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Latest Profit & Loss Figures
With 15 winning days out of the last 17, another very good week with a profit of +£18.37, making it the third successful week in a row, the highlights being the victories of Sea Thrift (11/1 on Thursday) and Pep Talking (16/1 with a 5p R4 on Saturday).
- P/L for the week ending Sunday, 2 November: +£18.37
- P/L for the year 2025 to date: +£60.94
- P/L for the year 2024: +£200.42
- P/L since 1st September 2022: +£546.93
Alan Kelly's Tips - Monday, 10 November
Jumps racing has the scene to itself on Monday, courtesy of the cards at Carlisle and Kempton Park.
Conditions at the Cumbrian racecourse are described as soft, good to soft in places, while at Kempton Park the ground is on the firm side of good (watered).
2:00pm Kempton - Cuban Court (Each-Way)
Turndlightsdownlow and Sun Joy both recorded comfortable victories in October and will be fancied by many to follow-up in the hands of talented claimers’ Freddie Keighley and Callum Pritchard respectively. The two horses had the benefit of at least one previous run this season however, unlike Neil King’s bottom weight CUBAN COURT (Each-Way) who looks sure to have come on for his run at Uttoxeter last month.
Jack Quinlan’s mount made great strides towards the end of last season, winning races at Doncaster and Huntingdon (twice) along with a couple of excellent placed efforts. Dropped 2lb following his first outing of the season, when holding every chance until lack of condition told late-on, the Court Cave gelding can prove competitive off today’s mark of 101 and in receipt of weight from his 9 rivals.
Recommendation: Cuban Court (Each-Way)
2:15pm Carlisle - Steel Ally (Nap)
With 5 winners from their last 9 runners, the Sam Thomas stable has hit a rich vein of form recently, the victory of classy hurdler Lump Sum in an informative beginners chase at Uttoxeter 10 days ago being the highlight. Thomas runs STEEL ALLY (Nap) in this cracking graduation chase, a horse with a very similar profile to that of his stablemate (a length separated the pair when finishing 1-2 off the same weight in last season’s Welsh Champion Hurdle).
Both horses are rated in the 140’s over hurdles and look set to make their mark over the bigger obstacles. Narrowly beaten by Nemean Lion in the Grade 2 National Spirit Hurdle at Fontwell back in February, Steel Ally makes his chasing debut at the Cumbrian racecourse in receipt of a handy 10lb from his four more experienced rivals.
As was the case with Lump Sum, Dylan Johnston’s mount is sure to have been well-schooled. With conditions to suit and the stable going so well, it will be disappointing if the seven-year-old fails to make a winning debut with today’s big weight advantage. Dan Skelton’s Unexpected Party, runner-up in the Grand Annual back in March, can take advantage should Steel Ally’s lack of chasing experience prove his undoing.
Recommendation: Steel Ally (Nap) - 11/8 with bet365
3:40pm Kempton - Bebside Banter
BEBSIDE BANTER did us a favour when landing a gamble to run out a comfortable all-the-way winner over fences at Worcester last month for up-and-coming trainer Max Cowley. The eight-year-old is 0 from 12 over hurdles, but if able to transfer his chase form to that of the smaller obstacles, the gelding can finally make it 13th lucky off a mark of 77 (rated 87 over fences).
Bebside Banter’s best run over hurdles to date came when finishing a close second in a Go North Sea Pigeon Series Qualifier at Musselburgh in January of 2023 off today's mark. Freddie Mitchell keeps the ride in this conditional jockeys’ handicap, and if able to reproduce that Worcester effort, is fancied to go close.
Nicky Henderson’s Final Straw makes his handicap debut and does not look particularly well treated with a rating of 95, in which case the main danger to the selection is probably Seamus Mullins’ consistent Hurst Hill.
Recommendation: Bebside Banter
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Freebets.com in 2008.
You can follow Alan Kelly on Twitter for more racing insight.
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