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Despite three winning naps out of six (5/2, 3/1 and 7/4) we ended the week with a loss of -£8.02, the result of some very poor picks on Wednesday and Thursday.
P/L for the week ending Sunday, 20 September: -£8.02
P/L for the year to date: +£158.53
P/L for the year 2025: +£22.38
P/L for the year 2024: +£200.42
P/L since 1st September 2022: +£659.09
Alan Kelly's Tips - Wednesday, 23 September
Perth’s two-day fixture gets underway with a cracking Jumps card on Wednesday afternoon, while the highlight at Goodwood’s Flat meeting is the Listed Virgin Bet Foundation Stakes at 3:15pm.
Good ground is expected at both courses.
2:12pm Perth - Jet Of Stars (Nap)
A cracking novices’ hurdle to get Perth’s excellent two-day meeting underway, the field of 10 headed by the hat-trick seeking Gambino for champion trainer Dan Skelton. Harry Skelton’s mount is joined by another unbeaten novice in Fergal O’Brien’s Chicker, successful on his debut over the smaller obstacles at Uttoxeter back in May, the five-year-old 18th in the Champion Bumper at the Cheltenham Festival.
While both horses look sure to win their fair share of races, I think they face a difficult task in trying to concede weight to the Russell/Scudamore hurdling debutante JET OF STARS (Nap). Impressive in winning his point-to-point in Ireland last February, the Jet Away gelding made his debut for connections in a three-runner Bumper at Ayr back in March.
Setting out in a bid to make all of the running, the mount of Brian Hughes cruised home unchallenged from a horse, Popton Point, who went into the race on a hat-trick following wins in similar races at Wetherby and Warwick. Despite having yet to jump a hurdle in public, I think Jet Of Stars is an exciting prospect for connections and is expected to take full advantage of the 12lb and 7lb he receives from his two main rivals.
Recommendation: Jet Of Stars (Nap) - 13/8 with bet365
This is Alan's Nap of the Day selection - see how it stacks up against Charlie McCann's pick too.
2:40pm Goodwood - Tribal Chief
Now on a losing run of seven, the David Menuisier-trained TRIBAL CHIEF has an annoying habit of giving his rivals a head start once the stalls open, as has been the case in most of his races this season. Last successful in a competitive handicap over today’s course and distance last August off a mark of 90, from a horse now rated 106, the Sioux Nation gelding has become expensive to follow, but is worth another chance with jockey William Buick taking over in the saddle for the first time.
The five-year-old started the season with excellent placed efforts in the Lincoln at Doncaster and Ascot’s Victoria Cup, before fluffing his lines with slow starts at Sandown and Goodwood. Despite another slow start at the Esher racecourse towards the end of last month, Tribal Chief came to have every chance over a furlong out only to weaken close home over the mile and a quarter trip.
Back down to a mile today, in a race where there is no guaranteed pace up front, the selection many get away with losing a length or two at the start, and is taken to open his account for the season at the main expense of Andrew Balding’s Storm Star and Darkness from the Ayr Gold Cup winning stable of David O’Meara.
Recommendation: Tribal Chief - 10/3 with bet365
3:57pm Perth - Tamarind Bay
An excellent turnout of nine runners for this £25k Class 2 handicap chase ran over three miles, the field headed by Patrick Neville’s The Real Whacker, who is on a losing run of eight since winning Wetherby’s Charlie Hall Chase almost two years ago.
Runner-up to Holloway Queen in the National Hunt Chase at the Cheltenham Festival, the Russell/Scudamore-trained King Of Answers was sent off a well-supported 9/2 second favourite for the Scottish Grand National, only to be pulled-up following a series of mistakes. Derek Fox’s mount is capable of winning a valuable staying handicap chase in the months ahead, but will probably improve for this, his first outing of the season.
The Skelton’s Etelon has yet to prove himself over today’s trip, while Gordon Elliott’s Irish raider Boston rover has been well beaten on both of his starts this year. While each-way claims can be made for the four horses at the foot of the handicap, I was very impressed by the victory of Mickey Bowen’s TAMARIND BAY at Bangor earlier in the month, and despite a rise of rise of 9lb to a mark of 137, the six-year-old, the youngest horse in the race, deserves to take his chance in this kind of company.
The Elusive Pimpernel gelding’s only defeat in four starts over fences came over 2m 4f on this course last month when unseating his rider 3 out just as he was about to challenge for the lead. Tamarind Bay won his other three races over fences without being seriously challenged, and is expected to continue his progress with another victory in this informative contest.
Recommendation: Tamarind Bay - 11/4 with bet365
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Free Bets in 2008.
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