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A disappointing week ending Sunday, 22 March, or should I say a disappointing Saturday, as we were just in front going into the weekend. Three seconds at odds of 11/4, 15/2 and 10/1 proved frustrating, in particular the head defeat of Knickerbockerglory at Bangor. I also thought our 22/1 selection Wasthatok was still going well when failing to avoid the fall of The Navigator at Kelso.
- P/L for the week ending Sunday, 22 March: -£6.77
- P/L for the year 2026 to date: +£72.10
- P/L for the year 2025: +£22.38
- P/L for the year 2024: +£200.42
- P/L since 1st September 2022: +£572.76
Alan Kelly's Tips - Thursday, 26 March
Due to the current dry spell, watering is taking place at both British jumps cards on Thursday afternoon, those taking place at Chepstow and Warwick.
The feature race at the latter track is the Challenger Staying Chase Series Final at 4:30pm.
3:50pm Chepstow - Stellar Stream (Each-Way)
The Kayley Woollacott stable has hit a rich vein of form recently (3 winners from their last 7 runners along with a couple of narrow defeats) and it could be worth taking a chance on her STELLAR STREAM (Each-Way) taking this extended 3m 6f stamina test for which the nine-year-old unseated his rider in 12 months ago as the 11/4 market leader.
Now racing off a 10lb lower mark, the mount of talented 3lb claimer Callum Pritchard has run well at the Welsh racecourse on several occasions in the past and returns to the bigger obstacles following a couple of runs over hurdles at Ffos Las this year. Winner of the North Wales National at Bangor two years ago, there are no doubts regarding Stellar Stream’s ability over this marathon trip.
Runner-up in this year’s North Wales National last month, Donald McCain’s Gold Emery is one of several potential dangers along with Rebecca Curtis’s River Voyage and Sue Gardner’s Lightonthewing.
Recommendation: Stellar Stream (Each-Way) - 9/2 with bet365 (3 places)
4:30pm Warwick - New Order (Nap)
A field of only 8 runners for this £40k Challenger Staying Chase Series Final, the weights headed by Neil Mulholland’s 11-year-old Lord Accord. Richie McLernon’s mount was pulled-up in the Kim Muir at the Cheltenham Festival last time but had previously finished second in Ascot’s Berkshire National, a repeat of which would put the veteran in with a decent chance this afternoon.
The Venetia Williams’ stable is having a poor season, the victory of Martator in Cheltenham’s Grand Annual being one of the few highlights. Previously campaigned over much shorter trips, Charlie Deutsch’s mount, The Famous Five, finished third in a qualifier at Wincanton earlier in the month and is beginning to look well treated now off a mark of 118, while Dan Skelton’s Get Up Mush, a winner at Warwick in September off an 8lb higher mark, would have a big shout if returning to that level of form following several subsequent disappointing efforts on soft ground.
I may have a saver on Harry Skelton’s mount if the market speaks in his favour, but this looks a good opportunity for the Charlie Longsdon-trained NEW ORDER (Nap) to record a first victory since winning a Sandown handicap around this time last year.
Prior to finding conditions too soft at Doncaster last time when finishing a distant third in the Grimthorpe Chase, David Bass’s mount had been running well, in particular when beaten less than two lengths in a valuable handicap at Cheltenham on New Year’s Day. Off a 1lb lower mark, the Yeats gelding looks sure to go close with conditions to suit.
Recommendation: New Order (Nap) - 7/2 with bet365
Grand National (Antepost) - Final Orders (Each-Way)
With less than a month to go before the 2026 renewal of Aintree’s Randox Grand National, a good time to try and pinpoint a bit of early value in the ante-post market for the world’s most famous steeplechase. At the 50/1 currently available with William Hill about Gavin Cromwell’s Final Orders, I think last week’s Glenfarclas Cross Country Chase winner is way overpriced for the extended 4m 2f test of jumping and stamina.
Currently standing at number 40 in the pecking-order and with a maximum permitted field of 34, the 10-year-old is not guaranteed his place, but with several doubtful runners higher up in the handicap I will be surprised if the Camelot gelding ends up as one of the reserves. A greater doubt revolves around possible ground conditions at the Merseyside racecourse on April 11th, as Final Orders needs decent going to produce his best form.
With current top weight I Am Maximus (winner in 2024) a certain runner barring accidents, Final Orders has a lovely racing weight of just 10st 5lb. Five of the first 12 winners of the race in the 21st century were 10-year-olds, and while Cheltenham's cross country chase has only been going since 2005, dual Grand National winner Tiger Roll won that unique three miles five and a half furlong contest in both of the years he was victorious at Aintree.
Of Final Orders’ seven successes over fences, five came over distances ranging from two to three miles, showing the kind of versatility needed to win a race requiring both pace and stamina in equal measures (also a winner over 1m 4f on the flat). If conditions are similar at Aintree to those of last week (good to soft), a reproduction of his comfortable victory over favourite Favori De Champdou would give the selection a much better chance of emulating Tiger Roll than his current odds would indicate.
Recommendation: Final Orders (Each-Way) - 50/1 with Unibet (4 places)
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Freebets.com in 2008.
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