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Latest Profit & Loss Figures
After a poor start, we ended the week with a 9/1 winner on Friday before successes at 3/1, 3/1, 2/1, and 7/1 (Nap) from Saturday’s ITV Racing tips, resulting in a profit over the six days of +£11.61.
- P/L for the week ending Sunday, October 12th: +£11.61
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Alan Kelly's Tips - Tuesday, October 14th
Good ground is forecast for the meetings at Leicester and Market Rasen on Tuesday afternoon, although there are good to soft patches at the flat fixture.
2:51pm Market Rasen - Indemnity (Nap)
The Emma Lavelle stable did us a favour with the victory of Hang In There (tipped at 9/1) who defied top weight to run out a convincing winner at Chepstow on Friday. Lavelle has had only the five runners in the last couple of weeks but all have performed creditably with a couple of winners and the other three all finishing in the frame.
The stable are represented by the lightly-raced five-year-old INDEMNITY (Nap) in this extended 2m handicap hurdle and the mount of Harry Cobden is fancied to follow up his victory at Warwick back in May, despite racing off a 7lb higher mark.
A winner on the flat at Nottingham when trained by Roger Varian last year, the Lope De Vega gelding has improved with each of his four runs over hurdles, culminating in handicap victories at Huntingdon and Warwick, on the latter occasion when giving 4lb and a nine length beating to Dan Skelton’s Soleil d’Arizona who has gone on to win two of her three subsequent starts.
The Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls-trained Parc d’Amour will probably need today's run, his first for 15 months and a likely prep before Tom Bellamy’s mount resumes his career over fences. Another stable in form is that of Stuart Edmunds, and his dual course winner Chaos Control is the other one to consider following a recent outing on the flat at Newmarket, the six-year-old’s first start for over 400 days.
Recommendation: Indemnity (Nap) - 11/8 with bet365
4:14pm Leicester - Susie Sioux
Platinum Prince, Just Typical and Arkenstaar are all in fine form at the moment, in particular the latter who is on a hat-trick following recent wins at Hamilton and Pontefract. A narrow winner on his most recent start in a bunched finish, Sean Kirrane’s mount may struggle to confirm that form with the fifth horse home however, John Mackie’s five-year-old mare SUSIE SIOUX, who will be having just her sixth career start today and fourth on turf.
After finishing second in novice company at Carlisle and Doncaster, Susie Sioux looked an unlucky loser when making her handicap debut behind Arkenstaar at the West Yorkshire track 8 days ago. Full of running but with nowhere to go inside the final two furlongs, the mare did well to be beaten just a length and a half in the circumstances.
Off the same mark of 70 and with jockey Cieren Fallon taking over in the saddle for the first time, Susie Sioux should take plenty of beating granted better luck in running on this occasion.
Recommendation: Susie Sioux - 11/2 with bet365
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Freebets.com in 2008.
You can follow Alan Kelly on Twitter for more racing insight.
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