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Despite 3 out of 6 winning naps (8/15, 5/2 and 9/2) we ended last week with a very small profit of +£0.28.
While 7 of our last 11 naps have proved successful (three of the other four finished second) several of our more ambitious picks have been letting us down at the moment.
- P/L for the week ending Sunday, 18 January: +£0.28
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- P/L for the year 2024: +£200.42
- P/L since 1st September 2022: +£500.66
Alan Kelly's Tips - Wednesday, 21 January
Catterick stages the only jumps fixture on Wednesday afternoon, the ground at the North Yorkshire racecourse currently described as good to soft, soft in places.
Showers are forecast throughout the day.
1:17pm Catterick - Alsakib
While no prices are available as I write (Monday lunchtime) the three previous winners in this Go North Night Nurse Hurdle Series Qualifier - Kosac d’Oudairies, Noonetellsmenothin and Red Oak are worth taking on with the Donald McCain-trained ALSAKIB.
A Group 3 winner on the flat at York in the summer of 2024 when trained by Andrew Balding, the mount of Brian Hughes made a pleasing debut over hurdles when runner-up to another ex flat recruit in Ed Bethell’s Minstrel Knight at Wetherby just after Christmas. In receipt of 7lb from his three main rivals, Alsakib can prove the value bet of the race with the experience of that first run over hurdles under his belt.
Jamie Snowden’s Kosac d’Oudairies was no match for Dan Skelton’s highly-rated Mydaddypaddy at Haydock last time after winning minor contests at Ffos Las and Lingfield. Gavin Sheehan’s mount was beaten at short odds in a Catterick Bumper 13 months ago however, in which case best of those with previous winning form may be the Jonjo & AJ O’Neill-trained Noonetellsmenothin, a course and distance winner here last month from a well-fancied Irish raider of Gavin Cromwell’s.
Recommendation: Alsakib - 13/8 with bet365
1:47pm Catterick - Huit Reflets (Nap)
Sandy Thomson’s top weight Marty McFly and the 1lb lower Powerofjet both won on their most recent starts over fences, the former at Musselburgh on New Years’ Day, while the latter, despite being well entered up, has not been seen since winning on his second start over fences at Newcastle back in November.
The other recent winner contesting this extended 2m 3f Go North Forgive ‘Forget Series Qualifier is HUIT REFLETS (Nap) from the Mark Walford stable, who is fancied to come out on top in receipt of 10lb and 9lb respectively from his two main rivals.
On his first three starts over fences for Walford since leaving the Irish stable of Liz Doyle almost two years ago, the nine-year-old lost out narrowly in photos at Hexham and Sedgefield before finally opening his account over the bigger obstacles with a comfortable victory at the County Durham racecourse on Boxing Day.
A rise of 6lb seems more than fair for Jamie Hamilton’s mount, who may prove even better over today’s extra three furlongs.
Recommendation: Huit Reflets (Nap) - 3/1 with bet365
2:50pm Catterick - Mersey Street
First and second respectively over today’s course and distance just after Christmas, the Parkinson/Smith-trained 12-year-old Valence d’Aumont defied his advancing years to land a bit of a gamble in getting the better of a tremendous dual with the four year younger and less experienced MERSEY STREET from the Jonjo & AJ O’Neill stable.
I thought the runner-up was the moral winner on that occasion, as, in the hands of 7lb claimer Benjamin Macey, the gelding cut out most of the donkey work up front, his cause not helped when making a mistake 4 out. On 1lb better terms, and on just his fourth start over fences, I expect Mersey Street to reverse that form, especially with Jonjo O’Neill Jr taking over in the saddle for the first time since the pair finished 4th in a Huntingdon Bumper almost three years ago.
Recommendation: Mersey Street - 5/1 with bet365
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Freebets.com in 2008.
You can follow Alan Kelly on Twitter for more racing insight.
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