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An excellent week ending Saturday 14th February with five winning days out of six, along with successful naps at 8/1, 3/1, and 4/6. The three losing naps all pulled-up for one reason or another, the most disappointing being that of Myretown in Haydock’s Grand National Trial on Saturday.
The Russell/Scudamore-trained gelding weakened so quickly when headed that connections must be scratching their heads regarding last year’s impressive Ultima winner.
To rub salt into the wound, Grand Geste, our nap when pulled-up in last month’s Great Yorkshire Chase at Doncaster, showed his true form at the Merseyside racecourse with a comfortable victory.
- P/L for the week ending Sunday, 15 February: +£19.92
- P/L for the year 2026 to date: +£40.13
- P/L for the year 2025: +£22.38
- P/L for the year 2024: +£200.42
- P/L since 1st September 2022: +£540.79
Alan Kelly's Tips - Tuesday, 17 February
The meetings at Newbury and Market Rasen provide Tuesday’s jumps action, the ground at both courses described as soft, heavy in places.
2:00pm Market Rasen - Khrisma (Nap)
An excellent turnout of 10 runners for this extended 2m EBF Mares’ Hurdle Series Qualifier, five of which have already proved successful over hurdles. Alan King’s Charisma Cat, a Sandown Listed Bumper winner, is closely matched with Henry Daly’s Trinity Street, the pair separated by just under two lengths at Chepstow last month, Stan Sheppard’s mount now enjoying a pull of 7lb.
This will also see a rematch between Emma Lavelle’s Watamu who came out on top by a short head when in receipt of 7lb from the J P McManus-owned KHRISMA (Nap) at Huntingdon just before Christmnas. A mistake at the final flight of hurdles may have cost Nicky Henderson’s charge victory on that occasion. On today’s revised terms I expect Nico De Boinville’s mount to continue her earlier promise when runner-up to Gordon Elliott’s Casheldale Lad at the Punchestown festival, prior to landing prohibitive odds of 1/25 at Uttoxeter on her reappearance.
Dan Skelton’s Getawhisky opened her account with a comfortable win at Windsor last month, but this looks a much stronger contest for the daughter of Getaway, who will do well to trouble JP McManus’s talented mare.
Recommendation: Khrisma (Nap) - Evens with bet365
3:55pm Newbury - Havaila
Richard Bandey’s top weight Saint Palais returns to fences for the first time since winning a novices’ handicap at Uttoxeter almost four years ago off a mark of 145. Now rated 130 following 10 runs over hurdles, the nine-year-old’s one success coming in a novice hurdle at Uttoxeter around this time last year.
Harry Bannister’s mount is certainly well-treated on his chase form and certainly worth a check for any market confidence. Paul Nicholls’ Brave Kingdom, a course and distance winner off a 5lb higher mark a couple of years ago, returned to something like his best when finishing a length and a half runner-up at Taunton two weeks ago and is respected along with Nicky Henderson’s As The Fella Says, who has shown promise on all three starts over fences to date.
While the stable could be in better form, I like the chances of the Gary & Josh Moore-trained HAVAILA, who will appreciate the drop back in trip after finishing a close third over an extended 3m 4f at Windsor last month. Caoilin Quinn’s mount found only Anthony Honeyball’s Leave Of Absence two and a half lengths too good over today’s course and distance last March, the winner now rated 146 and last seen finishing third in Newbury’s Grade 2 Denman Chase behind Gold Cup hope Haiti Couleurs.
Havaila had fellow rival Major Fortune over six lengths behind when second to Nicholls’ Hugos New Horse at Plumpton on his penultimate outing back in April and can confirm that form on 3lb worse terms.
Recommendation: Havaila - 7/2 with bet365
4:30pm Newbury - Robber’s Bridge
The trainer/jockey combination of Ben Pauling were in fine form at Ascot on Saturday, the pair represented by De Kingpin in this Class 4 handicap hurdle, the seven-year-old last seen finishing third behind Sam Thomas’s progressive C’Est Different on this course last month.
Following two disappointing efforts over fences, the grey son of Kingston Hill appreciated the return to the smaller obstacles and looks sure to go well off a mark only 1lb higher, although the gelding may prefer slightly less testing conditions. One horse who has shown good form on ground ranging from heavy to good is Dan Horsford’s ROBBER'S BRIDGE, who is fancied to follow-up his Exeter victory of last month despite a rise of 7lb.
Considering the ease of that 11 length win in what looked to have been a competitive 14-runner handicap, it could be argued that the handicapper has been quite lenient on the eight-year-old, who has been in excellent form since leaving the Simon Earle stable 10 months ago. While today’s mark of 106 is a career-high for Robber’s Bridge, Brendan Powell’s mount can prove up to the task in a race where decent recent form is thin on the ground.
Recommendation: Robber’s Bridge - 7/2 with bet365
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Freebets.com in 2008.
You can follow Alan Kelly on Twitter for more racing insight.
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