Australia vs England Ashes Tips, Predictions & Odds - Fifth Test

January 2, 2026 at 8:28 am GMT+0

After just 13 days of cricket across four Test matches so far, the Ashes heads for its conclusion at Sydney this week, with England buoyed by a chaotic win at the MCG.

The two-day win - the second two-day Test of the series - was England's first win on Australia soil since 2010/11, and could open the floodgates for Ben Stokes' side while Australia will be looking to give Usman Khawaja a good send-off after he announced his impending international retirement.

Free Bets cricket expert, Will Jackson, has picked out some top tips across markets ahead of the fifth Test as England look to avoid further embarrassment.


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Australia vs England Ashes Tips

Here are our cricket betting tips ahead of the fifth Test in Sydney, exclusively with BoyleSports.

Tip 1: England to win

It has been a strange old series.

On the one hand, England have been pretty miserable and comfortably beaten by a more battle-hardened team but on the other, even at their worst they have had moments in games where they have had a foot in the door.

They should have won in Perth considering their position early on day two, they had the pick of the conditions in Brisbane after winning the toss and proceeded to drop catches and let Australia run away with the game, and then had a couple of disputable DRS calls gone their way in Adelaide it could have been a very different story in the third Test as well.

Australia have clearly been the better side, but you wonder if the series had been starting a couple of weeks ago - would England be in a better position to win the series?

We saw a bit of the old confidence we're used to seeing from this side in Melbourne and that win should release the shackles and put a very different slant on the series.

Gus Atkinson's absence will be one problem for the tourists though, but then again, I don't think they will be sweating over the prospect of Todd Murphy bowling at them and with plenty of tension in the Australia batting line-up, I think there's a very good chance to pick up another win in Sydney.

England to win
Australia vs England
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Tip 2: Usman Khawaja to score a first-innings fifty

It has been coming a long time and was no surprise when Khawaja announced his retirement a couple of days out from the first day.

His returns have been diminishing and at the age of 39 isn't a reliable option for either the 2027 Ashes or the next WTC Final should Australia get there.

He has been a great servant to the Australia side with over 6,000 Test runs and 16 centuries to date, and his recent weaknesses have been masked somewhat by a return to the middle order after the opening Test.

His record at the SCG in particular is worthy of mentioning, with four centuries in nine matches and an average of 87.50 - is there time for one last hurrah?

A century would be asking a lot in a bowler-dominated series, but if Sydney is flatter than the MCG was - although I would still expect it to be a challenge - then the middle-order players should thrive.

Usman Khawaja to score a first-innings fifty
Australia vs England
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Tip 3: Crawley top run-scorer, Tongue top wicket-taker in England first innings

We're siding with two in-form players for England in this one, and two of the few players who will come out of this tour with credit in the bank.

After a pair in Perth, Crawley has shown both why the selectors have persisted with him and why he has infuriated England fans so often over the years, but there have been encouraging signs in his approach in recent matches.

If he can continue to reign in his impetuous driving habit, he really does have the game to dominate attacks and become a top-drawer opener.

The 77 he made at Sydney four years ago was the innings that set off this current run at the top of the order for England so he has fond memories at the ground, and he will be desperate to tick off the final landmark for him personally in this series after three half-centuries - a century.

If he can get through Mitchell Starc's opening burst there is nothing to be afraid of in the Australia attack so I'm hoping we can see him knuckle down once again.

In terms of Tongue, lots of England followers are getting quite excited about his ability and just how good he can be after picking up eight wickets at Melbourne.

His awkward action and good pace means he should be able to pick up wickets on any surface and not just rely on the help provided at the MCG.

Whether he can back it up or not will be the big question, but I'll be interested to see the Australia approach to his bowling this week because I think they will be quite wary of what he has to offer.

Zak Crawley England's top scorer first innings
Josh Tongue England's top wicket-taker first innings
Australia vs England Bet Builder
Australia vs England
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Australia vs England Latest Odds

Australia were the pre-series favourites with cricket betting sites ahead of the game, here's a look at the latest odds.

Correct Score
Best Odds
Teams Best Odds

Where to Watch Australia vs England

Looking forward to watching the Ashes? Here's everything you need to know ahead of the game.

TV Channel

In the United Kingdom the series is being broadcast exclusively on TNT Sports for live coverage of the Ashes Test matches.

Live Stream Information

You can also stream the series in the UK through the discovery+ streaming platform (which carries TNT Sports content) and TNTโ€™s live streaming services, providing on-demand and live coverage of each Test in the series.

Start time

Test match start times will vary by day and Test location, and full daily coverage typically begins each morning in UK time given the matches are staged in Australia.

The fifth Test will start at 11.30pm UK time.

Fixture date

The third Test will start on Saturday, 3 January, UK time.

Stadium

21โ€“25 November 2025 at Perth Stadium (Perth)

4โ€“8 December 2025 at The Gabba (Brisbane)

17โ€“21 December 2025 at Adelaide Oval (Adelaide)

26โ€“30 December 2025 at Melbourne Cricket Ground (Melbourne)

4โ€“8 January 2026 at Sydney Cricket Ground (Sydney)

Will Jackson
Will Jackson

Former sports journalist, formerly of PA Media, who spent years on the road specialising in football and cricket before moving behind a desk. More recently a PR manager before moving into the world of content and marketing with Freebets.com.

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