The standout game on the early slate this week is without a doubt the Buffalo Bills heading to Miami to take on the Dolphins.
You can catch the game live on Sky, with a 6pm start, and we’ve got an 18/1 bet builder combining the big names that are going to be on show.
Bills @ Dolphins 18/1 NFL Bet Builder
I’ve focused the bet builder this week around a win for the Buffalo Bills, backing them on the handicap line and alongside that, I’ve put together strong nights for three players, two from the Dolphins and one from the Bills.
Here are the four selections that combine on the bet.
Bills -5.5 Handicap
If anyone doubted the Bills as favourites for the Super Bowl this season, then those have probably gone out of the window after two weeks of the season. They’ve been electric, and best of all, it looks like they’ve got another gear to go into, should they need it.
An explosive offensive group, led by Josh Allen, combined with elite defensive players gives them an all-round balance, they can beat you with and without the ball.
To beat the Bills, you have to slow down their scoring, and I just don’t see how the Dolphins are going to do that. They won last weekend, but shipped 38 points to the Ravens, this Bills offensive group is a level up from that one.
Stefon Diggs 90+ Receiving Yards
Diggs has been electric to start the season, he opened with 122 receiving yards against the LA Rams and backed that up with 148 receiving yards against the Tennessee Titans last weekend. He didn’t play the fourth quarter of last weekend’s game, just to make his numbers look even more impressive.
With 20 receptions in those games combined, he’s guaranteed to get the ball a lot, and the Dolphins won’t put fear into him with their defensive group. Averaging some way over than 10 yards per carry, his current number of targets makes this line look low.
There is no reason to think Diggs won’t reproduce three figures again here, but we don’t need him to do that, 90+ is the line we are taking, and that looks well within his reach.
Tyreek Hill 80+ Receiving Yards
Like Diggs, Hill has flown out of the gates in his new home of Miami. He started the season with 94 yards against the Patriots, but that was a game in which the Dolphins were winning and didn’t need to target him as much, playing more on the ground.
Last weekend, he bagged 190 receiving yards, in a game that the Dolphins were chasing and taking risks, so were throwing the ball a lot more.
The line of 80 yards covers us, just incase the Dolphins lead for a period, though I don’t think they will. I expect more of a game like the one last weekend, so they will have to target Hill more, and that should lead him to a three figure yardage for the game, which would be comfortably enough.
Raheem Mostert 45+ Rushing Yards
We round off with another player from the Dolphins, Raheem Mostert. He was unusually quiet in the first week of the season, especially considering that the Dolphins were running the ball a lot, as they had a lead.
Last weekend saw him bounce back, in a game where the Dolphins were down by a lot at one point, so weren’t using the run as much as they are likely to here. He finished that game with 51 yards on the ground, plus a further 28 in the air, this is more like the involvement I’m expecting to see in this game.
The Bills are great in the air, so it would be no surprise to see the Dolphins run the ball quite a lot in the first half of this game, until they need to chase it. Mostert is at the heart of that, and can hopefully pick up more than 45 rushing yards to round us off.