Racing Tip: Lie Forrit The Danger To Trusten Times In Scottish National

Alan Kelly recommends having a second string in the Scottish National and pinpoints Lie Forrit as a value bet for 3.50 Ayr on Saturday
At 25/1 a £10 bet would return £260

Lie Forrit For Scottish National

Having already tipped the Tim Easterby-trained Trusten Times for tomorrow’s Coral Scottish Grand National at 25-1 on Monday we can sit back in the knowledge that we have at least got a value bet as the mount of Wilson Renwick now stands at no bigger than 14-1 to land the four-mile marathon at Ayr. With a field of 30 set to go to post and bookmakers going as big as 9-1 the field it may be a wise move to have a second string to our bow and the horse that very much takes the eye at the 25-1 available with Sportingbet and Betbright is the previous top class staying hurdler Lie Forrit.

The 10-year-old achieved a rating of 155 over the smaller obstacles back in 2010, a full 20lb less than his current chasing mark, and based on his four runs this season the son of Subtle Power must have a great chance of landing the race for trainer Lucinda Russell who is also responsible for one of the leading fancies in Green Flag. An easy winner over hurdles at Wetherby in October Lie Forrit ran a cracker over Haydock’s Fixed Brush hurdles on his next start when a close third behind Gevrey Chambertin in the valuable Betfair-sponsored contest. A slightly disappointing run at Carlisle followed but after a break of three month’s the horse made all to win a 3m 3f hurdle race at Kelso three weeks ago. This will be Lie Forrit’s first run over fences since December 2012 but with the aid of rider Craig Nichol’s 5lb claim is expected to go close to fulfilling the promise shown as a novice in the 2011/2012 season.