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Despite another excellent week with a profit of +£17.13 to a £1 level stake, we can count ourselves unfortunate due to the narrow defeats of Silver Lake (6/1) and Baldomero (10/1) on Friday and Sea Lantern’s mugging in Saturday’s Cesarewitch (advised at 6/1), all beaten a matter of inches.
P/L for the week ending Sunday, 11 October: +£17.13
P/L for the year to date: +£213.42
P/L for the year 2025: +£22.38
P/L for the year 2024: +£200.42
P/L since 1st September 2022: +£713.98
Alan Kelly's Tips - Thursday, 15 October
We head to Thursday’s two Jumps meetings for today’s horse racing selections. The ground at both Perth and Fontwell is expected to ride on the soft side of good.
2:19pm Fontwell - Double Powerful
After finishing a close third on his chasing debut in a hugely competitive novices’ limited handicap chase at Cheltenham around this time last year, Neil Mulholland’s 134-rated hurdler DOUBLE POWERFUL looked set for an equally successful career over the bigger obstacles to match his 6 wins over hurdles, along with some excellent efforts in defeat.
Following that promising effort at Prestbury Park, things didn’t go according to plan for the Ocovango gelding, who failed to complete the course in a couple of subsequent starts over fences at Ludlow and Cheltenham before finishing second in Kempton's valuable Lanzarote Hurdle on his return to the smaller obstacles.
Third in a 20-runner Listed handicap hurdle at the Galway Festival on his most recent start, Richie McLernon’s mount deserves another chance at the chasing game, and connections look to have found a good opportunity for this ultra-consistent performer to get his career over fences back on track.
The concession of 19lb to the Paul Nicholls-trained Inca De Lafayette, along with the 5lb claim of jockey Jay Tidball, is likely to cause the selection most problems.
Recommendation: Double Powerful - 11/8 with bet365
2:30pm Perth - I Wish You
Perth’s beginners’chase at 1.25pm is an absolute cracker, despite a field of only 4 runners. Olly Murphy’s Hold The Serve, Fergal O’Brien’s Dream Shadow and Dan Skelton’s 156-rated Stayers’ Hurdle 4th Kabral Du Mathan all possess the potential to take high rank over fences in the months ahead. A race to watch, with a view to the future.
Champion trainer Dan Sketon sends a strong team to the Scottish racecourse in his early quest for a second title, the Warwickshire handler represented on this occasion by Major Fortune. The six-time winning hurdler has done little wrong since going over fences and may well prove the one to beat, despite today’s career-high mark of 127.
Olly Murphy’s Thunder Rock won a couple of hunter chases earlier in the year before never being able to get into contention when finishing a well beaten 16th in the Foxhunters at Aintree’s Grand National meeting. Sean Bowen’s mount faces a difficult task in trying to concede weight to his 5 rivals in this 3m handicap chase.
Mark Walford’s Chasingouttheblues made great strides over fences last season in winning races at Wetherby, Catterick and Carlisle before finishing a respectable 5th in the Scottish Grand National. It is almost three months since the stable had a winner over Jumps however and Jamie Hamilton’s mount may just need this first run since that Ayr stamina test.
The Russell/Scudamore stable has been slow to find their stride so far this season. However, they had two winners and two seconds from their four runners at Hexham on Saturday and I like the chances of Patrick Wadge’s mount I WISH YOU, one of two runners for the stable along with bottom weight Golden Point.
Fourth behind Golden Point on his chasing debut at Kelso last November (now 7lb better off), I Wish You went on to open his account with a short head victory over Dan Skelton’s Diamond Dealer at Wetherby, before ending the season with a creditable third in the Novices’ Champion Handicap Chase at Ayr on Scottish Grand National Day.
The six-year-old begins the new campaign racing off the same mark of 120 and is the type to win a valuable handicap or two this season.
Recommendation: I Wish You - 7/2 with bet365
4:15pm Perth - Kado Sacree (Nap)
Trainer Olly Murphy is represented by KADO SACREE (Nap) and Berkenshtaaap in this two and a half mile handicap chase, both horses making their debuts over fences. The pair were both successful in Irish point to points and are the two most interesting contenders in a race featuring mainly exposed rivals.
While Berkenshtaaap won a novices’ handicap hurdle on this course back in April, it is stablemate Kado Sacree who looks the most promising of the pair. Heavily supported when running out the easy winner of races at Carlisle and Perth on his first two outings in handicap hurdles, Sean Bowen’s mount begins his chasing career off may prove to be a lenient mark of 118. The grey son of Magneticjim is expected to make a winning debut as a chaser before attempting something a little more ambitious.
Recommendation: Kado Sacree (Nap) - 15/8 with bet365
This is Alan's Nap of the Day selection - see how it stacks up against Charlie McCann's pick.
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Free Bets in 2008.
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