Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Tips, Predictions & Odds

March 4, 2026 at 9:00 pm GMT+0

Bay Hill hosts one of the standout stops of the PGA Tour season as the Arnold Palmer Invitational brings together an elite field ahead of next week’s Players Championship.

The Florida layout is a familiar, demanding test that rewards precise ball striking, smart course management and patience when conditions toughen.

Defending champion Russell Henley returns, while Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, Collin Morikawa and Xander Schauffele headline a deep lineup chasing a prestigious title on a course closely linked with Palmer’s legacy.

With elevated prize money and FedEx Cup points on offer, motivation is high despite the calendar spot before TPC Sawgrass. Low scores are never guaranteed at Bay Hill, and those who combine smart aggression on the par fives with consistent ball striking will give themselves the best chance to contend.

Free Bets golf expert Ben Smith is here with his golf tips ahead of the action in Florida.

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The Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Tips

Check out our golf betting tips for the Arnold Palmer Invitational below.

Tip 1: Winner - Jacob Bridgeman (Each-Way)

Jacob Bridgeman (Each-Way) (5 places)
Arnold Palmer Invitational
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Few players on the PGA Tour have produced a more complete statistical profile this season than Jacob Bridgeman. He has gained strokes in every key category apart from around the greens, and his work on the putting surfaces has been particularly impressive, currently ranking first on Tour. That sharpness with the flat stick was crucial at the Genesis Invitational, where he closed the door in the final group ahead of McIlroy.

Arriving in excellent form, his price this week looks generous. A tied 15th at Bay Hill last year shows he is comfortable on the layout, and with confidence high, this looks like another good opportunity for him to feature near the top of the leaderboard.

Tip 2: Winner - Sepp Straka (Each-Way)

Sepp Straka (Each-Way) (5 places)
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Sepp Straka continues to look well-suited to Bay Hill, as shown here last year when finishing fifth. His season has already included a runner-up effort at Pebble Beach, while earlier events saw him climb the leaderboard over the weekend after modest starts.

The Austrian’s iron play remains a key strength, especially from mid-range distances. With his accurate driving and dependable putting also standing him in good stead here, he has the right tools to outperform his price again this week.

Tip 3: Winner - Ryan Fox (Each-Way)

Ryan Fox (Each-Way) (5 places)
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Ryan Fox looks an interesting contender given the steady progress in his recent results. Finishes of 24th in Phoenix and at Pebble Beach were followed by an excellent seventh at Riviera, where his ball striking reached a new level for the season.

That upward trajectory is encouraging ahead of a return to Bay Hill, where he finished 14th on his only appearance and signed off with an eye-catching 67. Since that visit he has added multiple victories at a higher level, so he arrives as a far more accomplished player who can deliver another bold showing this week.

Tip 4: Winner - Daniel Berger (Each-Way)

Daniel Berger (Each-Way) (5 places)
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Daniel Berger’s tee-to-green game dipped in the two West Coast Signature events, but there were clear signs of improvement last week once he got back to Florida, where his approach numbers rebounded nicely at PGA National.

Earlier in the season he had already shown his upside with a sixth place in Hawaii and a solid showing in Phoenix, driven by high-quality iron play. His record at Bay Hill also reads well for limited visits, with two top-15 finishes, and that combination of course comfort plus trending ball striking makes him appealing at the odds.


Arnold Palmer Invitational Latest Odds

Take a look at the latest Arnold Palmer Invitational odds from the top UK betting sites below.


Where to Watch The Arnold Palmer Invitational

If you’re planning to follow the action live while getting involved with golf betting this weeked, here’s how you can watch every shot from the Arnold Palmer Invitational as it happens.

TV Channel

The Arnold Palmer Invitational will be shown live in the UK on Sky Sports Main Event and Sky Sports Golf.

Live Stream Information

Sky Sports subscribers can stream the tournament live via Sky Go, while non-subscribers can watch all the action on NOW with a day or a monthly pass.


Ben Smith
Ben Smith

Specialising in golf and tennis tips for the biggest events on the calendar, he also has a sharp eye for spotting value in other markets, making him a trusted voice for punters seeking an edge.

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