Racing Tip: Just The Judge Pretty Polly Value At 8-1

Just The Judge is tipped to win an open looking Pretty Polly Stakes at 4.20 Curragh on Sunday.
At 8/1 a £10 bet would return £90

Just The Judge For Pretty Polly Stakes

Sunday’s Group 1 Newbridge Silverware Pretty Polly Stakes at the Curragh, unlike Australia’s Irish Derby demolition job at odds of 1-8, looks a wide-open contest in which the majority of the ten-strong field can be given a chance, headed by the Roger Varian-trained Ambivalent who will be attempting to land back-to-back victories following her half length win over 2012 Investec Oaks winner Was 12 months ago.

The 5-year-old mare heads the betting at a best price 100-30 with Ladbrokes on the back of her win in York’s Middleton Stakes, a run which was followed with a creditable third behind Cirrus Des Aigles and Flintshire in Epsom’s Coronation Cup earlier this month. The daughter of Derby winner Authorized is sure to run her usual game race but with a win record of two from her last ten makes limited appeal at short odds.

The Aidan O’Brien-trained pair of Venus De Milo and Marvellous will both have plenty of support although the former has looked exposed at this level ( winner of two Group 3 races ) while the latter’s surprise Irish 1000 Guineas victory does not look strong Classic form after the runner up was subsequently well beaten in Royal Ascot’s Coronation Stakes. The Roger Charlton mare Thistle Bird has some cracking runs to her name but is also capable of throwing in the odd stinker ( last of 9 in Ascot’s Duke Of Cambridge Stakes last year ) leaving the horse who finished third behind her in the Princess Elizabeth Stakes at Epsom recently as the value bet of the race at the 8-1 available with several bookmakers including Bet365, Paddy Power, Ladbrokes and William Hill.

The horse in question, Just The Judge, got no sort of run in that Group 3 extended mile contest, finishing best of all to be beaten little more than a length, with the 2013 Irish Guineas winner looking to be crying out for the step up in trip. Beaten only half a length by Sky Lantern in the QIPCO 1000 Guineas at Newmarket last year the Lawman filly would take the world of beating if returning to that kind of form, something her encouraging latest run suggests is more than a possibility.