Alan Kelly’s Tips
Alan heads to Cheltenham and Wetherby for his Saturday tips
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Our 4th winning week in a row, the highlight being the victory of 10/1 Nap of the Day Thistle Ask (started 3/1) in Friday's Haldon Gold Cup at Exeter.
Three winning Naps out of over the six days, the most impressive being Danielle's nine-length rout (tipped at 2/1) at Doncaster on Saturday.
- P/L for the week ending Sunday, 9 November: +£10.89
- P/L for the year 2025 to date: +£71.83
- P/L for the year 2024: +£200.42
- P/L since 1st September 2022: +£557.82
Alan Kelly's Tips - Saturday, 15 November
ITV cameras will be at Cheltenham to cover the second day of the Paddy Power Gold Cup meeting at Prestbury Park on Saturday afternoon.
Along with the four races due to be shown from the home of National Hunt racing, the coverage also includes two races from the card at Wetherby in West Yorkshire.
1:45pm Cheltenham - Brentford Hope
Irish raider July Flower and Dan Skelton's Be Aware both made successful chasing debuts and are clearly useful recruits, while last season’s fortunate Champion Hurdle runner-up Burdett Road is an exciting prospect now switched to fences.
If the weather forecast proves to be correct however, conditions are likely to be very testing for this Grade 2 Arkle Trial, in which case it could be worth chancing Harry Derham’s chasing debutant Brentford Hope.
Paul O’Brien’s mount has a few pounds to find with several of these but relishes testing ground and could spring a bit of a surprise if taking to the bigger obstacles.
Recommendation: Brentford Hop - 16/1 with Betfred
2:20pm Cheltenham - Vincenzo (EW)
Trainer Sam Thomas is in cracking form at the moment and I think the stable’s Vincenzo has excellent claims of taking this £160k Paddy Power Gold Cup (In Memory Of Edward O’Grady). Still unexposed on just his fifth start over fences, the seven-year-old won’t mind the rain that is expected to fall on the course on Friday, the mount of 3lb claimer Dylan Johnston an impressive winner on soft ground at Sandown back in January.
With six winners from his last 14 rides as I write, the talented claimer’s confidence could not be any higher. Despite running off a career-high mark of 137, Vincenzo has the profile of a horse capable of achieving a mark in the 140’s. Best of those at a double-figure price may be Irish raider Conyers Hill, who stayed-on to finish sixth in the Grand Annual at the festival and will appreciate today’s longer trip.
Recommendation: Vincenzo (EW) - 11/2 with William Hill
2:55pm Cheltenham - Supremely West (Nap)
Having his second run for trainer Dan Skelton since leaving the Newland/Insole stable in September, the seven-year-old Supremely West can take this staying handicap hurdle following the gelding's promising debut effort for the stable on this course last month.
Harry Skelton’s mount never looked like posing a threat to easy winner Ma Shantou at Prestbury Park, but stayed-on nicely to finish a never-nearer third and is sure to come on with that race under his belt.
A winner three times on soft/heavy ground for previous connections, Supremely West makes plenty of appeal off a mark of 138.
Recommendation: Supremely West (Nap) - 2/1 with BetVictor
3:10pm Wetherby - Cueros
While the Jamie Snowden stable could not be in better form, I think his Fresh Perspective is short enough at odds of 6/4 for this informative ‘Introductory’ hurdle based on his debut victory over the smaller obstacles at Fontwell last month when far from fluent at several of his hurdles.
Ed Bethell’s Minstrel Knight is an interesting recruit, the four-year-old rated 85 on the flat, his best runs coming over a trip of 1m 6f on soft/heavy ground. However, top Irish amateur Patrick Mullins makes the long journey to partner the Harry Derham-trained Cueros, a comfortable winner on his first run over hurdles at Newcastle two weeks ago.
Previously trained in France and Jersey, the five-year-old has 8 wins to his name from 30 runs on the flat, experience which could stand the Territories gelding in good stead for another stable who have made an excellent start to the season.
Recommendation: Cueros - 7/2 with Paddy Power
3:30pm Cheltenham - Give Him A Chance (EW)
If, as expected, the ground becomes very testing at Prestbury Park, the three horses heading both the weights and the betting could prove vulnerable in this 2m 5f intermediate hurdle. At the 14/1 available with Paddy Power, along with 4 places, the each-way vote goes to Philip Rothwell's Irish raider Give Him A Chance.
With the 5lb claim of rider Shane O’Callaghan, the Workforce gelding will only have 9st 11lb to carry. Following wins at Kilbeggan and Killarney this season, this hold-up performer can make full use of the weight he receives from most of his rivals, and I expect to see the six-year-old putting in a strong challenge at the business end of the race.
Recommendation: Give Him A Chance (EW) - 14/1 with Paddy Power
3:43pm Wetherby - Primoz (EW)
A winner at Wetherby on his chasing debut last October, the Russell/Scudamore-trained Primoz has only managed to record one more victory in 8 subsequent attempts, that coming in a match at Kelso earlier in the year.
The seven-year-old has hardly had an easy time of things however in contesting races at both the Cheltenham and Aintree festival. Following a narrow defeat at Kelso on his reappearance, Promoz was sent off a warm favourite to go one better on this course last month, only to finish a disappointing third to all-the-way winner Sir Tivo, given a peach of a ride by champion jockey Sean Bowen.
The selection is better than he showed on that occasion and a much improved effort is expected over this longer trip and off a competitive mark of 129.
Recommendation: Primoz (EW) - 11/2 with bet365
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Freebets.com in 2008.
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