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A fabulous Goodwood Festival but far from Glorious from a betting perspective.
On a course where luck plays a significant role, lady fortune was not on our side over the five days, our final 4/1 selection We’re Goosers (backed into 11/8) looked to be coming with a winning run when hampered several times inside the closing stages before finishing a close third.
P/L for the week ending Sunday, 2 August: -£12.52
P/L for the year 2026 to date: +£149.88
P/L for the year 2025: +£22.38
P/L for the year 2024: +£200.42
P/L since 1st September 2022: +£650.54
Alan Kelly's Tips - Monday, 3 August
We head to the ‘Garden Racecourse’ at Ripon for Monday’s horse racing selections, the ground at the North Yorkshire racecourse currently on the firm side of good, although rain is forecast during the day.
2:24pm Ripon - Reflect On Glory (Nap)
Karl Burke has a decent bunch of two-year-olds once again, including Wild Blossom, who ran out an impressive winner of Goodwood’s Alice Keppel Fillies’ Stakes last week. While the Coulsty colt REFLECT ON GLORY (Nap) may not be one of the stable’s leading lights, the once-raced juvenile showed enough of his debut here seven days ago to suggest he should be winning before too long.
While only third behind the well-supported Crisford runner Pure Mint, that son of Minzaal is highly regarded and looks well above average. A head behind Reflect On Glory in fourth place was previous winner Towelontheterrace, in what looked to be a pretty strong Ripon novice contest.
Despite a field of only 4 for this 6f juvenile contest, Clifford Lee's mount faces a couple of decent rivals in John & Sean Quinn's The Mean Fiddler and the George Scott-trained War Gaming.
The former lost out by the narrowest of margins on his debut at Pontefract last week and looks the main danger to the selection.
Recommendation: Reflect On Glory (Nap) - 9/2 with bet365
3:54pm Ripon - Saint Lawrence (Each-Way)
I thought the ex Archie Watson-trained Saint Lawrence, winner of Royal Ascot’s Wokingham back in 2023, ran a promising race on his latest start for Kevin Ryan when staying-on best of all to finish 5th, beaten two and a half lengths in Hamilton’s Scottish Stewards’ Cup just over two weeks ago.
The handicapper has dropped the Al Kazeem gelding another 2lb since that effort, the mount of Shane Grey now running off a career-low mark of 83, almost two stone below the eight-year-old’s best of three years ago. While clearly not the force of old, Saint Lawrence retains enough ability to suggest he is still up to winning a race of this nature.
Nigel Tinkler’s Lord Roxby has been running well all season but may be in the grip of the handicapper at the moment, although a big run is expected from the four-year-old along with David O’Meara’s Dark Cloud Rising. However, with several bookmakers going 3 places on this 7-runner sprint handicap, Saint Lawrence gets the each-way vote.
Recommendation: Saint Lawrence (Each-Way) - 13/2 with bet365 (3 places)
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Free Bets in 2008.
You can follow Alan Kelly on X for more racing insight.
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