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Alan Kelly's Tips - Saturday, 1 August
Saturday sees the final day of the Glorious Goodwood Festival and the ITV Racing cameras will cover the first five races on the card, along with races at Newmarket and Thirsk.
1:33pm Newmarket - Francophone (Each-Way)
I thought Ralph Beckett’s Revoir was a bit disappointing when only 5th of the 9 runners in a similar race over today’s course and distance two weeks ago as the 7/4 market leader. Godolphin’s Romantic Symphony heads the market at odds of around 9/4, but in a race which may be more open than the betting would suggest, it could be worth taking a chance on Charlie Johnston’s five-year-old mare FRANCOPHONE (Each-Way).
The daughter of Study Of Man has performed well on all three previous visits to the course, including a victory in the Listed Rosemary Stakes back in September. Pierre-Louin Jamin’s mount is fancied to make the frame at the very least.
Recommendation: Francophone (Each-Way) - 9/1 with bet365
1:50pm Goodwood - Hopewell Rock
Wathnan Racing have a couple of major chances in this valuable 1m 6f handicap with the George Boughey-trained HOPEWELL ROCK and Sing Us A Song from the Ralph Beckett-stable. Of the pair, slight preference is for the former, the mount of jockey Ryan Moore.
Favourite for last season’s November Handicap at Doncaster, the son of New Bay finished 9th of the 22 runners after failing to handle the heavy conditions. Gelded shortly afterwards, the four-year-old has run well on both of his starts this season, despite taking a strong hold. If settling better from his draw in stall 9, Hopewell Rock is expected to go close in an open race.
Recommendation: Hopewell Rock - 7/1 with bet365
2:08pm Thirsk - Dosman (Each-Way)
While strong cases can be made for Northern Express, Mr Swivell and Jeddaal in this £50k Summer Cup, I think DOSMAN (Each-Way) represents decent value at around 14/1 for up and coming trainer Oli Rix. The Kingman gelding has mainly campaigned on the all-weather and was the subject of a gamble when 6th in Newcastle’s Seaton Delaval Handicap last time (Mr Swivell 4th).
Jonny Peate’s mount was showing signs of heat stress post-race and is better judged on his previous run when 6th in an Ascot apprentice race when hampered at a crucial stage. Beaten less than three lengths when attempting to concede 6lb to no less a horse than Ombudsman when trained by Roger Varian as a three-year-old, Dosman is certainly capable of winning a race like this for a trainer going places.
Recommendation: Dosman (Each-Way) - 14/1 with Betfred (4 places)
2:25pm Goodwood - Opportunity (Nap)
The winner of 12 of his 30 starts to date, William Haggas’s Al Aasy has proved a real moneyspinner since making his debut at Newmarket 7 years ago, the Sea The Stars gelding amassing prize money of over £600k. Tom Marquand’s mount is, at the age of 9, always going to be vulnerable to an improving younger rival however, on this occasion possibly that of stablemate OPPORTUNITY (Nap).
The Wathnan-owned four-year-old was last seen winning Royal Ascot’s Duke Of Edinburgh Stakes following an easy victory at Carlisle the previous month. The Frankel gelding looks a smart prospect over this kind of trip going forward and may just have the legs of his older rival.
Recommendation: Opportunity (Nap) - 10/3 with bet365
3:00pm Goodwood - Consent
A field of 7 for this Group 2 Lillie Langtry Stakes for fillies and mares in which it is hard to rule out any of the contenders, the tentative vote going to CONSENT for the Sir Mark Prescott team. The daughter of Lope De Vega beat fellow rival Santorini Star in Longchamp’s Group 1 Prix de Royallieu on her final start of 2025.
Luke Morris’s mount looked in need of the run when fishing down the field at Longchamp on her reappearance and will be more at home under today’s conditions, especially with that run under her belt.
Recommendation: Consent - 11/2 with William Hill
3:35pm Goodwood - Dark Thirty (Each-Way)
A maximum field of 28 for Goodwood's cavalry charge, headed by James Owen’s top weight Soldier's Tree. With apprentice Mason Paetel claiming 5lb, the son of Soldier’s Call looks sure to go well following his excellent third in the Wokingham at Royal Ascot.
Sondad, Two Tribes, Stratusnine and Far Above Dream are others who make the shortlist, but the vote goes to the John & Sean Quinn-trained DARK THIRTY (Each-Way). While the six-year-old could have been better drawn (stall 8), Jason Hart’s mount is due to go up 5lb in the future following some cracking efforts this season, the most recent when going down by half a length to fellow rival Sondad at the Curragh two weeks ago. Now 7lb better off with that horse, Dark Thirty is fancied to go close for a stable with an excellent record at the meeting.
Recommendation: Dark Thirty (Each-Way) - 16/1 with Paddy Power (6 places)
4:10pm Goodwood - We’re Goosers
Sent off the well-backed 4/1 favourite for Royal Ascot’s Britannia Stakes (Heritage Handicap) last time, the Hugo Palmer-trained WE'RE GOOSERS failed to beat a single horse home in that 30-runner contest. Coming out of stall 7 in a race totally dominated by horses drawn high (the first seven coming out of stalls 28-18-25-32-30-29-27), Oisin Murphy’s mount wasn’t given a hard time of it when it was clear that those drawn on the far side had no chance.
Gelded shortly after the royal meeting, the son of Starman was one of the best backed horses at the five-day extravaganza following a most impressive victory in a 7f Newmarket handicap in May. From his inside draw in stall 2, We’re Goosers is expected to prove the Ascot form all wrong, granted some luck in running.
Recommendation: We’re Goosers - 4/1 with bet365
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Free Bets in 2008.
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