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A fabulous week ending Sunday 3 May, in particular a couple of outstanding days on Friday and Saturday with winners at 2/1, 4/1, 13/2 (25p R4), 11/10, 11/8, 9/1 10/1, and 11/1.
Our one losing nap of the week came on Sunday when Sacred Ground could only manage to finish second in Newmarket’s opener.
- P/L for the week ending Sunday, 3 May: +£37.96
- P/L for the year 2026 to date: +£105.06
- P/L for the year 2025: +£22.38
- P/L for the year 2024: +£200.42
- P/L since 1st September 2022: +£605.72
Alan Kelly's Tips - Thursday, 7 May
The Group 3 Ladbrokes Ormonde Stakes is the highlight on day two of Chester's May meeting, the extended 1m 5f contest due to get underway at 3:05pm.
1:30pm Chester - Seven Questions
Yet to open his account in 10 attempts since joining the stable of Robert Cowell from that of George Scott, this looks a good opportunity for SEVEN QUESTIONS to put that record straight, the five-year-old son of Kodiac having been handed the plum draw in stall one.
The gelding’s last of four victories to date came at Newmarket’s Guineas meeting two years ago off a mark of 100, 11lb more than Seven Questions’ current rating of 89. A promising third on his reappearance at Pontefract last month behind fellow rival Arklow Lad (drawn 13 and now on 7lb worse terms), Tom Marquand’s mount failed to produce his best at Ripon on his most recent start but there will be no excuses on the Roodee, granted a decent start from the selection.
Best of the three Hugo Palmer runners may be Roman Dragon, who has an excellent record at Chester.
Recommendation: Seven Questions - 9/2 with bet365
2:35pm Chester - Constitution River (Nap)
More likely to head to Chantilly for the French Derby rather than Epsom according to trainer Aidan O’Brien, those plans may well change regarding Ballydoyle’s Wootton Bassett colt CONSTITUTION RIVER (Nap) depending on how stablemate Benvenuto Cellini gets on in Wednesday’s Chester Vase (writing this Tuesday morning).
Despite not having raced since winning the Group 2 Futurity at the Curragh some eight months ago, O’Brien has been delighted with Constitution River’s homework in recent weeks, although Ryan Moore’s mount is sure to improve for the run. With a record 12 wins in the race, this exciting colt can put himself in the Derby picture (Epsom or Chantilly) with a victory in what looks to be just an average renewal of the Dee Stakes.
Constitution River’s only defeat to date in three starts came on his debut when going down by a short head to Betfred 2000 Guineas third Distant Storm in a Newmarket maiden last July. That form is much stronger than that of stablemate Flushing Meadows, which leaves the William Haggas-trained Morshdi as the other one to consider, although Tom Marquand’s mount has to concede 3lb to the selection.
Recommendation: Constitution River (Nap) - Evens with bet365
3:05pm Chester - Al Qareem (Each-Way)
The betting would suggest that this Group 3 Ormonde Stakes rests between the two Ballydoyle contenders, 2024 St Leger 1-2 Jan Brueghel and Illinois, the former going on to win last season’s Coronation Cup, while the latter won this race 12 months ago before stepping-up in trip when beating all bar Trawlerman in the Ascot Gold Cup.
On 5lb better terms, Illinois should, strictly speaking, confirm the form of last year’s race with runner-up AL QAREEM (Each-Way). However, many Ballydoyle horses are needing their first run of the season and with Karl Burke’s admirable seven-year-old having the advantage of last month’s game win over fellow rival Mount Atlas at Musselburgh under his belt, Clifford Lee’s mount looks decent each-way value at the current 14/1 available with William Hill.
With form figures on the course of 1-1-2 (including a victory over subsequent Arc winner Bluestocking), a big run from Al Qareem would come as no surprise. With Jan Brueghel also expected to improve for the run, Roger Varian’s St Leger runner-up Rahiebb is the other one to consider.
Recommendation: Al Qareem (Each-Way) - 14/1 with William Hill (3 places)
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Freebets.com in 2008.
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