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Latest Profit & Loss Figures
With very little turf racing taking place, we ended the week with a small profit of +£1.61, although three of our four naps obliged at odds of 11/4, 6/1, and 3/1 (25p R4).
- P/L for the week ending Sunday, 11 January: +£1.61
- P/L for the year 2026 to date: -£7.99
- P/L for the year 2025: +£22.38
- P/L for the year 2024: +£200.42
- P/L since 1st September 2022: +£508.37
Alan Kelly's Tips - Wednesday, 14 January
Wednesday’s jumps action comes from the meetings at Newbury in Britain and Fairyhouse in Ireland.
The ground at Newbury is expected to ride on the soft side of good, while at Fairyhouse the hurdles course is a mixture of yielding and soft, with good to yielding in places on the chase course.
2:40pm Newbury - On The Go (Each-Way)
Sam Thomas’s top weight C’Est Different is now on a four-timer following victories at Carlisle, Chepstow and Market Rasen. Yet to taste defeat in a handicap, the mount of Dylan Johnston went up 12lb for his latest success; but it would be no surprise to see this improving six-year-old go very close once again.
Nicky Henderson’ Crazierthandaisy would have a chance if you were to ignore the mares’ disappointing effort when pulled-up at Sandown last time, while Dan Skelton’s Top Guy is interesting following his victory at Aintree last month when stepped up to this kind of trip for the first time.
However, Charlie Longsdon’s ON THE GO (Each-Way) did us a favour when hacking-up at Hereford on his most recent start of two months ago, and in receipt of weight from all but one of his rivals is fancied to go close, especially with the valuable 7lb claim of Hereford winning jockey Daire McConville.
Following fair efforts in defeat at Huntingdon and Plumpton this season, On The Go looked a different proposition when stepped-up to an extended 2m 5f at Hereford last time, the six-year-old pulling well clear of his rivals after taking up the running 2 out. Despite a rise of 10lb, I expect the each-way selection to go close with just 10st 2lb to carry (including his rider’s allowance).
Recommendation: On The Go (Each-Way) - 6/1 with bet365 (5 places)
2:50pm Fairyhouse - Karoline Banbou (Nap)
With the news that jockey Harry Cobden will be number one for leading owner J P McManus in both Britain and Ireland from next May, Mark Walsh’s time in wearing the famous green and gold silks aboard the McManus stars may be limited. The pair are represented by the Willie Mullins-trained KAROLINE BANBOU (Nap) in this beginners chase, and I will be disappointed if this talented mare is unable to open her account over fences at the second attempt in receipt of the 7lb sex allowance from her 7 rivals.
A creditable fourth behind Henry De Bromhead’s Air Of Entitlement in the Dawn Run Mares’ Novices’ Hurdle at last year’s Cheltenham Festival, the six-year-old made a promising start to her chasing career when runner-up to a decent novice in Jacob’s Ladder (second in a Punchestown Grade 3 on Sunday) on this course last month.
The mare was staying-on strongly at the end of that 2m contest, looking as if she would improve a lot with that run under her belt. Peter Fahey’s Koori Star ran well to finish second in a Listed handicap hurdle at Navan last month following a couple of runs over fences at Fairyhouse and Galway and looks the main danger to Karoline Banbou, along with the selection’s stablemate Port Joulain, the mount of Paul Townend.
Recommendation: Karoline Banbou (Nap) - 8/13 with bet365
3:50pm Newbury - Soldier’s Leap
This conditional jockeys’ handicap hurdle features several unexposed contenders, the most interesting being the Dan Skelton-trained Leaumec De Mee, the hat-trick seeking SOLDIER'S LEAP and Warren Greatrex’s bottom weight Premier. The latter has missed a couple of recent opportunities due to the weather and off his low weight is likely to go well for a stable in good form.
Leaumec De Mee, a close second in a Kempton National Hunt Flat race last March, behind a horse who has gone on to record four wins over hurdles and now runs off a mark of 127, has looked a work in progress on his two starts over hurdles, most recently when landing the odds in a weak maiden contest at Sedgefield last month.
The mount of Harry Atkins (claims 6lb) is open to plenty more improvement and looks potentially well treated off an opening mark of 111. On his 6th start in a handicap, the most experienced of the trio is Tom Ellis’s Soldier’s Leap, who now runs off a mark 23lb higher than when finishing second at Fontwell 13 months ago.
Jack Andrews’ mount, following a break of 252 days, ran out the comfortable winner of races at Stratford and Uttoxeter this season with today’s experienced conditional rider in the saddle. Now rated 108, the six-year-old went up 11lb for his latest victory but is fancied to continue his winning run with a victory in this Challenger Two Mile Hurdle.
Recommendation: Soldier’s Leap - 5/1 with bet365
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Freebets.com in 2008.
You can follow Alan Kelly on Twitter for more racing insight.
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