Scottish Football Tips: Kai Watson's Best Bets, November 14
It's another busy weekend of football action north of the border, and our Scottish football expert Kai Watson is back with his latest football betting tips.
If you want the wider picture, our football betting hub has the latest odds and offers for the weekend's fixtures.
Scottish Football Tips
Check out Kai's Scottish football tips below, alongside the best odds to help you find the best value for your bets.
Ayr United vs Raith Rovers - Raith Rovers to win
Dougie Imrie’s Raith Rovers have surprised everyone so far this season. Not many, if any, would have had them challenging for top spot and they currently sit level on points with Dunfermline after 14 matches. They have the chance to pull away from their Fife rivals though as the Pars are not playing this weekend.
They drew 0-0 with them last Friday evening at Starks Park in a match where it looked like they were comfortable taking the draw, which could prove to be a crucial point later in the season. Only Partick Thistle and Dunfermline have a better defensive record than Raith and they are currently the league's top goalscorers.
Unlike Raith, Ayr United have probably disappointed a lot of people so far this season. They started off brightly under Gary Naysmith but haven’t been able to find any kind of consistency so far.
They have only won four games in the league this season and got hammered 4-1 by Arbroath last weekend, outside of the bottom three they have the worst defensive record in the league.
Even away from home, I think Raith will win this one and keep the pressure on Partick Thistle at the top whilst pulling away from their rivals.
Partick Thistle vs Inverness - Partick Thistle to win
Away from home this would be a tricky fixture but at Firhill I expect Mark Wilson’s side to get the victory. They’ve reclaimed top spot, which is where many predicted them to be at the start of the season. Aside from a surprise defeat against now high-flying Morton, they have been excellent in getting back up to the top of the table.
The 3-0 win away to Stenhousemuir was huge and a real statement considering how Marvin Bartley’s side had been performing up until that point. Thistle have the joint best defensive record in the league and the joint best goal difference so far.
Inverness have been a surprise package in the league having been newly promoted from League One. However, they haven’t won in their last two playing against sides expected to be near the top of the league.
They drew to Livingston last time out and before that were hammered 5-1 by Dunfermline. I don’t think it will be that comprehensive a victory, although I do expect it to be comfortable for the hosts.
East Kilbride vs Alloa - Over 2.5 goals
In Alloa’s last five games there have been fifteen goals and it’s the exact same number for East Kilbride. They are both averaging three goals per game in their last five and both teams have plenty of attacking talent.
East Kilbride are currently the ‘best of the rest’ with Hamilton and Ross County being so far ahead. They will want to keep pulling away from the others and put pressure on Hamilton who have started to falter a bit.
Alloa started the season well but have fallen down the table in recent weeks having lost four of the last five. They will be hoping the likes of Kyle Glasgow and Max Cameron can do the business up top to help them start climbing back up the table.
On paper, this looks like it could be a good game with plenty of attacking football from either side.
Hamilton vs Ross County - Ross County to win & over 1.5 goals
Hamilton haven’t won in three games and have fallen five points behind leaders Ross County. Since they managed to get a 1-1 draw in Dingwall then they drew with fourth placed Montrose. Last week was the real surprise though as they lost 4-0 to bottom of the table Cove Rangers.
Before that match, Hamilton had only conceded six goals in thirteen and that was their first defeat of the season. That could snowball and lead to them falling down the table, especially with the ridiculous form that County are in.
Ross County are the most in-form team in the country, they have scored eighteen goals in their last five, having won four of them and only dropping points against Hamilton. They have also only conceded four in those five and currently sit with a goal difference of +40!
Ross County still remain unbeaten and I don’t think this trip to Hamilton will change that. They have scored an incredible 49 goals in 14 games and, despite Hamilton’s good defensive record, they conceded four and lost to the worst team in the league last weekend.
If that happened against the worst, what will happen against the best?
Kelty Hearts vs Stranraer - Stranraer to win
Stranraer currently sit joint top of League Two with Clyde but are nine goals better off. They have the best defence in the league, by a distance, they have only conceded nine goals in thirteen matches with the next best defence being Elgin City who have conceded nineteen.
Ten goals of a difference, TEN! They have also only conceded once in the last five.
Kelty were struggling but have picked up form recently having won three out of their last five but are still one of the lowest scoring teams in the league. Only the bottom two and Dumbarton have scored less this season.
Stranraer have scored the joint-second most goals in the league and have the best goal difference with +19, nine higher than the next best which is joint league leaders Clyde.
Stranraer also have the best away record in the league, in six matches so far they have won four, drawn one and lost one. They are the top scorers away from home with nineteen goals in those six.
With Kelty’s up turn in form it won’t be an easy away day for the league leaders, however, with their defensive record and the current run they are on, I think they’ll get the victory here.
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