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Alan Kelly's Tips - Tuesday, 28 July
Goodwood's five-day summer festival gets underway on Tuesday afternoon, the highlight of the eight-race card being the Group 1 Al Shaqab Goodwood Cup at 3.35pm. The meeting is due to start on ground described as good, good to firm in places.
1:50pm Goodwood - Tony Montana (Each-Way)
The 2026 Goodwood Festival begins with a wide-open Chesterfield Cup, the maximum field of 18 headed by Karl Burke's Cambridgeshire winner of two years ago, Liberty Lane, although Clifford Lee's mount has yet to recapture his best form in four outings this year.
William Haggas's previously progressive Yabher seemed to resent being held up when never seen with a chance in York's John Smith's Cup last time. I expect jockey Tom Marquand to be more forceful aboard the son of Sea The Stars on this occasion. John & Thady Gosden's Torito, Ger Lyon's Diego El Queso, Wave Rider and Noble Horizon all make some appeal, but at the 18/1 currently available with Coral (5 places), the each-way vote goes to Kevin Philippart De Foy's TONY MONTANA (Each-Way).
An excellent third in this race two years ago when in the care of trainer Michael Bell, the gelding occupying the same position in York's John Smith's Cup 17 days earlier, the son of Kingman has been threatening to win a valuable handicap for some time, and has performed well on both of his starts this season for current connections.
Sixth of 24, beaten 3 lengths, on his first start for Philippart De Foy in Newbury's Spring Cup, the six-year-old held every chance until weakening close home in a valuable handicap at York's Dante meeting on his most recent start. While Tony Montana could be better drawn (18 of 18), I like the booking of up-and-coming 7lb claimer Toby Moore for the first time. If the young rider can obtain a good early position on his mount, a big run is expected.
Recommendation: Tony Montana (Each-Way) - 18/1 with Coral (5 places)
3:00pm Goodwood - Lake Forest (Nap)
This Group 2 Lennox Stakes has been campaigning for an upgrade to Group 1 level for some years now. This season's renewal is unlikely to further their cause however, despite the presence of last year's shock 150/1 Sussex Stakes winner Qirat.
Ralph Beckett's charge is unbeaten on all three visits to Goodwood, and the Showcasing gelding came back to something like his best when winning York's Group 3 Criterion Stakes last month, although Colin Keane's mount is unlikely to get a freebie up from as was pretty much the case here 12 months ago.
Each-way claims can be made for both Andrew Balding's Marvelman, the stable on a high following the victory of Kalpana in Saturday's big race, and last year's winner Witness Stand. I think the latter may struggle to confirm the form of that race with runner LAKE FOREST (Nap) however, who has just under 3 lengths to find with the Newland/Insole contender.
After being gelded towards the end of last year, William Haggas's son of No Nay Never could not have been more impressive when storming home in Haydock's Listed Spring Trophy on his reappearance. Dropped down to 6f for Royal Ascot's Group 1 Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes last month, Tom Marquand's mount was finishing better than anything in finishing a never-nearer length and a half fifth of the 18 runners. Back over today's more suitable trip of 7f, Cieren Fallon's mount is clearly the one they all have to beat.
A strong-finishing fifth in Royal Ascot's Group 1 Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes last month, William Haggas's runner is fancied to go one better than when runner-up to fellow rival Witness Stand in this race last year.
Recommendation: Lake Forest (Nap) - 5/4 with Paddy Power
3:35pm Goodwood - Trawlerman
With a dead eight runners, I wouldn't put anyone off backing last year's Derby runner-up Lazy Griff (each-way), as Charlie Johnston's charge looks a talented stayer in the making. However, this looks to be very much a rematch of last month's Ascot Gold Cup in which Ballydoyle's Scandinavia, now on a winning run of 6, just got the better of John & Thady Gosden's Gold Cup winner of 12 months earlier TRAWLERMAN.
The two horses are currently priced at 10/11 and 2/1 respectively, while my own view is that there should be very little between the pair, in which case the value has to lie with the Godolphin runner. Now 1lb better off with Ryan Moore's mount, Trawlerman was having his first start at Ascot since winning the Qipco British Champions Long Distance Cup 8 months earlier, while Scandinavia was having his third outing of the season.
I also think this half a mile shorter trip will better suit William Buick's mount, who gets the narrow vote in a fascinating Al Shaqab Goodwood Cup.
Recommendation: Trawlerman - 2/1 with Betfred
4:10pm Goodwood - Adrestia (Each-Way)
The betting for this sprint handicap is headed by the Robert Cowell-trained Lexington Blitz, a comfortable winner at Goodwood back in May off a 10lb lower mark, and more recently an excellent third of 20 in the Epsom 'Dash' on Derby Day. Drawn in stall 5, and in a race which may favour the high numbers, I prefer to side with Simon & Ed Crisford's ADRESTIA (Each-Way) from stall 24.
Beaten a nose in this valuable handicap last year, the daughter of Havana Grey will be reunited with the rider on that occasion, champion jockey Oisin Murphy, the pair previously successful in the Palace Of Holyroodhouse Stakes at Royal Ascot 12 months ago.
Now running off a mark 3lb lower than last year, I think the filly has been laid-out in a bid to go one better than when just failing to hold off northern raider Brazen Bold in 2025. With the Crisford stable in fine form at the moment, another big run from Adrestia is expected. Twilight Calls may prove best of the 5 Richard Spencer runners, while Michael Dods' Tatterstall is another worth considering.
Recommendation: Adrestia (Each-Way) - 10/1 with bet365 (6 places)
Ante-Post: Coral Golden Mile (Goodwood, 31 July) - Tribal Chief (Each-Way)
Having selected the David Menuisier-trained Tribal Chief for Saturday's valuable Coral Challenge at Sandown, the race was pretty much over for Saffie Osborne's mount as the stalls opened, the five-year-old losing in the region of 8 lengths to his rivals in a race where it was almost impossible to win from such a position.
A fast finishing sixth, beaten three lengths, the son of Sioux Nation nevertheless ran a cracking trial for Goodwood's Coral Golden Mile later this month. Currently standing at number 46 for the £175k handicap on the Friday of the five-day festival, and with a maximum field of 20, the five-year-old will need a few to come out in order to make the cut.
Sixth in last year's race off a 2lb lower mark when beaten three lengths after being slowly away once again as a strongly-fancied 11/2 chance, TRIBAL CHIEF (Each-Way) will need to get his act together as the stalls open on the Sussex Downs, but following excellent efforts in both the Lincoln and Victoria Cup this season, the ante-post selection has a big handicap within him at some point.
Recommendation: Tribal Chief (Each-Way) - 16/1 with Betfred & Paddy Power (¼ odds, 1-2-3-4)
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Free Bets in 2008.
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