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A decent profit of +£6.30 for the week ending Sunday, 13 September, although it ended with a poor weekend, despite 5/4 and 6/4 winning naps.
P/L for the week ending Sunday, 13 September: +£6.30
P/L for the year to date: +£166.55
P/L for the year 2025: +£22.38
P/L for the year 2024: +£200.42
P/L since 1st September 2022: +£667.11
Alan Kelly's Tips - Wednesday, 16 September
There are excellent Flat cards at Sandown Park, Yarmouth and Beverley on Wednesday afternoon, the first two meetings both featuring competitive Listed races.
3:18pm Beverley - Hidden Gift (Nap)
Show And Tell and Dreamawhile are interesting newcomers for this juvenile fillies’ race, while George Scott's Duty's Call and Myesme from the Ed Bethell stable both showed plenty of promise when runner-up in their respective races at Chester and Ayr last month.
No match for the classy Senorita Bonita at Nottingham on her second start, Jane Chapple-Hyam’s Halliwell Stream was beaten only just over a length by that subsequent Group 1 winner and looks the type for a nursery when given a handicap mark. In which case, this is a good opportunity for Richard & Peter Fahey’s HIDDEN GIFT (Nap) to open her account at the 4th time of asking.
Narrowly beaten on her debut at Ripon behind a horse now rated 97, the daughter of Sioux Nation was only headed going inside the final furlong when finishing 5th of 25 in the Albany Stakes at Royal Ascot behind two of the leading juveniles of this season in Libertango and Sun Goddess.
Oisin Orr’s mount didn’t seem to act on the course at Goodwood last time behind another Wathnan contender in Wild Blossom. On a course which should suit, and from her draw in stall 4, it will be disappointing if this talented filly is unable to get off the mark in a race of this nature before stepping back up in class.
Recommendation: Hidden Gift (Nap) - 8/11 with bet365
This is Alan's Nap of the Day selection - see how it stacks up against Charlie McCann's pick too.
3:30pm Sandown - Centigrade & Crown Of Oaks
Godolphin’s Cerro Blanco heads the early betting at a best price 9/4 for this 1m Listed race, the Wootton Bassett colt last seen landing odds of 1/25 in a four-runner contest at Newmarket last month on his third career start. While Charlie Appleby's charge has clearly shown plenty of promise, William Buick’s mount is short enough against a field of more proven performers.
My two against the field at current odds of 15/2 and 14/1 respectively are the Ralph Beckett-trained CENTIGRADE and CROWN OF OAKS from the William Haggas stable. The former, after winning races at Newbury and Southwell, could never get near enough to mount a challenge when beaten just over four lengths in a Heritage Handicap at York’s Ebor meeting, a race dominated by those horses up with the pace.
Sent off the 5/2 favourite for that valuable contest on his handicap debut, Rossa Ryan’s mount still looks a potential Group horse in the making. Crown Of Oaks has yet to recapture his form of last season, but may be best around this time of the year and should appreciate today’s drop in trip, Cieren Fallon’s mount an all-the-way winner of Ascot’s Balmoral Handicap on Champions Day. The four-year-old is fancied to go well at a double-figure price.
Recommendations: Centigrade - 15/2 with William Hill & Crown Of Oaks - 14/1 with Paddy Power
3:41pm Yarmouth - Seet (Each-Way)
After winning a Group 2 contest over 2m at Meydan in March, prior to finishing fifth, beaten just half a length in the Group 1 Prix Vicomtess Vigier at Longchamp two months later, the drop back to today’s mile and a quarter trip for the Simon & Ed Crisford-trained Fairy Glen seems a strange move.
The daughter of Farhh did win a Group 2 over nine furlongs at Meydan earlier in the year however, and is obviously a very versatile mare. Rhapsody, one of two runners for the William Haggas stable, is closely matched with Ed Walker’s Capichera, the pair separated by a short head behind Prizeland in York’s Galtres Stakes last month.
Both fillies have each-way claims, along with James Fanshawe’s Sky Safari. The vote, however, goes to one of the three John & Thady Gosden contenders, the Shadwell filly SEET (Each-Way) with Billy Loughnane in the saddle.
Not seen since finishing 7th of 30 in the Sandringham at Royal Ascot, the daughter of Too Darn Hot is expected to improve for today’s step-up in trip on just her 5th career start, and is unlikely to be inconvenienced by the soft conditions expected for this Listed race. A 9/1 chance when I started to write this article, Seet is now a best price 6/1.
Recommendation: Seet (Each-Way) - 6/1 with William Hill (3 places)
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Free Bets in 2008.
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