Alan Kelly’s Horse Racing Tips
Horse racing tips for Wetherby on Wednesday, plus an ante-post tip for Saturday
We’ve got daily tips from our resident horse racing expert, Alan Kelly.
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Latest Profit & Loss Figures
Another excellent week ended Saturday 12th October with a profit of +£22.59, mainly down to a couple of big priced winners; Entrancement on Thursday (advised at 12/1) and Jungle Drums on Saturday (SP of 20/1).
- P/L for w/e Saturday 12th October: +£22.59
- P/L for 2024 to date: +£111.65
- P/L since 1st September 2022: +£396.92
Alan Kelly’s Horse Racing Tips
The 2024/25 national hunt season began in earnest last weekend with some excellent jumps action at Chepstow and Ffos Las. Wednesday’s cards at Wetherby and Worcester, together with the Irish meeting at Punchestown are sure to provide plenty of clues for the weeks and months ahead.
Nap of the Day - Primoz (2:30pm Wetherby)
Lucinda Russell’s dual hurdle winner is expected to make up into a decent chaser and can get his career off to the best possible start with a victory in this Class 3 handicap.
2:30pm Wetherby - Primoz (Nap)
Trainer Lucinda Russell looks to have found a good opportunity for her unexposed dual hurdle winner PRIMOZ (Nap), who makes his chasing debut off a mark of 123 in this Class 3 handicap run over 1m 7f. After finishing second in a couple of point-to-points in Ireland last spring, the son of top flat stayer Westerner, following a break of 202 days, made a successful debut for the stable when running out the easy winner of an above average novices’ hurdle at Ayr around this time last year.
Despite failing to make the frame in his next two starts (one of which came in a Haydock Grade 2 contest) the six-year-old ended the season with a victory in a handicap at Ayr’s Scottish Grand National meeting. Derek Fox’s mount looks the type to make his mark as a novice chaser in the months ahead and I will be disappointed if he is not up to beating his four exposed rivals, the best of which may be Ann Hamilton’s recent Kelso winner Pay The Piper.
Recommendation: Primoz (Nap) - 6/4 with bet365
3:30pm Wetherby - Envious Editor (Each-Way)
If the ground stays on the soft side of good, as currently forecast, it would be no surprise to see Dan Skelton’s Jet Plane go close to defying top weight in this Bobby Renton Chase, based on the gelding’s victories at Sandown and Market Rasen towards the back end of last season. Fergus Gillard’s mount has run well following a break in the past so may not be inconvenienced by an absence of six months.
The most interesting of the eight contenders is the Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero-trained Jagwar, who is making his debut over fences following some promising efforts over the smaller obstacles. Any market confidence would be significant regarding Jonjo O’Neill’s mount, who could easily be better than these off an opening mark of 118 for leading owner JP McManus.
One horse who will not fail through lack of fitness is the 10-year-old ENVIOUS EDITOR (Each-Way) Editor from the Gary Hanmer stable. Robbie Dunne’s mount may not have the scope of one or two of his rivals, but a reproduction of his close second to Olly Murphy’s promising Roccovango at Worcester last month would put this consistent performer in with every chance of making the frame at the very least.
Recommendation: Envious Editor (Each-Way) - 15/2 with William Hill (3 places)
5:03pm Wetherby - Tribal Glory
A close third when strongly fancied for a 19-runner novices’ handicap hurdle at Cheltenham two years ago, Richard Bandey’s Master Dancer has failed to progress from that promising effort, but now running off an 11lb lower mark and following a recent wind op, Jack Quinlan’s mount is worth note regarding any market confidence.
Lucinda Russell’s Fox’s Fancy is another worth checking for any support on the mare’s handicap debut off an opening mark of 108 and following the daughter of Kayf Tara’s victory in a mares’ maiden hurdle at Perth earlier in the year. Billy Boi Blue and Duke Of Deception both have claims, the latter back over the smaller obstacles following a successful spell chasing. However, I think this provides a good opportunity for the Fergal O’Brien-trained TRIBAL GLORY to open his account over hurdles at the third attempt and off an opening handicap mark of 112.
The mount of 5lb claiming amateur Mr Ben Sutton has been sent off favourite for all four starts to date, recording his one victory with an all-the-way success in a Worcester Bumper last summer. A narrow runner-up on both of his starts over hurdles, the Mahler gelding is sure to appreciate this step-up to 3m for the first time and with a rating that could prove on the generous side.
Recommendation: Tribal Glory - 9/2 with bet365
Ante-Post - Saturday, 3.55pm Ascot - Royal Rhyme (Each-Way)
The two outstanding contenders for this Group 1 Qipco Champion Stakes are Irish Champion Stakes winner Economics and French raider Calandagan, the latter clear of the rest when finishing a length second behind City Of Troy in York’s Juddmonte International. Of course, both horses hold outstanding claims, the big question is, does either horse represent value at short odds racing on ground which is going to be testing to say the least?
At the 40/1 currently available with Betfred, I would much rather back the Karl Burke-trained ROYAL RHYME (Each-Way) from a stable which can do little wrong at the moment. The Lope De Vega colt is rated only 7lb below Economics and really needs soft ground to be seen at his best, conditions he has not encountered since winning Sandown’s Brigadier Gerard Stakes on his first run of the season.
Fifth behind King Of Steel in this race 12 months ago when losing two places inside the final furlong after pulling too hard in the early stages, I think Royal Rhyme is capable of improving upon that performance and gets the each-way vote in a race which may not go the way most people expect.
Recommendation: Royal Rhyme (Each-Way) - 40/1 with Betfred (3 places)
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Freebets.com in 2008.
You can follow Alan on Twitter for more racing insight.
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