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Despite an excellent Saturday with winners at 9/4, 4/1 (twice), 9/2 and a 25/1 place, we ended the week with just a small profit of +£1.13.
- P/L for the week ending Sunday 7th September: +£1.13
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Alan Kelly's Tips - Monday, September 15th
Worcester stages an excellent eight-race card on Monday afternoon where the ground is currently described as good, the feature race coming at 2:00pm with a 2m 4f handicap chase.
2:00pm Worcester - Snipe
Trainer Dan Skelton is responsible for no less than five of the 10 runners for this 2m 4f handicap chase, brother Harry booked to ride the eight-year-old SNIPE. The Soldier Of Fortune gelding failed to trouble the judge last season but looks to be the stable’s number one hope for the feature race on today’s card and is fancied to record his first victory since winning at Aintree on Boxing Day 2023.
The selection has an excellent record following a break and returns to fences for the first time since finishing fourth over the smaller obstacles at Warwick in April, a bit of a confidence booster after falling when hampered in Ayr’s Scottish Grand National 12 days earlier.
Despite being campaigned over further, today’s trip shouldn’t be a problem, and if in the same kind of form as when finishing third in last season’s Great Yorkshire Chase off a 3lb higher mark, should take plenty of beating. Snipe’s stablemates Sail Away and Frere d’Armes go into today’s race on the back of respective victories at Aintree and Stratford are others to consider in a race likely to be dominated by runners from the Skelton stable.
Recommendation: Snipe - 9/2 with bet365
4:00pm Worcester - Belladinotte (Each-Way)
Sophie Leech’s Stiletto looked as if he would appreciate this step back up in trip after staying-on to finish fourth over half a mile shorter at Fonwell recently, the booking of champion jockey Sean Bowen another plus for the son of Frankel, the pair successful off a 3lb lower mark at Newton Abbot in June.
Barry Brennan’s top weight Chief Black Robe ran well to finish second over today’s course and distance two weeks ago and looks sure to go well for jockey David Bass racing off a 2lb higher mark. However, I like the chances of Sara Ender’s BELLADINOTTE (Each-Way), the mount of Harry Bannister.
Unfancied on her debut for the stable at Southwell in June, the grey mare exceeded expectations when staying-on to finish second to Sam England’s Big Bee Hive, the pair clear of the other 11 runners. The daughter of Yeats went one better at Hexham later that month before disappointing at Uttoxeter on her next start when found to be in season.
Reappearing at Hexham over an inadequate trip of 2m 4f towards the end of last month, Belladinotte ran on into 8th place after making late headway from the rear. With that run under her belt and over today’s extra three furlongs, the mare makes plenty of appeal off a mark of 81.
Recommendation: Belladinotte (Each-Way) - 12/1 with SpreadEx (3 places)
5:00pm Worcester - Shantou Lucky (Nap)
On his first start for up-and-coming trainer James Owen, the ex Jessica Bedi inmate SHANTOU LUCKY (Nap) landed a bit of a gamble with ease when winning hard-held at Fontwell eight days ago in a conditional jockeys’ handicap hurdle. Running off the same mark of 79 and with 3lb claimer Nathan Howie in the saddle once again, the Shantou gelding looks the best bet on today’s eight-race card.
Rated as high as 125 over fences (108 over hurdles) when trained in Ireland by Gavin Cromwell, Shantou Lucky looks the type to run up a sequence before the handicap is able to catch up with the gelding. If there is a danger to the selection, it is likely to be Olly Murphy’s lightly-raced Diamond Geezer and champion jockey Sean Bowen, although the concession of 22lb to Shantou Lucky is a big ask.
Recommendation: Shantou Lucky (Nap) - 8/13 with bet365
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Freebets.com in 2008.
You can follow Alan Kelly on Twitter for more racing insight.
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