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Latest Profit & Loss Figures
Following a poor start, winners at 7/2 and 9/2 on Friday and 6/1 and 13/2 on Saturday meant the week ending Sunday, 14 June resulted in a profit of +£9.35. Hopefully, we can keep the good run going during the most important week of the Flat season which gets underway on Tuesday afternoon.
- P/L for the week ending Sunday, 14 June: +£9.35
- P/L for the year 2026 to date: +£155.50
- P/L for the year 2025: +£22.38
- P/L for the year 2024: +£200.42
- P/L since 1st September 2022: +£656.16
Alan Kelly's Tips - Wednesday, 17 June
The Group 1 Prince Of Wales’s Stakes is the feature race on day two of Royal Ascot, the race due off at 4:20pm.
3:05pm Royal Ascot - Asakir (Each-Way) (Nap)
Andrew Balding’s Galiyan looks to be the main British hope for this Group 2 Queen’s Vase, now reduced in trip to 1m 6f. Following his debut run at Newmarket when finishing 4th of 5 at the Craven meeting, the Galiway colt looked a different proposition on his next start when winning an extended 1m 4f maiden at Chester.
The form of that race looks pretty strong with the well-beaten runner-up Joulany having previously run subsequent Derby second Maltese Cross to half a length in a hot novice contest at Newbury. While Oisin Murphy’s mount is respected, I think the winner may come for the strong Irish challenge, headed by Joseph O’Brien’s Limestone.
The New Bay colt will be going for a fourth consecutive victory, the most recent coming in a 1m 5f Listed race at Navan last month. However, I think the horse who finished runner-up on that occasion, Johnny Murtagh’s ASAKIR (Each-Way) (Nap), can reverse that form, as the Zarak gelding looked to be travelling much better than Limestone for most of that race until a lack of experience told against the rallying winner in the closing stages.
That third career start will have taught the horse, who runs in the colours of the late Aga Khan, a great deal. Previously successful in a Leopardstown maiden when beating Joseph O’Brien’s promising Cannes, who was runner-up to Derby third James J Braddock on his only run at two, and has since opened his account with a cosy success in a strong Leopardstown maiden. Wearing cheekpieces for the first time, Asakir looks a top class stayer in the making, being from a family with plenty of stamina on both sides of the pedigree.
Recommendation: Asakir (Each-Way) (Nap) - 8/1 with William Hill (3 places)
4:20pm Royal Ascot - Minnie Hauk (Each-Way)
A field of 8 for Wednesday’s feature race, the only absentee from the 9 still in contention at the penultimate declaration stage being Andrew Balding’s Kalpana, the Kingsclere trainer still represented by the five-year-old mare See The Fire.
Francis-Henri Graffard’s Daryz, winner of last season’s Arc, is unbeaten on his two starts this year, both in Group 1 company. The son of Sea The Stars was a big disappointment on his sole start outside of France however, when last of six behind Ombudsman in York’s Juddmonte International back in August. While clearly hugely talented, there has to be a slight doubt about Mickael Barzalona’s mount giving his running on a first visit to Ascot.
There are no such doubts regarding John & Thady Gosden’s Ombudsman, who still managed to beat a decent horse in Owen Burrows’ Gethin at Sandown last month despite looking as if he would come on for the run. While William Buick’s mount is the most likely winner of this fascinating renewal, if it wasn’t for a below-par effort in the Tattersalls Gold Cup last time, Ballydoyle’s MINNIE HAUK (Each-Way) would be a lot shorter in the betting than the 11/1 currently available with Paddy Power.
Beaten a head by Daryz in last year’s Arc after recording an Oaks treble at Epsom, the Curragh and York, I think the daughter of Frankel represents the value each-way bet of the race in what is sure to be a tactical affair.
Recommendation: Minnie Hauk (Each-Way) - 11/1 with Paddy Power (3 places)
5:00pm Royal Ascot - Classic (Each-Way)
A typically wide-open Royal Hunt Cup featuring a maximum field of 30 runners, the vote going to CLASSIC (Each-Way), one of three runners for the Richard Hannon stable, the others being Newbury Spring Cup winner Linwood, a race in which Classic finished second, and the final horse to make the cut, Witch Hunter.
This famous one mile handicap is often won by an unexposed contender, unlike the selection, who will be having his 25th start this afternoon off a career-high mark of 99. Despite his age, the son of Dubawi has looked an improved horse this season, in particular when always travelling like the winner in a competitive Newbury handicap last month, beating leading fancy Indalo by a ‘comfortable’ neck.
Drawn in stall 19, jockey Pat Dodds can choose which side to follow, and with a liking for this type of cavalry charge, a big run is expected from this ultra-consistent gelding. Of the 29 potential dangers, stablemate Linwood (16) and Indalo (8) are feared most, while best of those at a big price may be Simon & Ed Crisford’s Shout (26), a winner over today’s course and distance last September before finishing a creditable 4th of 20 in the Balmoral Handicap on Champions Day.
Recommendation: Classic (Each-Way) - 14/1 with BetVictor (5 places)
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Freebets.com in 2008.
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