The American Express Betting Tips, Predictions & Odds

January 21, 2026 at 4:00 pm GMT+0

The PGA Tour heads to California this week for The American Express, a unique pro-am played across three courses at PGA West in La Quinta.

Players will rotate between the Pete Dye Stadium Course, the Nicklaus Tournament Course and La Quinta Country Club before the final round returns to the Stadium Course on Sunday.

With calm desert conditions, generous pin positions and three birdie-friendly layouts, this is usually a proper shootout, with winning scores regularly pushing into the mid-to-high 20s under par.

That doesn’t mean it’s easy to call, though, as the multi-course setup often creates a wide-open leaderboard and plenty of surprise contenders.

Free Bets golf expert Ben Smith is here with his golf tips ahead of The American Express.

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The American Express Betting Tips

Check out our golf betting tips for the The American Express below.

Tip 1: Winner - Si Woo Kim (Each-Way)

Si Woo Kim (Each-Way) (10 places)
The American Express
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Everything points towards Si Woo Kim having another big week in the desert.

He arrives off an 11th-place finish at the Sony Open where his long game was as good as anyone’s, ranking right at the top from tee to green and piling up chances with his irons.

That profile is ideal for PGA West, where winning scores are always deep, and you need sustained birdie looks across all four rounds.

Kim is also a proven performer here, already a winner and regularly in the mix with a solid record of weekend appearances and top-25 finishes.

Add in his comfort on Bermudagrass and his ability to thrive on shorter, target-style tracks, and he looks a serious contender if the putter cooperates.

Tip 2: Winner - Max Homa (Each-Way)

Max Homa (Each-Way) (6 places)
The American Express
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Max Homa is at a price I can’t ignore, as the signs late in 2025 suggested his game was finally moving in the right direction again.

He’s shown he can handle this event too, having been in or close to the lead after 54 holes in his last two appearances here, which tells you he can score across the rotation.

California has always brought out his best, with most of his biggest PGA Tour moments coming on home soil, and that familiarity matters in a low-scoring affair.

Recent autumn form included a strong finish in Utah and a solid showing at Sanderson Farms, plus the return to working with Mark Blackburn is another boost.

At triple figures, the upside is worth the gamble.

Tip 3: Winner - Michael Kim (Each-Way)

Michael Kim (Each-Way) (6 places)
The American Express
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Michael Kim is on the radar again after a standout 2025 that included multiple high-end finishes and a long-overdue win in France.

He comes into this off a solid Sony Open where a Saturday wobble in the wind masked three good scoring rounds, capped by a closing 65.

PGA West should suit, with Kim already showing he can contend here after finishing sixth last year and sitting second at halfway.

His current numbers are ideal for this setup too, combining sharp putting with strong approach play, and he’s shown he can go low when the conditions allow.

Tip 4: Winner - Matt McCarty (Each-Way)

Matt McCarty (Each-Way) (6 places)
The American Express
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Matt McCarty is another interesting triple-figure outsider this week.

His Sony Open finish doesn’t tell the full story, as he drove it well and found plenty of fairways and greens, but the putter never warmed up.

That’s usually a strength, and a quick bounce-back is realistic on these receptive PGA West layouts.

He also arrives with solid late-2025 form and a knack for making birdies in bunches, which is exactly what you need here.


The American Express Latest Odds

Take a look at the latest American Express odds from the top UK betting sites below.


Where to Watch the The American Express

If you want to follow the action live while getting involved with golf betting this week, here's how you can watch every moment from California.

TV Channel

The American Express will be shown live in the UK on Sky Sports Golf.

Live Stream Information

Sky subscribers can stream the tournament live on Sky Go, provided their package includes the relevant Sky Sports channels.

If you don’t have Sky Sports, NOW TV offers flexible day and month passes that give you full live coverage of the event.

Ben Smith
Ben Smith

Specialising in golf and tennis tips for the biggest events on the calendar, he also has a sharp eye for spotting value in other markets, making him a trusted voice for punters seeking an edge.

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