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Latest Profit & Loss Figures
Despite an excellent Saturday with winners at 9/4, 4/1 (twice), 9/2 and a 25/1 place, we ended the week with just a small profit of +£1.13.
- P/L for the week ending Sunday 7th September: +£1.13
- P/L for the year 2025 to date: +£9.45
- P/L for the year 2024: +£200.42
- P/L since 1st September 2022: +£495.44
Alan Kelly's Tips - Sunday, September 14th
The week ends with some cracking action from the final of four days from Doncaster’s St Leger meeting and Champions weekend in Ireland, which moves from Leopardstown to the Curragh where the card features no less than four Group 1 races. ITV Racing is set to cover the main action.
2:05pm Curragh - Joyful Tidings
Drawn next to each other in stalls 14 and 15, Karl Burke’s Alparslan and Joyful Tidings from the Gavin Cromwell stable could be the two to fight out the finish of this 16-runner Sales Stakes worth over 135k euro to the winner.
Unfancied at odds of 14/1 on his debut at Leicester last month, the former proved far too good for Juddmonte’s red-hot favourite Quadrillon, the son of Dandy Man winning hard-held by five lengths. While clearly very smart, Clifford Lee’s mount may have been flattered by that victory, whereas JOYFUL TIDING's Tipperary win of almost 6 months ago has been boosted with the runner-up Arugam Bay going on to win her next two starts before being far from disgraced in Group company, earning a rating of 93 in the process.
The A’Ali colt has not been seen since that debut victory, but this valuable contest looks to have been a long-range target for Gary Carroll’s mount, who is clearly held in high regard.
Recommendation:Joyful Tidings - 3/1 with William Hill
3:00pm Doncaster - Pocklington (Each-Way)
A typically wide-open sprint handicap on Town Moor with a field of 17 competing for this £70k contest run over an extended 6f. Today’s extra 111 yards looks ideal for the Geoff Oldroyd-trained POCKLINGTON (Each-Way), who deserves to win a decent prize after failing narrowly on all three starts this season.
The lightly-raced son of Blue Point was doing his best work at the finish following excellent efforts over 6f at Newcastle, and York (twice), the most recent when just failing to catch the Michael Dods pair of Northern Ticker and Commanche Falls at the Ebor meeting on the Knavesmire. Over this slightly longer trip, I expect P J McDonald’s mount to reverse that form with the runner-up, gaining a welcome first victory of the season in the process.
Recommendation: Pocklington (Each-Way) - 5/1 with bet365 (5 places)
4:25pm Curragh - Illinois (Nap)
This nine-runner Irish St Leger looks to concern Ralph Beckett’s British raider Amiloc, the only three-year-old taking part, Joseph O’Brien’s Curragh Cup winner over course and distance back in July, and ILLINOIS (Nap), one of two runners for the Ballydoyle stable of Aidan O’Brien.
While Amiloc is unbeaten in his five starts to date, including the Group 2 King Edward V11 Stakes at Royal Ascot last time, and receives a handy 8lb from his elders, I think the final Irish classic of the season is likely to stay at home, preference being for the Ballydoyle first string.
The ultra-consistent Galileo colt has yet to finish out of the frame in all 12 starts to date and is probably at his best over today’s trip of 1m 6f. Outstayed when runner-up to Trawlerman in the 2m 4f Gold Cup at Ascot, Christophe Soumillon’s mount lost nothing in defeat when failing by three quarters of a length to give stablemate Scandinavia a stone in the Goodwood Cup last time. Of those at a double-figure price, Gerard Keane’s Crystal Black could make the frame on his first attempt over this kind of trip.
Recommendation: Illinois (Nap) - 11/4 with William Hill
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Freebets.com in 2008.
You can follow Alan Kelly on Twitter for more racing insight.
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Alan Kelly
A successful punter, with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights down the years including a scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining freebets.com.