Alan Kelly’s Tips
Alan heads to Plumpton on Monday for his Nap of the Day
Get daily horse racing tips from our in-house racing expert, Alan Kelly, who has spent over 40 years in the betting industry.
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Alan also highlights his strongest selection each day, so visit our Nap of the Day page to see which horse he fancies most.
Latest Profit & Loss Figures
Despite five out of six winning naps (9/4, 11/4, 3/1, 6/4, 6/4) we still managed to have a losing week, mainly down to a set of poor results on Saturday.
P/L for the week ending Sunday, 1 November: -£10.50
P/L for the year to date: +£177.88
P/L for the year 2025: +£22.38
P/L for the year 2024: +£200.42
P/L since 1st September 2022: +£678.44
Alan Kelly's Tips - Monday, 2 November
We head to the Jumps meetings at Plumpton and Southwell for Monday’s horse racing selections, the ground at both courses on the soft side of good.
We also have a selection for ‘The Race that Stops a Nation,’ namely, the Lexus Melbourne Cup which is due to get underway at 4:00am BST on Tuesday morning.
1:15pm Southwell - Harrys Hope
The Bailey/Nicholls-trained Law Of Supply has now dropped to a mark 1lb lower than when last successful, although that victory came almost two years ago since when Tom Bellamy’s mount has struggled to recapture his earlier promise. Billy Boi Blue got off the mark over fences with a game win at Worcester last month and should be competitive racing off a 6lb higher mark.
Glengolly is worth noting for any market confidence on his chasing debut, while Mel Rowley’s Just In A Bit has shown promise on all four starts over fences to date. However, on his first outing for trainer Matt Crawley since leaving the Ben Pauling stable recently, this looks a good opportunity for the mare HARRYS HOPE to record a 6th win over fences from 15 attempts.
Jack Quinlan’s mount has been kept busy over the last few months without managing to get her head in front but has been running well in defeat. The eight-year-old’s only previous visit to Southwell came two years ago when making a winning debut over fences with a wide-margin victory in a 13-runner handicap. Now down to a mark 1lb lower than when last successful, Harrys Hope is fancied to make a winning debut for the dual purpose Newmarket trainer.
Recommendation: Harrys Hope
2:30pm Plumpton - Let Him B
An excellent turnout of 13 runners for this Grade 2 handicap hurdle with prize money of £55k, headed by Neil Mulholland’s 133-rated Ike Sport, one of two runners for the stable. Also dual handed is Chris Gordon with Kocktail Bleu and Goodwin and Ditcheat trainer Paul Nicholls courtesy of Nardaran and Maldini Milano.
Of the horses mentioned, the one who makes most appeal is Kocktail Bleu, Tom Cannon’s mount last seen finishing a creditable fourth in Chepstow’s Silver Trophy last month. However, Irish trainer Charles Byrnes makes the long journey to Plumpton with just the one runner, the six-year-old gelding LET HIM B, who is fancied to follow-up his comfortable victory at Cork last month in receipt of weight from all of today’s rivals.
Backed as if defeat was out of the question at Cork, Philip Byrnes’ mount never gave his supporters a moment's worry as the son of Casamento cruised home unchallenged. While today’s opposition is much stronger, I expect the Irish raider, tongue-tied for the first time, to take plenty of beating at the foot of the handicap.
Recommendations: Let Him B
3:00pm Plumpton - Rickety Bridge (Nap)
Despite having won all three starts over fences to date, I still think the Paul Nicholls-trained RICKETY BRIDGE (Nap) is more than capable of keeping the winning run going before the handicapper catches up with the son of Kapgarde, who won his only point-to-point start at Bishops Court back in 2023.
Freddie Gingell’s mount has been raised 15lb for those three wins, all coming over 3m 2f at Newton Abbot, the most recent when proving far too good for the Mickey Bowen-trained favourite Dexperts Opinion during the summer. Rickety Bridge has more scope than any of his 5 rivals, best of which is probably Nicky Henderson’s Ile De Jersey, who is likely to come on for her first run since being pulled-up at Doncaster last December.
Recommendation: Rickety Bridge (Nap)
This is Alan's Nap of the Day selection - see how it stacks up against Charlie McCann's pick.
4:00am Flemington - Point Of Law
Irish trainer Joseph O’Brien is going all out in a bid to win Australia’s most famous race for a third time following the victories of Rekindling in 2017 and Twilight Payment three years later. O’Brien has chances with all four of his runners, although one of his main hopes, Defiantly, has been deemed unsuitable to run on veterinarian advice. However, I prefer the claims of Ciaron Maher’s POINT OF LAW, the trainer successful with Gold Trip in the 2022 renewal of the two mile handicap.
The son of Frankel ran in the colours of HM The King when trained by John & Thady Gosden, winning Newmarket’s Group 3 Bahrain Trophy at the July meeting on his fourth and final start for connections until joining Maher the following month instead of going for the St Leger at Doncaster, for which Point Of Law was quietly fancied.
Ethan Brown’s mount won the Group 3 Geelong Cup on his first start for the stable off an opening mark of 100, and with plenty more improvement to come, still looks potentially well-treated racing off a 7lb higher mark towards the bottom of the weights. At a big price, Point Of Law’s stablemate Zahrann makes some each-way appeal
Recommendation: Point Of Law - 11/2 with William Hill
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win, and has shown a consistent profit against the bookmakers.
Since joining Free Bets in 2008, he has helped readers find the best value each day.
You can also follow Alan Kelly on X for more racing insight.
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