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Alan Kelly’s Horse Racing Tips

Horse racing tips for the meetings at Exeter & Wetherby on Tuesday


We’ve got daily tips from our resident horse racing expert, Alan Kelly.

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Alan Kelly’s Horse Racing Tips for Tuesday, March 19th

Tuesday’s horse racing tips come from the two jumps meetings at Exeter and Wetherby. The going is soft at both courses, heavy in places at the former.


Nap of the Day - Lord Of Kerak (Each-Way) (3:45pm Wetherby) - 6/1 with William Hill*

An excellent second over today’s course and distance behind a smart horse of Nicky Richards last March, Sean Bowen’s mount would prove very hard to beat with a similar effort for the in-form Olly Murphy stable.

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Lord Of Kerak (Each-Way) (Nap)

3:45pm Wetherby


3:15pm Wetherby, 2m 3 1/2f - Nambiti

Course and distance winner Whoshotthesheriff has struggled to recapture the kind of form which saw him win here back in October 2011 and is best watched at the moment, despite looking very well treated off a career-low mark of 119. Joint top weight Heartbreak Kid returns to fences following a couple of less than inspiring efforts over the smaller obstacles and is another contender who is hard to fancy at the moment.

A dual winner over fences in France, NAMBITI is interesting on his third start for trainer Venetia Williams. Charlie Deutsch’s mount should strip fitter for his run at Leicester recently when finishing a respectable last in a three-runner affair, the six-year-old’s first start for 451 days.

Only losing second spot to a horse, Hatos, (who was on a hat-trick) in the final 100 yards behind unexposed winner Wewillgowithplanb, Nambiti can open his account in this country at the main expense of Micky Hammond’s Carrigeen Castle, an easy winner here last month but possibly in the grip of the handicapper now.

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Nambiti

3:15pm Wetherby


3:45pm Wetherby, 3m - Lord Of Kerak (Each-Way) (Nap)

The handicapper looks to have the measure of top weight Top Of The Bill now, following the eight-year-old’s two victories at Exeter and recent comprehensive defeat on that course. Nick Alexander’s Donny Boy has yet to win in five attempts over fences and may need the handicapper to drop the son of Westerner a few pounds in an effort to open his account, which leaves the Olly Murphy-trained LORD OF KERAK (Each-Way) and Cerendipity from the Sue Smith stable as the two to concentrate on.

The latter runs off the same mark as when winning here in November over a much shorter trip. Daryl Jacob’s mount is unproven beyond 2m 4f, and for that reason the seven-year-old is reluctantly passed over in favour of Sean Bowen’s mount.

The nine-year-old walked over at Leicester just over a week ago, the gelding’s only disappointing effort in four other runs this season coming over today’s course and distance in January when finishing a well-beaten sixth of the 10 runners. The selection is much better judged on his second at Wetherby last March, a length and half behind the now 139-rated Famous Bridge, a cracking fourth behind Chianti Classico in last week’s Ultima at the Cheltenham Festival.

Now running off a 1lb lower mark (120), Lord Of Kerak would prove very hard to beat with a similar performance, especially coming from a stable enjoying a 24% strike-rate over the last two weeks. The 7/1 outsider of the six runners on William Hill’s opening show, odds which may prove to be on the generous side about Sean Bowen’s mount.

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Lord Of Kerak (Each-Way) (Nap)

3:45pm Wetherby


4:00pm Exeter, 3m - Caeruleum (Each-Way) (Next Best)

Having started favourite for all three starts over fences, connections clearly expected better from the six-year-old CAERULEUM (Each-Way) than the three resulting defeats, two of which came with a combined losing distance of 111 lengths.

The Robert Walford-trained gelding was always on the back foot at Leicester on his most recent start after making a shocking mistake at the fourth fence when taking the field along. The mount of 3lb claimer Harry Kimber’s best performance to date came on his chasing debut in December when runner-up over today’s course and distance, beaten by a horse who was recording a hat-trick of wins.

Off a mark of 88, Caeruleum only needs to reproduce that level of performance to win a race of this modest nature. Sue Gardner’s Lightonthewing looks like the main danger to the selection if reproducing his victory at Wincanton recently. While any support for Venetia Williams’ Desert Fortune could prove significant on his second start for the stable. Several bookmakers are offering three places on the race.

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Caeruleum (Each-Way) (Next Best)

4:00pm Exeter


* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.


About Alan Kelly

A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his own betting shop as an owner/manager.

A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights down the years, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Freebets.com in 2008.

You can follow Alan on Twitter for more racing insight.


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Alan Kelly

Alan Kelly

A horse racing expert on Freebets.com for over a decade, Alan Kelly has you covered with his daily racing tips.