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Despite an excellent day on Wednesday, including a 6/1 winning nap, it was a week of hard lines and bad luck, starting with the fall of our 13/8 nap Grain Trade at Market Rasen on Tuesday, the horse stumbling after jumping the last with the race won.
The most frustrating, however, was the performance of 17/2 chance All In You in Saturday's Scottish Champion Hurdle, James Bowen's mount still cruising behind leader Tutti Quanti, only to be almost brought down by the favourite at the second last. A bit of good fortune in the week ahead would be very welcome.
- P/L for the week ending Sunday, 19 April: -£8.57
- P/L for the year 2026 to date: +£48.78
- P/L for the year 2025: +£22.38
- P/L for the year 2024: +£200.42
- P/L since 1st September 2022: +£549.44
Alan Kelly's Tips - Thursday, 23 April
Thursday’s horse racing features the second day of the Perth Festival, along with Warwick’s jumps card which includes a couple of Challenger Series Finals. The afternoon flat action comes from the meeting at Beverley.
2.52pm Beverley - Trilby (Each-Way)
Having tipped Sam England’s six-year-old TRILBY (Each-Way) for a 6f handicap at Catterick recently, when finishing a disappointing fifth after being supported into favouritism, I think the Twilight Son gelding is worth another chance, the selection victorious on his only previous visit to Beverley, that coming in a Class 3 handicap over today’s trip 12 months ago.
That length and a half success over Paul Midgley’s Elegant Erin (now rated 9lb higher) was off a mark of 82, 7lb lower than today’s rating of just 75. While PJ McDonald’s mount has failed to trouble the judge in 13 starts since that win, Trilby has gone close on several occasions, including on his final four outings of last season.
Back down to the minimum trip and with a decent draw in stall 4, Trilby makes plenty of appeal (each-way). Of Paul Midgley’s two runners, preference is for the race-fit Ventura Express, while Tim Easterby’s I’m Next, caught in the final strides when making the running here last week, is the other one to consider.
Recommendation: Trilby (Each-Way) - 5/1 with bet365 (3 places)
3:10pm Perth - Toothless (Nap)
Jockey Harry Cobden takes over on the Gordon Elliott-trained Slanagaibhgoleir (good luck to the commentator) for new boss J P McManus in this two and a half mile handicap chase, the eight-year-old last seen finishing a well-beaten 8th in the Ulster National at Downpatrick last month.
While the Beat Hollow gelding will appreciate today’s much shorter trip, I think this can go to Cobden’s long-time boss Paul Nicholls, courtesy of the consistent TOOTHLESS (Nap), now the mount of Freddie Gingell. The son of Authorized has finished out of the first two only once in 8 starts over fences, including victories at Plumpton and Windsor.
Runner-up on his last two starts at Ludlow and Sandown behind improving horses in Rodney and Norn Iron, a mistake at the Esher track not helping his chances, Toothless can go one better at the main expense of top weight Tommy’s Oscar, who faces a difficult task in attempting to concede a stone and a half to the Ditcheat contender.
Recommendation: Toothless (Nap) - 10/3 with bet365
3:40pm Perth - American Mike
Yet to open his account for trainer Olly Murphy since leaving the Irish stable of Gordon Elliott towards the end of last year, this looks a good opportunity for the once exciting AMERICAN MIKE to finally open his account for connections at the fourth attempt.
Runner-up in the Champion Bumper at the 2022 Cheltenham Festival, American Mike took the scalp of none other than Fact To File on his chasing debut at Navan the following year, before beginning 2024 with a victory over last year’s Grand National winner Nick Rockett in the Grade 2 Ten Up Novice Chase on that course.
That was the last time Sean Bowen’s mount got his head in front, not surprising as the Mahler gelding was competing at a high level before joining Murphy. After making a promising start for Murphy when third behind subsequent winners Twinjets and Heltenham on his debut for the stable at Newbury, the nine-year-old returns to fences following a couple of runs over the smaller obstacles, the most recent when beaten less than two lengths at Wetherby last month.
Now running off a career-low chase mark of 142, American Mike can prove too good for his 6 rivals, best of which may be the unexposed Mountain Mike for the Newland/Insole stable.
Recommendation: American Mike - 5/2 with bet365
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Freebets.com in 2008.
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