Alan Kelly’s Tips
Alan heads to Market Rasen on Thursday for his Nap of the Day
Get daily horse racing tips from our in-house racing expert, Alan Kelly, who has spent over 40 years in the betting industry.
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Alan also highlights his strongest selection each day, so visit our Nap of the Day page to see which horse he fancies most.
Latest Profit & Loss Figures
A cracking week ending Sunday, 8 November, with a profit of £24.18 to a £1 level stake.
Having selected the 1-2 in the Melbourne Cup at 6/1 and 25/1, we continued in good form throughout the week with winners at 20/1, 10/3, 11/4, 5/1 and 13/2.
P/L for the week ending Sunday, 8 November: +£24.18
P/L for the year to date: +£202.06
P/L for the year 2025: +£22.38
P/L for the year 2024: +£200.42
P/L since 1st September 2022: +£702.62
Alan Kelly's Tips - Thursday, 12 November
Most racecourses are still desperate for rain. While the ground is principally good for Thursday's cards at Market Rasen and Thurles in Ireland, good to firm conditions are expected at Hereford.
12:41pm Market Rasen - Ivor Bear (Nap)
Charlie Longsdon’s Supreme Force, the winner of 3 of his 6 point-to-points, makes his debut over hurdles in this maiden contest and any support for Brian Hughes’ mount should be noted, while the same remark applies to the Henry Daly-trained Jack The Master, who showed some promise when 4th in a Huntingdon Bumper on his only start to date.
However, I will be disappointed if the Twiston-Davies contender IVOR BEAR (Nap) does not prove to be much better than his 8 rivals, providing the four-year-old jumps better than on his first start of hurdles on this course last month. Sent off the 8/11 favourite following three promising runs in Bumpers, the Soldier Of Fortune gelding had to play second fiddle to Olly Murphy’s Hold The Throw, winner of a Perth Bumper back in May.
Today’s extra half a mile is sure to suit the mount of Sam Twiston-Davies in a race which is his to lose.
Recommendation: Ivor Bear (Nap) - 11/10 with bet365
This is Alan's Nap of the Day selection - see how it stacks up against Charlie McCann's pick.
1:51pm Market Rasen - Noble Recall
One horse who would certainly not be winning out of turn if successful in this extended 2m 5f handicap chase is the Twiston-Davies-trained Miss Denver. Runner-up on her last 5 starts, the first four over fences before proving no match for winner Blue Topaz in a Hereford maiden hurdle last month.
The mare probably ran her best race to date when second to the O’Neill’s Gower Prince on this course during the summer. No one would deny the daughter of Blue Bresil that first elusive win, but I think Sam Twiston-Davies’ mount may find one too good again in the shape of Anthony Day’s NOBLE RECALL.
The seven-year-old Telescope gelding gets on really well with 5lb claimer Isabelle Ryder, the pair successful over hurdles at Worcester in September before repeating the feat over the bigger obstacles the following month. Runner-up to a promising horse of Joel Parkinson and Sue Smith on this course last month, Noble Recall can get back to winning ways in receipt of 13lb (including rider’s allowance) from main rival Miss Denver.
Recommendation: Noble Recall - 2/1 with bet365
2:15pm Hereford - Elated
Due to be dropped 1lb to a mark of 98 in the future, the five-year-old mare ELATED still makes plenty of appeal in an effort to record her first victory over hurdles at the 8th attempt in this uncompetitive novices’ handicap. The selection is expected to be suited by today’s big step-up in trip, having been mainly campaigned over distances in the region of 2m to date.
Previously with trainer Ben Pauling, the daughter of Passing Glance joined the Robbie Llewellyn stable last week following a couple of narrow defeats in September, on the latter occasion looking all over the winner when holding a clear lead 2 out in a Market Rasen maiden, only to be caught in the final strides by Faye Bramley’s Adba with the rest of the field some 21 lengths and more behind.
While the form of that race has taken a few subsequent knocks, Charlie Price’s mount still looks attractively rated on her handicap debut against some pretty average opponents, best of which is probably Jamie Snowden’s Cinnodin, who won a Class 5 contest at Huntingdon last month off a 4lb lower mark. Robbie Llewellyn hasn’t had many runners lately, but the stable landed a bit of a gamble with the victory of The Gray Ghost at Ascot recently.
Recommendation: Elated - 9/2 with bet365
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win, and has shown a consistent profit against the bookmakers.
Since joining Free Bets in 2008, he has helped readers find the best value each day.
You can also follow Alan Kelly on X for more racing insight.
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