Alan Kelly’s Tips
Alan heads to Doncaster on Saturday for his Nap of the Day
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Following three excellent weeks we were due a bad one, and since Sea Lantern’s narrow Cesarewitch defeat little has gone right, the week ending Sunday 18th October resulting in a loss of -£13.82.
P/L for the week ending Sunday, 18 October: -£13.82
P/L for the year to date: +£199.60
P/L for the year 2025: +£22.38
P/L for the year 2024: +£200.42
P/L since 1st September 2022: +£700.16
Alan Kelly's Tips - Saturday, 24 October
Saturday’s ITV Racing coverage features five races from Cheltenham, three from Doncaster and two from Newbury.
The main race of the day comes early at 1:30pm, the Group 1 William Hill Futurity Trophy at Doncaster.
Newbury holds a precautionary inspection on Friday morning.
12:55pm Doncaster - Al Shabab Storm
Mick Appleby’s top weight AL SHABAB STORM has plenty of soft ground form to his name, including a victory in a Group 3 contest at Baden-Baden in 2024. The five-year-old has gone close in valuable sprint handicaps on Town Moor and at York on his last two starts. With the 5lb claim of jockey Harry Vigors, the son of Advertise is fancied to record his first win on turf since that success in Germany.
Recommendation: Al Shabab Storm - 4/1 with William Hill
1:10pm Cheltenham - Lisbane Park
I was impressed with Spectacularsunrise’s debut victory over fences at Perth last month; the Twiston-Davies runner looks a good prospect over fences in the months ahead, while Henry de Bromhead’s hat-trick seeking Rockonliam is entitled to plenty of respect. However, in receipt of plenty of weight from those two rivals, the vote goes to Joe Tizzard’s chasing debutante LISBANE PARK.
Brendan Powell’s mount showed plenty of promise over hurdles, including when finishing a close second to Chris Gordon’s recent Silver Trophy 4th Kocktail Bleu at Newbury on his most recent start back in March. The five-year-old looks the type to make his mark over the bigger obstacles this season.
Recommendation: Lisbane Park - 5/1 with Betfair
1:30pm Doncaster - Noble Exhibit (Nap)
Ballydoyle trainer Aidan O’Brien is responsible for three of the seven contenders for this Group 1 juvenile contest from an entry of 11 at Monday’s declaration stage. A victory for O’Brien may well decide the outcome of the British trainers’ championship.
The trainer’s main hope looks to be his Frankel colt NOBLE EXHIBIT (Nap), last seen winning the Group 2 Beresford Stakes at the Curragh. Well held in that one mile contest was stablemate Drumbeat, who would go on to run out an easy winner of Newmarket’s Zetland Stakes. While Noble Exhibit’s ability to handle this type of ground is unknown, Ryan Moore’s mount can provide his trainer with an incredible 13th success in the race.
A victory for Andrew Balding’s Salisbury winner Gran Dia would certainly make for an interesting end to the trainers’ championship which concludes on the final day of the year.
Recommendation: Noble Exhibit (Nap) - 6/4 with William Hill
This is Alan's Nap of the Day selection - see how it stacks up against Charlie McCann's pick.
1:45pm Cheltenham - Newbrook Diamond
Gordon Elliott’s Irish raider NEWBROOK DIAMOND could only finish 4th when sent off favourite for a ARC Summer Novices’ Brush Hurdle Qualifier at Worcester last time, a race won by fellow rival Road To Wembley. In the hands of jockey Sean Bowen, the six-year-old did far too much up front in that race (was 20 lengths clear jumping the second hurdle) before weakening at the business end of the race.
Harry Cobden takes over in the saddle on this occasion (Bowen rides favourite Road To Wembley) and providing the selection proves less headstrong this time, is fancied to overturn that form over today’s longer trip.
Recommendation: Newbrook Diamond - 3/1 with Paddy Power
2:05pm Doncaster - Angels Passing (Each-Way)
Ballydoyle’s Bengal Tiger won his maiden at Naas by an eased-down 12 lengths on soft ground 13 days ago. The No Nay Never colt probably had very little to beat on that occasion however, and looks short enough at a best price 6/4 for this 6f Listed contest. I would rather back the Kevin Ryan-trained ANGELS PASSING (Each-Way).
The daughter of No Nay Never didn’t enjoy the clearest of runs when far from disgraced in finishing 10th of 17 behind Libertango in a very strong Lowther Stakes at York’s Ebor meeting. Providing the filly handles today’s soft conditions, Oisin Murphy’s mount is fancied to make the frame at the very least.
Recommendation: Angels Passing (Each-Way) - 10/1 with bet365 (3 places)
2:20pm Cheltenham - Lucky Bere (Each-Way)
A wide-open Pertemps Hurdle Series Qualifier in which 7 of the 19 runners will be racing from out of the handicap. One of those is the Kayley Woollacott-trained Lucky Bere, who is 3lb wrong in the weights but has the valuable services of jockey Sean Bowen.
The ex French gelding has a good record fresh and impressed when easily winning a 2m 4f handicap at Wincaston at the beginning of the year. In an open race, LUCKY BERE (Each-Way) can outrun his current odds of 18/1.
Recommendation: Lucky Bere (Each-Way) - 18/1 with bet365 (5 places)
2:55pm Cheltenham - Katate Dori
The Twiston-Davies stable has made an excellent start to the season and their Uncle Bert has to be on the short list for this £100k 3m 1f handicap chase, along with the Dan Skelton pair of Diamond Dealer and Here Comes Georgie. While South Glamorgan trainer Sam Thomas has had only a couple of runners during the last couple of weeks, I expect a big run from his KATATE DORI, the mount of jockey Dylan Johnston.
A promising 6th of 24 in last season’s Coral Gold Cup at Newbury prior to just losing out in a valuable handicap on Cheltenham’s New Year’s Day card, the eight-year-old was pulled-up after making much of the running in Ayr’s heavy ground Scottish Grand National on his final start of the season.
There is a decent prize to be won with Katate Dori this season off a mark only 7lb higher than when winning last year’s Ladbrokes Trophy (Premier Handicap) at Kempton by 15 lengths.
Recommendation: Katate Dori - 5/1 with Paddy Power
3:30pm Cheltenham - La Luna Artista (Each-Way)
It is easy to pick hoes in the form of most of the runners for this valuable four-year-old hurdle. At the 15/2 available with bet365, and with three places on offer, the each-way vote goes to the Jane Williams runner La Luna Artista.
The daughter of Spanish Moon beat fellow rival One Horse Town by 13 lengths in last season’s Grade 2 Adonis Hurdle at Kempton and is fancied to confirm that form on 5lb worse terms.
Recommendation: La Luna Artista (Each-Way) - 15/2 with bet365 (3 places)
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Free Bets in 2008.
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