Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship Golf Betting Tips, Predictions & Odds
Ben Smith 
The DP World Tour returns to Yas Links for the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship, the opening leg of the season-ending play-offs and a $9m Rolex Series stop that has drawn much of the tour’s elite.
Rory McIlroy heads the market as he looks to protect his Race to Dubai lead over the chasing pack, with Tommy Fleetwood, Tyrrell Hatton, Ludvig Åberg and Matt Fitzpatrick all close behind in the odds.
Yas Links is an exposed par 72 that can be a genuine test when the wind picks up, as we saw with Thomas Pieters’ 10-under winning total in 2022, although calmer editions, which are expected this week, have turned it into a birdie shootout.
Strategic course management is crucial here, with its sprawling greens, deep bunkers, and ever-present water hazards shaping every approach shot, and with that in mind, Free Bets golf expert Ben Smith has picked out a few golf betting tips.
Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship Betting Tips
Here are our three top tips, with the best prices on the market
Tip 1: Winner - Tyrrell Hatton
Hatton looks the most convincing pick among the leading figures this week. He’s been consistently outstanding at Yas Links, coming inside the top seven in each of his three starts since the event moved here, with his latest effort being a runner-up berth in 2024.
Hatton’s overall precision and sharp iron play make him ideally suited to a course that rewards control rather than brute power. His overall record in the Middle East is also exceptional, with past victories in both Abu Dhabi and Dubai, and his recent form backs that up, including a second-place finish at the Alfred Dunhill Links and a satisfactory campaign overall.
Sitting third in the Race to Dubai, he has every incentive to deliver another top-class performance and could easily go one better than last year.
Tip 2: Winner - Alex Noren
Few players arrive in better rhythm than Alex Noren, whose steady climb back to top form has been one of the stories of the season.
The Swede’s recent spell has included two victories and several near misses, built on reliable driving and a confident stroke on the greens.
Yas Links proved a natural fit when he came fifth here in 2023, leading the field in putting and adapting comfortably to the layout’s coastal challenges.
Noren’s history on similar setups, including wins and high finishes across Europe’s links-style events, underlines why he’s so well-suited to this week. With his belief restored and his all-round game in balance, he is surely a genuine threat to the market leaders.
Tip 3: Winner - Keita Nakajima (Each-Way) (6 places)
Keita Nakajima is another player I’m keen to have onside this week. The Japanese star has been knocking on the door all season, falling one short in Singapore and India, having won the 2024 Indian Open.
Currently sitting inside the Race to Dubai’s top 12 and closing in on one of the available PGA Tour cards, motivation won’t be an issue. Strong in this part of the world and 13th here last year, he may well be ready to push higher this time.
Tip 4: Winner - Joakim Lagergren (Each-Way) (6 places)
Joakim Lagergren has pieced together a productive year, posting runner-up finishes at both the KLM Open and Irish Open.
Currently 12th in the Race to Dubai standings, he’s on the verge of completing a remarkable turnaround after losing his DP World Tour card two years ago.
Off the back of some hot putting weeks recently, and a long history of success on links-style courses, Yas Links should give him another genuine chance to contend.
Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship Latest Odds
Here are the latest live odds from a selection of the best betting sites on the market.
Where to Watch the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship
If you're looking to watch the action alongside getting involved with the golf betting this week, then here's how you can see the action live from Abu Dhabi, in the UAE.
TV Channel
The tournament will be broadcast live on Sky Sports Golf (and sometimes Sky Sports Main Event) for UK viewers.
Live Stream Information
Sky subscribers can stream the action via Sky Go, as long as their package includes the relevant Sky Sports channels.
For those without a Sky Sports subscription, NOW TV provides flexible daily and monthly passes to watch the tournament live.
The official DP World Tour website offers My Tour streaming of featured groups for free (registration required), though geo-restrictions may apply.
