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Latest Profit & Loss Figures
With very little turf racing taking place, we ended the week with a small profit of +£1.61, although three of our four naps obliged at odds of 11/4, 6/1, and 3/1 (25p R4).
- P/L for the week ending Sunday, 11 January: +£1.61
- P/L for the year 2026 to date: -£7.99
- P/L for the year 2025: +£22.38
- P/L for the year 2024: +£200.42
- P/L since 1st September 2022: +£508.37
Alan Kelly's Tips - Monday, 12 January
The predicted thaw should arrive in time for Monday's meeting at Hereford to go ahead as planned, the going currently described as good to soft, soft in places.
3:00pm Hereford - Bollin Thou (Nap)
Following his first three runs over hurdles for previous trainer Simon Hogson when unplaced in maiden hurdles at odds of 150/1, 200/1, and 250/1, the lightly raced eight-year-old Bollin Thou must have been showing something on his first start for Nick Scholfield having been sent off 9/4 favourite on his handicap debut at Kempton two months ago, the gelding's first outing for 263 days.
Eventually pulled up after weakening quickly from two out, Bollin Thou ran much better when fourth at Exeter last month. Well supported once again for a 13-runner Uttoxeter handicap on the final day of last year, this time with champion jockey Sean Bowen taking over in the saddle, the selection ran out a comfortable winner after travelling well throughout the race.
A 7lb higher mark will make things tougher for BOLLIN THOU (Nap), but with more improvement to come is expected to follow up in this novices’ limited handicap. This extra two furlongs longer trip should not be a problem.
Happy Returns, Jewel Eyed Lady and Mr Griffiths are all entered at Fontwell on Sunday (8.30am inspection) so must be considered doubtful runners if that meeting gets the go ahead. Of the rest, Henry Daly’s top weight Briery Butterfly, a creditable second in a mares’ novices’ handicap at Ludlow on her most recent start, is the other one to consider in the hands of jockey Sam Twiston-Davies.
Recommendation: Bollin Thou (Nap)
3:30pm Hereford - Prairie Queen (Each-Way)
After showing very little on her first three starts of 2025, the Neil Mulholland-trained and J P McManus-owned Jamaicaine was backed as if defeat was out of the question on her most recent start over today’s course and distance last month, the grey seven-year-old mare justifying odds of 4/5 to run out a wide-margin winner over her 12 rivals.
Despite a rise of 10lb for that seven and a half length victory, bookmakers are unlikely to take any chances regarding a repeat performance from Conor O’Farrell’s mount. As an each-way alternative to the likely market leader, I think bottom weight PRAIRE QUEEN (Each-Way) Queen can make the frame at the very least in receipt of weight from all of her rivals.
The Sue Gardner-trained six-year-old has yet to trouble the judge in 13 starts over hurdles, but has several decent efforts to her name, including when finishing a close fourth at Taunton on her most recent start. At her best when allowed to dictate matters from the front, Prairie Queen is fancied to make a bold bid from the front in this Class 5 contest.
Recommendation: Prairie Queen (Each-Way)
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Freebets.com in 2008.
You can follow Alan Kelly on Twitter for more racing insight.
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