Alan Kelly’s Tips
Alan heads to Leicester on Wednesday with his strongest fancy of the day
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A frustrating week ending Sunday 7th December with seven seconds, including that of 25/1 selection Breeze Of Wind in Kelso’s Scottish Borders National on Sunday, resulting in a small loss of -£4.47 over the seven days.
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Alan Kelly's Tips - Wednesday, 10 December
Leicester’s jumps card on Wednesday is a bit of a mixed bag with the chase course currently described as good, while the hurdles track in heavy, soft in places.
Good going is expected for the meeting at Hereford, with heavy conditions likely for the Northumberland card at Hexham.
12:45pm Leicester - Nine Nine Nine (Each-Way)
Ben Case’s Ronnies Reflection has a good record at Leicester, both of the seven-year-old’s victories over fences coming on this course, albeit on softer ground than Ciaran Gething’s mount is likely to encounter on this occasion.
A good second on his reappearance at Fontwell last month, the Poet’s Voice gelding should go well once again, although I prefer the chances of another horse with a decent record on the course, that of Sarah Jayne-Davies’ NINE NINE NINE (Each-Way). Hopefully, there will be no need to call the emergency services for the mount of 5lb claimer Shane Fenelon.
The eight-year-old son of Soldier Of Fortune won twice at Leicester last year, the most recent when coming home by 13 lengths last March off a mark of 87. Now rated 2lb lower, Nine Nine Nine found one too good on his last two starts on the course, the first when beaten half a length by Ronnies Reflection (meets on 6lb better terms), the second when trying to concede 13lb to a horse, Bumpy Evens, who is now rated no less than 52lb higher.
Champion jockey Sean Bowen has been booked to ride the Evan Williams-trained Everyonesacritic, who is respected along with Wonder On The Seas from the Twiston-Davies table, although the latter is far from straightforward.
Recommendation: Nine Nine Nine (Each-Way) - 25/1 with bet365 (3 places)
2:05pm Hereford - Golan Loop
With 6 winners from their last 17 runners, the Warren Greatrex stable is flying at the moment and they have an excellent chance of taking this extended 3m 1f handicap chase with the lightly-raced Golan Loop, at five the youngest of the seven runners.
An Irish point-to-point winner last May, the Walk In The Park gelding opened his account at the 5th attempt when winning a novices’ hurdle at Ffos Las earlier this year, giving 7lb and a 12 length beating to Patrick Griffin’s subsequent winner Herja.
Making his debut over fences at Southwell last month following a break of 192 days, GOLAN LOOP made much of the running until collared by winner Ali Star Bert (in receipt of 19lb) jumping the last on the soft ground. James Bowen’s mount will be better suited by today’s conditions and is fancied to take plenty of beating in a race consisting of mainly exposed rivals.
Fergal O’Brien’s Mahler Moon finished runner-up twice on this course last month and Jonathan Burke’s mount is expected to prove the main danger to the selection.
Recommendation: Golan Loop - 7/4 with bet365
2:45pm Leicester - The Good Doctor (Nap)
A beaten favourite when finishing 7th of 17 in Aintree’s Grand Sefton Chase last month, Dan Skelton’s Jet Plane will be more at home in this kind of company, although the nine-year-old has been slightly disappointing since finding only Gracchus De Balme a length too good in the Aintree Foxhunters back in April.
While this will be the 24th start over fences for Harry Skelton’s mount, THE GOOD DOCTOR (Nap) from the in-form Ben Pauling stable will be having just his 6th attempt at chasing, the Doctor Dino gelding narrowly beaten on his first two starts over fences around this time last year.
The mount of Ben Jones disappointed on his next two starts when racing on soft ground before finishing last of three at Sandown on his reappearance last month, although the six-year-old was only beaten a length and a half. With that first run for 254 days under his belt, the fitting of a visor for the first time and on ground which will suit, The Good Doctor is fancied to open his account over the bigger obstacles.
Recommendation: The Good Doctor (Nap) - 5/2 with bet365
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Freebets.com in 2008.
You can follow Alan Kelly on Twitter for more racing insight.
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