Newmarket Tips: Saturday Predictions & Latest Odds ITV Racing
The three day Newmarket Guineas meeting is underway, and today's card features the 2000 Guineas, the first classic of the English flat season.
Exclusive to Free Bets I look at the races that are live on ITV Racing this afternoon, and I've got three tips for you, including one at a massive price in the 2000 Guineas.
Newmarket Tips - Saturday
My three tips below come with odds from betting sites so you can see how the markets are shaping up for both races.
Newmarket 2:20pm - Mister Winston (NAP)
The Andrew Balding trained Mister Winston recorded a nice win at this course just over two weeks ago, making a really nice impression on my, and I think he's got a chance of going close again.
He's got a 5lb penalty, which is the same as his revised mark, so gets in off the weight he should, and I thought he was more than value for that 5lb, looking in control of the race for much of the way.
He's a front runner, and I think this track can sometimes really play into the hands of those, Oisin Murphy keeps the ride, and is excellent at judging the fractions.
He's got an additional furlong here, but I don't see that being too much of a problem for him, he doesn't look like he's stopping in races over one mile.
A couple of his main rivals haven't had a run this season yet, and I think that fitness edge still counts for something, even a few weeks into the season.
- Recommendation: Mister Winston (NAP)
Newmarket 2:55pm - Quinault (EW)
I'm going to lean into the fitness angle again here, with Quinault the pick in the Palace House Stakes.
I don't think he's the best in this race, or will be the best this season, but all of his main market rivals are coming here for their first run. Quinault went to Newcastle at the end of January, Doha in February, and ran here at the Craven meeting, finishing third in the Abernant Stakes.
I think that definitely brings things into his favour, and at an each way price, is worth a play.
Rock solid, his form in the book puts him on the cusp of winning something like this. If a couple of his rivals do need it, then it's not just placing we can hope for, he has a chance of winning.
- Recommendation: Quinault (EW)
Newmarket 3:35pm - Needle Match (EW)
William Haggas knows a good horse when he sees one, and I don't think he'd be sending Needle Match here unless he genuinely thought he could run well, and that's something I think will happen.
A winner on debut last year at Newbury in a good race, he looked like he needed a little further than the six and a half furlongs that day.
He reappeared this season at the same track, finishing fourth in the Greenham Stakes, just two and a quarter lengths behind the winner Alparslan.
I don't think that was the best of trials, if I'm honest, but Needle Match definitely caught my eye.
He was green again, and missed the break a little, which didn't help his early positioning. The way he came home tells me that he'll improve quite a lot for the additional furlong he'll see here today.
A horse with bags of potential, if he's improved for his last outing, which seems likely, and he improves for the extra furlong, also likely, then he's got to be in and around the finish at a massive price.
I fancy him to give us a good run for our money at nice odds.
- Recommendation: Needle Match (EW)
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