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Despite breaking even on Friday and Saturday, along with two out of six winning naps, the other four all finishing second, two of which were beaten a short head, we ended the week with a decent profit of +£11.61. Our good run continues with 7 winning weeks out of the last 8.
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Alan Kelly's Tips - Tuesday, 30 June
We head to the afternoon meetings at Musselburgh and Salisbury for today’s selections. Good going is expected at the Scottish racecourse with slightly livelier conditions forecast at Salisbury.
3:00pm Musselburgh - High Degree
Julie Camacho’s Two B Tanned, unbeaten on two previous visits to the Scottish racecourse, is expected to take the field along in the hands of 5lb claimer Tom Kiely-Marshall for this Class 3 contest. Well beaten after pulling hard at Redcar on his most recent start and now 8lb higher, the five-year-old is passed over, although a big run from the front would come as no surprise.
The Simon & Ed Crisford stable are in fine form at the moment and their lightly-raced Pandemonium is sure to come on for his narrow defeat over today’s course and distance last month. Ed Bethell’s handicap debutante Haayimm may have been let in lightly with an opening mark of 95 after running Andrew Balding's Conclave to a neck at Hamilton two months ago, the winner going on to finish a creditable 6th of 30 in the Britannia at the royal meeting. The vote, however, goes to the William Haggas-trained HIGH DEGREE and jockey Clifford Lee.
After being gelded following several decent efforts in defeat last season, the son of Too Darn Hot made a promising reappearance when beating all bar Harry Charlton's Hand Of God at Newbury, on the back of which High Degree was sent off a warm favourite for a valuable handicap at Sandown last month.
Beaten just under two lengths in third place, the selection ran up against a couple of promising horses in Beagle Bay and Raammee. With the Newmarket contender unlikely to face anything with the potential of that pair, High Degree is expected to record a first victory since winning a Ffos Las maiden around this time last year.
Recommendation: High Degree - 7/2 with bet365
3:37pm Salisbury - Addison Grey (Nap)
Another Abbot’s narrow victory at Yarmouth last month can be marked up with the runner-up Neyva’s Angel going on to record a comfortable victory on that course two weeks later. A rise of 6lb to a career-high mark of 88 will make life tougher for the Harry Angel gelding however, preference being for the Clive Cox-trained top weight ADDISON GREY (Nap).
After being gelded towards the end of last year, David Probert’s mount failed by a head to catch winner Mirabeau in a 16-runner sprint handicap at Newbury on his reappearance, the son of Havana Grey’s chance not helped by being slowly away.
Runner-up once again on his next start at Newmarket’s Guineas meeting, the grey was unlucky to come up against a horse, Double Rush, who would go on to win the Wokingham at Royal Ascot and is now destined to compete at Group level.
Held-up at Newbury on his most recent start last month, Addison Grey was never in a position to mount a challenge behind winner Far Above Dream, but was still beaten less than two lengths in fifth place. The selection’s only previous visit to Salisbury resulted in a 17 length success at odds of 1/11 in a minor contest last July under conditions similar to those of today. Despite the welter burden of 10st 1lb, I expect the grey to come out on top ahead of Another Abbot and Richard Hughes’ Sudden Flight.
Recommendation: Addison Grey (Nap) - 9/4 with bet365
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Free Bets in 2008.
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