Next Bayern Munich Manager Odds: Favourite Nagelsmann agrees Germany extension

Julian Nagelsmann, the favourite for the Bayern Munich job this summer, has agreed a new long-term contract with Germany, according to reports.

The current national team manager, who was previously manager of Bayern Munich between 2021 and 2023, was heavy favourite to succeed Thomas Tuchel in Bavaria this summer and had been heavily linked to the Liverpool job.

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Hansi Flick to be next Bayern Munich manager

Next Bayern Munich Manager

Tuchel’s departure was announced earlier this season after a difficult campaign, but Wednesday’s win over Arsenal to book a Champions League semi-final spot has brought some relief to the club after seeing Bayer Leverkusen crowned Bundesliga champions earlier in the week.

Brighton manager Roberto De Zerbi has been second in the running for the Bayern job behind Nagelsmann, but the market is sure to change with the likes of Hansi Flick and Xabi Alonso also likely to be in the running.

Here are the latest odds with BetVictor:

Next Bayern Munich Manager Odds

  • Julian Nagelsmann - 1/3
  • Roberto De Zerbi - 9/4
  • Sebastian Hoeness - 12/1
  • Hansi Flick - 12/1
  • Ralf Rangnick - 12/1
  • Xabi Alonso - 16/1
  • Antonio Conte - 16/1
  • Ole Gunnar Solskjaer - 16/1
  • Jurgen Klopp - 16/1
  • Jose Mourinho - 16/1


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Meet the Candidates

Julien Nagelsmann - 1/3

Nagelsmann had been the standout candidate for the Bayern job, despite leaving the role in controversial circumstances last year with his side still in the Champions League and in a strong position in the Bundesliga. His methods attracted some criticism and it’s fair to say he was not universally popular at the Allianz Arena, but he did lead Bayern to a Bundesliga title as well as the DFL Supercup while in charge.

He was strongly linked to the Bayern and Liverpool jobs owing to a short-term contract he had with the German national team which was due to expire after this summer’s Euros, but a reported new long-term contract effectively rules him out of moving on this summer.

Roberto De Zerbi - 9/4

It would undoubtedly be a big step up for De Zerbi, who has impressed in his two-year stay at Brighton so far. He has earned plaudits for an energetic and entertaining style of play, something that would fit in well in Bavaria while his development of players with the Seagulls has also proved his coaching ability.

Doubts remain over his ability to coach at the very highest level, with Brighton struggling in 10th this season after such an impressive campaign last year while they did well to qualify from the groups in the Europa League only to be heavily beaten by Roma in the round of 16. There is a strong argument that De Zerbi has taken Brighton as far as he can, but a step up to one of the biggest clubs in Europe would undoubtedly be a big ask and given Bayern’s struggles with the likes of Niko Kovac in recent years, they may not be willing to take such a gamble.

Hansi Flick - 12/1

Flick is another who has previously managed Bayern, having stepped up from assistant manager in 2019 following the sacking of Kovac to lead the club to Champions League glory and the club’s second continental treble. He has a long association with the club following four league titles as a player, and then lifted seven trophies while manager before moving on for the Germany national job.

Things didn’t go quite so well there which caused his stock to fall and he has been out of work ever since, but a return to the Allianz would not be a major surprise given that a lot of the same players are still there, he departed the club on a high and at 59 years of age, still has time on his side.

Sebastian Hoeness - 12/1

Perhaps a surprise inclusion on this list, Hoeness has pulled up trees since he was appointed Stuttgart manager last year, taking over with the club bottom of the table and eventually saving them from relegation via the play-offs.

As is a popular route in German football, Hoeness started his managerial career with the Bayern Munich youth teams before taking on the reserve team, winning the title with them in his first season. His familiarity with the club is likely to count for a lot, while he has also been heralded as one of the country’s most promising young coaches with Stuttgart flying this season in third place - level with Bayern.

Is he the flavour of the month or the real deal? Bayern might want a bit more proof that he is not just a flash in the pan before giving him the reigns.

Xabi Alonso - 16/1

Alonso has drifted heavily in the odds since it was announced that Tuchel would be leaving Bavaria this summer. Having stunned European football by leading Bayer Leverkusen to their maiden Bundesliga title, Alonso’s stock is at it’s highest and he was rumoured to have the pick between Liverpool and Bayern Munich jobs this summer.

However despite rumours that talks had opened between Alonso - a former player - and Bayern, the former midfielder came out and committed his future to Leverkusen and effectively ruled himself out of a summer move. It remains to be seen however with Nagelsmann ruled out, whether that resolve can be tested by a major move from Bayern this summer.

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Will Jackson

Will Jackson

Sports journalist, formerly of PA Media, latterly a PR manager before moving into the content world with the group. Long-suffering Leeds United and Yorkshire fan, 'for my sins'...