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Alan Kelly's Tips - Wednesday, 1 July
The going for Wednesday’s three Flat cards at Thirsk in the afternoon and Epsom and Bath in the evening will take place on ground riding on the firm side of good.
4:10pm Thirsk - Juan Les Pins
This will be the 70th career start for the Mick Appleby-trained nine-year-old sprinter JUAN LES PINS. With nine victories to date, six on turf and three on an artificial surface, the gelding has been running so well of late that the mount of Harry Davies has a great chance of taking this Class 3 contest off a mark of 79.
After finishing second in a 17-runner handicap on the opening day of the Flat season at Doncaster, the son of Invincible Spirit went one better over today’s course and distance 12 days later. Narrowly beaten in seriously competitive handicaps at Newbury and Ascot since then, Juan Les Pins looks sure to go close once again in receipt of weight from all but one of today’s 10 rivals.
Julie Camacho’s Indian Run came back to something like his best when beaten a neck at Windsor a couple of weeks ago and is capable of a big run along with Nigel Tinkler’s Lord Roxby, while Wathnan Racing’s top weight Deep Havana is worth noting for any market support on his first start for almost 15 months.
Recommendation: Juan Les Pins - 4/1 with bet365
6:57pm Epsom - Alma Latina (Nap)
Richard Hughes’ Arcturus Flame has been running well in defeat this season, and with blinkers on for the first time, Billy Loughnane’s mount looks best of those horses outside of the classic generation for this 1m 4f Class 4 handicap. However, I expect the outcome to concern one of the five three-year-old’s taking part, in particular the Ralph Beckett-trained ALMA LATINA (Nap).
The daughter of Study Of Man has been given an opening handicap mark of 82, a rating which may turn out to be lenient to say the least. Making her racecourse debut in a 1m 2f novice contest at Sandown just over two months ago, the filly made a pleasing introduction in finishing third to a horse, Ed Walker’s Felicitas, who is now rated 103 following her close second to Oaks runner-up Legacy Link in York’s Musidora before a respectable 7th place in Chantilly’s Prix De Diane.
A half lengths second to a decent horse of William Haggas’s at Salisbury on her second start, Hector Crouch’s mount opened her account when proving far too good for Ed Bethell’s odds-on favourite According To Mark at Pontefract four weeks ago. The main danger to the selection may be Simon & Ed Crisford’s hat-trick seeking Central Command, although I will be surprised if Daniel Muscutt’s mount is capable of matching strides with Alma Latina on today’s terms.
Recommendation: Alma Latina (Nap) - 15/8 with bet365
8:42pm Epsom - Mystic Moment (Each-Way)
A comfortable winner over today’s course and distance as a juvenile 12 months ago when with trainer Eve Johnson Houghton, the three-year-old filly MYSTIC MOMENT (Each-Way), now with Neil Mulholland, returns to turf following a couple of runs on the all-weather for current connections.
Down the field in races at Kempton Park (outclassed) and Lingfield on her two starts for Mulholland this year, the daughter of Time Test has dropped to an attractive mark of 80, and if able to reproduce her effort when finishing 7th of 26 in the £150k Tattersalls October Auction Stakes at Newmarket on her final outing at two, would take plenty of beating in this Class 4 seven furlong contest.
David Probert’s mount made all of the running for her comfortable victory at the home of the Derby last year and I expect the filly to be ridden prominently once again. Jennie Candlish’s Mission Command returned to form with a comfortable victory in an amateur jockeys’ handicap at Chester recently and still looks well-treated off a revised mark of 76, while best of the rest is Mick Appleby’s Bell Shot, who has been running better than recent form figures would suggest.
Recommendation: Mystic Moment (Each-Way) - 16/1 with bet365 (3 places)
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Free Bets in 2008.
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