Tour de France Betting Odds: Can Pogacar Win a Fifth Tour?
The 2026 Tour de France gets underway in Barcelona on Saturday, 4 July, and Tadej Pogacar heads the Tour de France betting odds as he aims to land back-to-back wins and a fifth yellow jersey overall.
The 113th edition runs from 4-26 July, opening with a rare team time trial in Spain, followed by three stages on Catalan soil and a brutal run through the Pyrenees and Alps.
With eight mountain stages, five summit finishes and back-to-back trips up Alpe d'Huez in the final week, it's a route built for the climbers.
Below, we break down the latest Tour de France odds across all the main markets, plus the best free bet offers to get you started.
Tour de France 2026 Outright Odds
Pogacar heads the betting at a short price after a stunning season, with Jonas Vingegaard the clear second favourite and French teenager Paul Seixas leading the outsiders.
Tour de France 2026 Favourites
Tadej Pogacar is chasing history. Victory would take the UAE Team Emirates-XRG rider to five Tour titles, joining Jacques Anquetil, Eddy Merckx, Bernard Hinault and Miguel Indurain on the all-time list.
His 2026 form is frightening - 13 wins from just 16 race days - and his final warm-up was a statement, winning the Tour de Suisse by more than six minutes. Only a crash or illness looks likely to stop him.
Jonas Vingegaard is the one man to have beaten Pogacar at the Tour, doing so in 2022 and 2023.
The Visma-Lease a Bike leader arrives fresh off winning the Giro d'Italia and is in his best shape for years, though the loss of key helper Wout van Aert to injury is a blow.
For anyone chasing a bigger price than the favourite, he's the obvious pick.
Paul Seixas is the story of the race. At 19, he's the youngest Tour starter since 1937 and has already won Itzulia Basque Country and La Fleche Wallonne this year.
The unknown is the three-week distance - he has never ridden a Grand Tour.
Behind them, Remco Evenepoel and UAE's Isaac del Toro look more like podium contenders than genuine yellow-jersey threats, while 2025 third-place finisher Florian Lipowitz is another for the top-five markets.
One note for British fans: with Oscar Onley ruled out through injury, there's no home GC contender this year, so the each-way interest lies elsewhere.
Tour de France Green Jersey Odds
The points classification favours the sprinters, and Jasper Philipsen is the man to beat, helped by a rule tweak that rewards flat-stage finishes and by having Mathieu van der Poel as his lead-out man.
Tim Merlier, Olav Kooij and Mads Pedersen head the chasing pack, with 2024 winner Biniam Girmay also in the mix. Last year's winner Jonathan Milan skips the race, leaving the door open.
Tour de France King of the Mountains Odds
The polka dot jersey is tricky to call. Pogacar is favourite simply because GC contenders tend to hoover up mountain points on the summit finishes - including the double-points Alpe d'Huez days.
For value, the riders actively targeting the jersey are worth a look.
Former winner Richard Carapaz and climber Lenny Martinez both head to the race with the polka dots in mind and can profit if they're given freedom in the breakaways.
Top British Rider & Each-Way Tips
With no British GC challenger, the home interest is in the stage-win markets. Tom Pidcock, the 2022 Alpe d'Huez winner, is the headline name and a strong stage-hunting threat, while Ben Healy is another fancied to grab a day in the spotlight.
Beyond the outright, matchup bets are a popular angle - a straight forecast on the Pogacar v Vingegaard battle is available at most bookies - along with podium and top-10 finish markets for those wanting an each-way alternative to backing the odds-on favourite.
How to Bet on the Tour de France
The Tour is really several races in one: the overall yellow jersey, the green (points), polka dot (mountains) and white (young rider) jerseys, plus daily stage wins and head-to-head matchups.
Because there are usually only two or three genuine yellow-jersey contenders, the secondary markets and stage-by-stage betting are where many punters look for value.
It always pays to shop around, as prices vary from one bookmaker to the next - compare the latest odds across the top betting sites before placing a bet.
