Donald Trump's Nobel Peace Prize Odds Slashed
Donald Trump's odds of winning the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize have dramatically shortened at UK betting sites, after the U.S. president claimed to have brokered a ceasefire between Israel and Hamas.
Trump called it a "historic breakthrough," and the betting markets responded quickly, slashing his odds and briefly installing him as the outright favourite.
Here at Free Bets, we've taken a closer look at the likelihood of Trump being awarded the prestigious prize.
Nobel Peace Prize Odds
Check out the latest Nobel Peace Prize odds below as Donald Trump aims to join the list of four US presidents who have won the award - Theodore Roosevelt in 1906, Woodrow Wilson in 1919, Jimmy Carter in 2002, and Barack Obama in 2009.
| Candidate | Nobel Peace Prize Odds Odds |
| Sudans Emergency Response Rooms | 7/4 |
| Donald Trump | 3/1 |
| Yulia Navalnaya | 8/1 |
| UNRWA/Philippe Lazzarini | 12/1 |
So, why all the hype?
The Nobel talk isn't just about Gaza.
Trump's supporters point to his track record in the region - particularly the Abraham Accords, which normalised relations between Israel and several Arab states - as evidence of his peace building credentials.
With Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu reportedly among those who have nominated him, there's a growing narrative that Trump is finally in with a serious shout for the award he's long pursued.
But it's a crowded race.
Trump is ahead of other high-profile contenders like Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms, activist Yulia Navalnaya , and the UN's relief agency for Palestinian refugees, UNRWA.
From grassroots war responders to political dissidents and global agencies, it's one of the most diverse shortlists in recent years.
Still, there's a catch. Nominations for the 2025 prize actually closed back in January - before the Gaza ceasefire came into play.
That means Trump's latest peace push won't officially count.
And while bookmakers are clearly responding to public interest and momentum, Nobel watchers say the prize committee tends to reward long-term efforts rather than short-term headlines.
So while Trump's odds may be short, the real chances of him winning are harder to gauge so punters betting on a Trump Nobel win might be backing more buzz than likelihood.
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