EFL Tips: Gab Sutton's 29/1 Football Longshot Acca Tips for March 14
Port Vale enjoyed a dream weekend in the FA Cup last week, but it's back to reality for them in the EFL this week in Gab Sutton's weekly longshot acca.
Check out his tips below on Free Bets as he's pulled out some outsiders to follow this week.
EFL Tips: 29/1 Longshot Acca
Here are Gab's five tips for the weekend along with the best prices and latest odds from our top sports betting sites.
Leicester vs QPR - Leicester to win
Leicester boosted their survival prospects with a 2-0 victory over Bristol City in midweek, building on a positive performance and point at Ipswich the previous Saturday by ending a 10-game winless streak.
Gary Rowett seems to have done a good job of galvanizing the group, partly through managing the narrative around his players positively and diplomatically through the media, and he’s put some organisational foundations in place that have allowed the Foxes to stabilize.
With Abdul Fatawu showing signs of getting to top form, the East Midlanders have a great chance of getting another crucial three points towards securing their Championship status.
Visitors QPR represent similar opposition to Bristol City – fallen Play-Off outsiders with nothing to play for – so Leicester should get the result they need to ensure they finish the weekend outside the bottom three.
Wycombe vs Luton - Wycombe to win
Wycombe let three points slip through their grasp at Bolton last weekend.
After winning the previous three league games, the Chairboys led by two in Lancashire in a controlled first half for Michael Duff’s side, before dropping their levels in the second half – but looked like they’d hold out until a late three-goal fightback from the hosts began two minutes from normal time.
How the Buckinghamshire outfit respond to that setback will define their Play-Off chances, but they host a Luton side winless in six league games, having taken just two points from their last eight on the road.
The Hatters have handled the advantage of Premier League parachute payments in League One horribly badly: they’ve lost more games than they’ve won this season, and are only barely in the top half by virtue of a combination of goal difference and teams below them having played fewer games.
Duff seems to have instilled a much tighter culture at Adams Park, and that could be the difference.
Port Vale vs Huddersfield - Huddersfield to win
If Port Vale had a bit of fighting spirit about them in their last league performance, one might give them a very slim chance of bridging their 11-point gap to safety, with Jon Brady’s side having multiple games on the sides above them.
League One’s bottom side, however, were completely outplayed by Bradford in midweek: not only did the Valiants lose 2-0, but they mustered just one shot on target to their opponents’ 13, and had seven efforts to 33.
The Burslem outfit can take some hope from their FA Cup exploits, with last weekend’s 1-0 victory over Premier League side Sunderland setting them up with a tie with Chelsea, but the group looked jaded off the back of that and could struggle to approach the remaining challenges with the required gusto.
Visitors Huddersfield have got their Play-Off bid back on track with two wins in three; they’re not providing the scintillating attacking football the owners wanted in the summer, but they do have a solid structure in place, and some individual quality on top of that.
Bromley vs Bristol Rovers - Bromley to win
One win in six, or no defeats in 18?
You decide which bit to focus on, but Bromley remain top of League Two, and that’s with a favourable stretch of six fixtures between now and the final four.
The Ravens have an admirable efficiency about them, an ability to grind out points when not at their best, which speaks to excellent defensive consistency.
That’s just as well, because they haven’t quite been as dangerous as they would have liked going forward in recent games, having previously relied heavily on set pieces.
They are very dangerous at set plays, though, and even when opponents know Mitch Pinnock’s pin-point deliveries are coming, stopping 6’6” defender Omar Sowunmi isn’t always straightforward, and they can create chances off the back of that.
Meanwhile, Jude Arthurs and Ashley Charles have forged a great understanding in midfield, and break up play so well to disrupt the opposition’s game.
If it was a bigger club in Bromley’s position, they’d probably be shorter than 19/20 for a home win against a relegation struggler.
That said, Bristol Rovers have picked up of late with 10 points from their last four, which has hauled Steve Evans’ side nine points clear of the bottom two.
Swindon vs MK Dons - MK Dons to win
Form feels crucial at the business end of the season, and MK Dons have it.
Paul Warne is a vastly experienced manager, with four promotions on his CV – three with Rotherham and one with Derby – and it’s no surprise that his excellent man management qualities have come to the fore in the run-in.
The Norwich-born boss’ side have accrued a whopping 29 points from their last 11 league games, dropping points only against Cambridge and Crawley during their impressive unbeaten run.
The Buckinghamshire outfit have similar principles to leaders Bromley, but also a lot more individual quality on top of that, as evidenced by the nine goals they’ve scored in the last two against Harrogate and Gillingham.
Swindon, by contrast, don’t have form on their side: it’s just one win in five for the Robins.
More Football Tips
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