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Alan Kelly's Tips - Monday, 27 April
A tremendous week of racing ahead with the Punchestown Festival and Newmarket’s Guineas meeting. The week gets off to a quiet start on Monday with Bath the only turf Flat card taking place in Britain.
2:45pm Lingfield - Mart
Tactics are likely to play a role in the outcome of this Class 5 sprint handicap, with all five runners usually held-up in midfield or further down the field. The clear form pick is the Adam Kirby-trained Travel Agent, who won a handicap over today’s course and distance last summer when in the care of previous handler Martin Dunne.
The application of today’s eyeshield seemed to bring about some improvement in the No Nay Never gelding on his last two starts, first on all when finishing a close second at Kempton before going one better at Wolverhampton 10 days ago. The mount of Charles Bishop can be slowly away in his races, but with a decent start the four-year-old is sure to take plenty of beating.
I expect the early pace to come from Dylan Cunha’s Mart and jockey Hollie Doyle, the grey son of Dark Angel a winner twice over today’s course and distance, the latest last May when prominent throughout before asserting close home off a 7lb higher mark.
MART has been running well enough of late (beaten a neck here in January) to suggest that this could be a good opportunity for the five-year-old to record a 5th victory on the all-weather, with Doyle expected to dictate matters from the front.
Recommendation: Mart
4:30pm Bath - Candonomore (Nap)
A winner on four occasions when trained by Tim Easterby until earlier this year, three on turf and one on the all-weather, this looks a good opportunity for the five-year-old CANDONOMORE (Nap) to open his account at the sixth time of asking for current handler Stuart Williams.
The Almanjor gelding’s best effort to date probably came in defeat when finishing second of 21 in an apprentice handicap at York back in October when partnered by an inexperienced 7lb claimer. Runner-up on his last two starts for Williams, Sean Levey’s mount was caught in the final stride by James Fanshawe’s Philanthropist in a 7f handicap at Yarmouth last week off today’s mark of 77.
All three of Candonomore’s wins to date on turf came over today’s trip of one mile, two of which took place on good to firm ground, conditions the five-year-old is likely to encounter this afternoon. With fitness guaranteed, the selection can come out on top from Clive Cox’s Aspull, who has been gelded since finishing last of 9 on Kempton’s all-weather surface back in September, and David Simcock’s Caledonian, who has an absence of 9 months to overcome.
Recommendation: Candonomore (Nap)
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Freebets.com in 2008.
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