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An excellent week ended Sunday, 1 March, with a profit of +£25.78, including winning naps at 5/4, 13/8, and 5/1 plus the 20/1 victory of Heltenham in the final ITV race on Saturday afternoon.
- P/L for the week ending Sunday, 1 March: +£25.78
- P/L for the year 2026 to date: +£65.27
- P/L for the year 2025: +£22.38
- P/L for the year 2024: +£200.42
- P/L since 1st September 2022: +£565.93
Alan Kelly's Tips - Monday, 2 March
Heavy conditions are expected for Monday’s two jumps cards at Southwell at Leopardstown. The all-weather action comes from Kempton Park in the afternoon and Wolverhampton in the evening.
2:45pm Southwell - Solar System
The winner of 4 of his 14 starts over hurdles, the J P McManus-owned SOLAR SYSTEM makes his chasing debut in this modest Class 4 handicap and is fancied to make the best possible start over fences for the training partnership of Philip Hobbs and Johnson White, successful with Captain Hugo in Kelso’s valuable Morebattle Hurdle at the weekend.
The seven-year-old will appreciate the return to a left-handed track after ruining his chance when jumping markedly out to his left when well-supported for a competitive handicap hurdle at Ascot on his most recent start last month. The Pastorius gelding has plenty of form on soft ground, including a victory over 2m 5f at Haydock last January, and is unlikely to be inconvenienced by today’s conditions on his chasing debut.
Jockey Callum Pritchard takes off a handy 3lb in a race featuring several disappointing types, best of which is probably Tom Ellis’s Smurfette. Jack Andrews’ mount has shown her best form on better ground however and may have to settle for second spot if Solar System puts in a decent round of jumping on his first start over the bigger obstacles.
Recommendation: Solar System - 10/3 with bet365
4:37pm Kempton - Spanish Voice (Nap)
The only four-year-old among the 9 contenders for this Class 3 handicap is the Andrew Balding-trained SPANISH VOICE (Nap), the mount of jockey Callum Hutchinson making his handicap debut in this mile and a half contest off an opening mark of 85.
This will be just the fourth career start for the son of Lope De Vega, who, following a promising first effort when finishing a two length third to William Haggas’s First Principle (now rated 92) and Godolphin’s Spectacular View (now rated 100) on this course back in December 2024, has gone on to record victories in novice company at Newmarket and Lingfield over 1m 2f.
While the most recent resulted in a bloodless win at odds of 1/9 last month, Spanish Voice’s first success came when beating Ralph Beckett’s Push The Limit by a neck at Headquarters last April, the runner-up now rated 103. For a horse who can only improve upon what he has so far achieved, today’s mark may prove on the lenient side.
Of the selection's eight rivals, the William Haggas-trained Dramatic Star may prove the most dangerous, although Cieren Fallon’s mount has gone up 9lb since winning at Newcastle 16 months ago, despite five subsequent defeats, although two of those came in photo finishes.
Recommendation: Spanish Voice (Nap) - 6/4 with bet365
4:45pm Southwell - Lone Soldier
A poor novices’ limited handicap hurdle to end Southwell’s card and a good opportunity for the Pogson’s LONE SOLDIER to finally get his head in front at the ninth attempt over the smaller obstacles, the Soldier Of Fortune gelding’s last five runs coming over fences, the highlight being a close second to the Katy Price-trained El Rojo Grande at Market Rasen in the middle of January, the winner going on to further victories at Ffos Las and Lingfield.
Previously in the care of Dan Skelton when finishing third on this course with a rating of 88 just over two years ago, Charlie Todd’s mount returns to the smaller obstacles for the first time since finishing fifth over today’s course and distance three months ago. Now running off a mark of 77 and following several decent efforts at chasing, the eight-year-old will never have a better chance to record that elusive first success.
On her handicap debut and first start for 15 months, the betting is likely to prove the best guide to the chances of the seven-year-old mare Beorma for the powerful Skelton team, although the daughter of Doyen has been beaten a total of 160 lengths on her three outings over hurdles to date.
The other one to consider is Laura Morgan’s top weight Classical Sting, pulled-up when favourite for a handicap chase at Leicester three weeks ago, and with the task of conceding 17lb to Lone Soldier.
Recommendation: Lone Soldier - 9/2 with bet365
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Freebets.com in 2008.
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