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Alan Kelly's Tips - Friday, 6 March
Light rain is forecast for the jumps cards at Exeter and Leicester on Friday afternoon, the ground at both courses on the soft side, although it is currently good in places at the former.
The third national hunt meeting is that of Ayr in Scotland, where the going is a mixture of soft and heavy.
2:10pm Exeter - Bertie Wooster (Each-Way)
A comfortable winner over hurdles on this course three months ago, Jeremy Scott’s top weight Zainy Champ is the most interesting of the 11 runners in this modest Class 5 handicap. Making his chasing debut, Rex Dingle’s mount has suffered three subsequent defeats over the smaller obstacles but is the type to do well over fences.
While Zainy Champ is worth noting for any market confidence, I like the chances of Joe Tizzard’s runner BERTIE WOOSTER (Each-Way). Beaten on all 10 starts over fences to date, the Beat Hollow gelding is rated 11lb higher over hurdles and looked a bit unlucky when going down by a neck to the Paul Nicholls-trained Wicked Thoughts at Taunton back in November, a poor jump at the last possibly the difference between winning and losing.
Bertie Wooster’s only victory over hurdles came over today’s trip of 2m 3f, and with conditions to suit today, Brendan Powell’s mount gets the each-way vote.
Recommendation: Bertie Wooster (Each-Way) - 13/2 with bet365 (3 places)
3:50pm Ayr - Nakassama (Each-Way)
Irish trainer Noel Kelly and amateur jockey O McGill are represented in three of the six races at the Scottish racecourse, their best chance possibly that of the six-year-old NAKASSAMA (Each-Way) in this Go North Sea Pigeon Qualifier.
With today’s 5lb claiming rider in the saddle, Nakassama landed a bit of a gamble when winning a Hexham handicap hurdle during the summer at odds of 11/8, after which the gelding finished second in a maiden at The Galway Festival.
Well beaten over fences on his two most recent starts, Nakassama returns to the smaller obstacles off a mark 7lb higher than when last successful, but with the valuable claim of his rider. Platin Moon, She’snotjoekin and The Coffey Boy have all won races this year, but with a tongue-tie on for the first time, the Irish challenger is fancied to come out on top once again.
Recommendation: Nakassama (Each-Way) - 11/1 with bet365 (3 places)
4:53pm Ayr - Torosay (Nap)
No match for Noel Kelly’s Irish raider Le Grand Vert over today’s course and distance last month, the Russell/Scudamore-trained TOROSAY (Nap) did well to be beaten less than two lengths by the winner after looking to have little chance at the rear of the field turning for home.
After winning a three mile handicap on heavy ground at Hexham 23 months ago by an easy 13 lengths, the daughter of Getaway looked to have a decent future over fences, but has failed to add to her only victory in 8 subsequent starts.
The nearest the mount of Gregor Walkingshaw has come to troubling the judge have been on this course, the first when finishing a length second on her reappearance back in November. Off a mark of 92 and with the valuable 10lb claim of her rider, this looks a perfect opportunity for the mare to open her account for the season.
Top weight Good Work has been disappointing since winning over 3m 2f at Uttoxeter over a year ago, a bigger danger to Torosay possibly coming in the shape of Donald Whillans’ Nights In Venice, no match for the selection’s stablemate Wal Buck’s at Kelso last month but the only one to give the winner a race until weakening approaching the final fence.
Recommendation: Torosay (Nap) - 15/8 with bet365
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Freebets.com in 2008.
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