can get in behind the Spaniard, their attacking players Coutinho, Sadio Mane and Roberto Firmino should cause problems, but it is down to the likes of Emre Can and Gini Wijnaldum to force the issue from deep. Without Henderson there, Southampton could exploit space on the counter again.

Of all the Champions League-chasing teams, Liverpool appear to be handling the pressure best at present. They will have to step up better than they have in similar games at Anfield this season, but we are backing them for a late win.