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Alan Kelly's Tips - Wednesday, 19 November
Ground conditions at all three jumps cards on Wednesday afternoon, Ffos Las in Wales, Hexham in Northumberland and Warwick are currently described as soft, heavy in places.
1:51pm Hexham - Henri The Second (Nap)
The trainer/jockey combination of Paul Nicholls and Harry Cobden venture north for a rare visit to the Northumberland track, the pair represented by HENRI THE SECOND (Nap) in this beginners chase, the eight-year-old’s second try over the bigger obstacles.
The first came when finishing last of four in a novices’ limited handicap at Sandown two years ago. After failing to jump with any fluency at the Esher racecourse, the son of Saddler Maker returned to hurdles for his next three starts, all at Sandown, running well on all three occasions, including a 18 length victory on heavy ground in a Pertemps Hurdle Series Qualifier last December.
Henri The Second ended last season when finishing down the field in the Pertemps Final at the Cheltenham Festival, since when the eight-year-old has had a wind op. Connections obviously feel it is worth another go over fences with the selection, who is sure to have been well-schooled ahead of his reappearance.
The 133-rated performer is unlikely to have things all his own way however, as Irish raider Ayiko has done little wrong to date, winning a Bumper and maiden hurdle on two of his three visits to Ayr in Scotland, while King Of Answers, despite finishing last of 5 on his chasing debut on this course last month, showed plenty of promise for the Russell/Scudamore stable.
Recommendation: Henri The Second (Nap)
3:01pm Hexham - Lewa House (Each-Way)
It is over 1000 days since the Fife stable of Catch Bissett had their last winner, that victory coming at this meeting three years ago courtesy of Lewa House’s 20/1 success in a 16-runner Go North Cab On Target Series Qualifier. While the nine-year-old son of Yeats has failed to follow-up that win in 17 subsequent attempts, the mount of Bruce Lynn, now switched to fences, is fancied to run a big race in this Class 5 handicap.
After making his debut over fences at Hexham back in March when never in contention, the gelding fared much better on the course 12 days later when beaten half a length by favourite Halfway House Lad over a trip of 3m. Reappearing at Ayr earlier this month, things didn’t go well for Lewa House, first of all when almost falling at the first after stumbling, and again when nearly losing his rider at the final fence.
In finishing fifth, LEWA HOUSE (Each-Way) was still beaten less than 10 lengths however. With a less troubled passage, the each-way selection is fancied to make the frame at the very least. Top weight Largy Train, a promising second at Sedgefield recently and Gary Hanmer’s Heeztheboy are the others to consider.
Recommendation: Lewa House (Each-Way)
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Freebets.com in 2008.
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