Alan Kelly’s Horse Racing Tips
Horse racing tips for Windsor & Pontefract on Monday
Alan Kelly We’ve got daily tips from our resident horse racing expert, Alan Kelly.
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Alan Kelly’s Horse Racing Tips
We head to the evening meetings at Windsor and Pontefract for Monday's horse racing tips.
Nap of the Day - Accentuate (8:00pm Windsor)
Roger Varian’s promising son of Sea The Moon is expected to open his account at the third attempt with a victory in this novices’ contest run over one mile.
8:00pm Windsor - Accentuate (Nap)
Kevin Philippart De Foy’s Almekarem is the most interesting runner in the first division of this one mile contest for novices, the Shadwell colt being by top miler Kingman and out of a Group 2 winning Teofilo mare. Jim Crowley’s mount would be of interest if the market speaks in his favour. However, this second division looks to be the stronger of the two, the field of 11 headed by Roger Varian’s ACCENTUATE (Nap), who may have run up against a decent horse at Newbury last month when runner-up to William Haggas’s Raafedd.
Ray Dawson’s mount finished a close third at Ascot on his only run at two, the first two horses in that 7f contest now rated 100 and 92 respectively, while a head back in fourth place was the Richard Hannon-trained Angel Hunter, who now runs off a mark of 90.
Ralph Beckett’s Dissident showed promise on both of his starts as a juvenile at Newbury and on Kempton’s all-weather surface. I also thought Charles Hills’ Silent Storm made an encouraging debut at Newbury last month behind James Ferguson’s unbeaten Montpellier, the son of Dark Angel looking as if he would come on plenty for the run.
Ed Walker’s Furhaan is an interesting newcomer and any market move for Kieran Shoemark’s mount should be noted, but I will be disappointed if Accentuate is unable to lose his maiden tag at the third attempt with last month’s run under his belt.
Recommendation: Accentuate (Nap) - 10/11 with bet365
8:20pm Pontefract - Keep Warm
Michael & David Easterby’s KEEP WARM clearly feels at home at the West Yorkshire racecourse, both of the four-year-old’s victories having come over today’s course and distance as a juvenile. Despite failing to add to those wins in 2024, the son of Lightning Spear was runner-up on two occasions before ending the year with a close third over 7f on soft ground at Redcar.
This will be Keep Warm’s first attempt at today’s trip of 6f since those wins of two years ago and following a decent first run of the season at Ayr at the back-end of April (weakened after disputing the lead a furlong out) can make it three from three at Pontefract by taking this Class 5 sprint handicap in the hands of jockey Billy Garritty.
Declan Carroll’s Willolarupi won a similar race to this at Redcar last month; the mount of 3lb claimer Zac Wheatley may be the one to cause Keep Warm most problems.
Recommendation: Keep Warm - 15/2 with bet365
8:50pm Pontefract - Fierce & I Need Your Love
Since joining trainer Paul Midgley from the Gary & Josh Moore-stable back in March, all three of the five-year-old FIERCE's runs have been over the minimum trip, the son of Dandy Man looking as if he would benefit from today’s extra furlong on each occasion.
A staying-on fourth, beaten just over a length at Beverley last month, David Nolan’s mount finished second in a Newmarket handicap over 6f on good to soft ground as a three-year-old before opening his account with a victory in a soft-ground maiden at Nottingham the following month.
Fierce’s form was very in and out last year but he did manage to win a 6f handicap on Lingfield’s all-weather track in August. Following wind surgery earlier in the year, the selection has been running consistently well for new connections and now back over a more suitable trip, has every chance of taking this Class 5 contest racing off a mark of only 69.
Bottom weight Mr Sky Blue is the least exposed of the 11 runners and wasn’t beaten far when third over today’s course and distance back in April. However, I will also back one of the other two three-year-olds in the race, I NEED YOUR LOVE from the in-form stable of Michael & David Easterby.
Billy Garritty’s mount won a Redcar nursery off a 3lb lower mark in September before ending his two-year-old campaign with creditable efforts in defeat at Nottingham and Doncaster. Something was clearly amiss with the son of Zoustar over today’s course and distance on his reappearance when finishing tailed-off. From a stable in excellent form, I Need Your Love is worth another chance.
Recommendations: Fierce - 11/2 with Paddy Power & I Need Your Love - 25/1 with Paddy Power
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Freebets.com in 2008.
You can follow Alan Kelly on Twitter for more racing insight.
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