Premier League Relegation Odds - Tottenham or West Ham - Who Goes Down?

Updated: May 20, 2026 at 12:31 pm GMT+1

Two of London's biggest clubs - one Championship trapdoor.

Going into the final day of the 2025/26 Premier League season, either Tottenham or West Ham will be relegated - and UK betting sites have made their minds up about which, with Premier League relegation odds pointing only one way.

It would be the most shocking demotion in years either way.

Spurs last went down in 1976/77 under Keith Burkinshaw, ending 27 consecutive top-flight seasons. West Ham were relegated in May 2011, losing 3-2 to Wigan having led 2-0 at half-time.

By Sunday tea-time, one of those records gets rewritten.


The State Of Play

Wolves and Burnley were confirmed as down weeks ago.

That leaves a straight shoot-out for 18th between Roberto De Zerbi's Spurs (17th, 38 points, GD -9) and Nuno's Hammers (18th, 36 points, GD -22).

Tottenham host Everton on Sunday. West Ham welcome Leeds to the London Stadium at the same time.

For the Hammers to survive they need to win and hope Spurs lose.

A Tottenham draw would likely see them survive, as it's unlikely West Ham can overturn a 13-goal swing on goal difference.

Premier League Relegation Odds

The market is screaming one outcome.

Opta's supercomputer agrees, giving West Ham an 80% relegation probability.

Spurs have drifted from 3/1 to 8/1 in a fortnight - the market has voted.

Tottenham's Case For The Drop

Spurs are in this mess for a reason.

Thomas Frank was sacked on 11 February after just two wins in 17 league games.

Igor Tudor's 44-day interim spell yielded one point from five.

De Zerbi, the third manager of the campaign, inherited a 15-game winless run.

Then came Tuesday's 2-1 collapse at Chelsea, where Enzo Fernandez and Andrey Santos punished familiar defensive frailties.

A point would have done it. They didn't get one.

Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Everton FC
May 24th 3:00 pm
Home
Draw
Away
Tottenham Hotspur FC
TOT
Everton FC
EVE

West Ham's Case For The Drop

Graham Potter went in September after one win in five.

Nuno briefly steadied things before three straight defeats - Brentford, Arsenal, and a 3-1 collapse at Newcastle - dumped them back into the bottom three.

That -22 goal difference is the killer.

West Ham have conceded 62 in 37, the third-worst record in the division.

Final-day Leeds, in form and playing free, is no gimme.

West Ham United FC vs Leeds United FC
May 24th 3:00 pm
Home
Draw
Away
West Ham United FC
WHU
Leeds United FC
LEE

Verdict: Hammers Set For The Drop

Spurs host an Everton side playing for pride and need only a draw.

West Ham face a Leeds team with nothing to lose.

Fixtures, form (Spurs unbeaten in four under De Zerbi) and the goal-difference cushion all point one way.

For more selections on the run-in, our football betting tips cover every Premier League match-up, and you can browse the latest free bet offers from UK bookmakers before backing your final-day picks.


Scott McGlynn
Scott McGlynn

Scott McGlynn draws on over 30 years of sports betting and casino experience, bringing data-led insights and first-hand knowledge to our readers. An authoritative and trusted voice in the gambling industry, Scott ensures our readers are always informed on the very latest sports and casino offerings.

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