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Our 4th winning week in a row, the highlight being the victory of 10/1 Nap of the Day Thistle Ask (started 3/1) in Friday's Haldon Gold Cup at Exeter.
Three winning Naps out of over the six days, the most impressive being Danielle's nine-length rout (tipped at 2/1) at Doncaster on Saturday.
- P/L for the week ending Sunday, 9 November: +£10.89
- P/L for the year 2025 to date: +£71.83
- P/L for the year 2024: +£200.42
- P/L since 1st September 2022: +£557.82
Alan Kelly's Tips - Monday, 17 November
Hopefully, Navan’s rescheduled card which was abandoned on Saturday goes ahead and planned, the ground at the Irish racecourse guaranteed to be very testing.
2:45pm Navan - Dinoblue
A cracking Fortria Chase featuring a field of 7 talented chasers, five of which will be making their seasonal reappearance, although Hercule Du Seuil has not been seen since winning a Grade 3 race at Killarney back in May. The market is headed by last season’s Champion Chase winner Marine Nationale, the mount of Sean Flanagan.
The French Navy gelding was beaten on his first starts last season however, and is likely to improve with today’s run under his belt. Gordon Elliott’s Found A Fifty should appreciate dropping back in trip after finishing fourth in Down Royal’s Champion Chase over 3m, although Jack Kennedy’s mount may be better over another half a mile.
With a decent record following a break and in receipt of weight from all of her rivals, this looks a good opportunity for the J P McManus-owned DINOBLUE to record her 9th victory from 17 starts over fences, six of which came over trips in the region of today’s two miles. Mark Walsh’s mount finished last season on a high, winning on her final three starts, including the Mrs Paddy Power Mares’ Chase at the Cheltenham Festival.
Recommendation: Dinoblue - 3/1 with bet365
3:30pm Exeter - Hill Of Tara (Each-Way)
Apart from Djelo’s Charlie Hall victory, the Venetia Williams stable has yet to hit form this season. Now that the ground is beginning to soften at many meetings, it won’t be long before the Herefordshire trainer gets among the winners once again.
Williams is represented by HILL OF TARA (Each-Way) in this extended 3m handicap chase, and despite three comprehensive defeats over fences, the Kayf Tara gelding is beginning to look very well handicapped if able to translate his hurdles form to that of the bigger obstacles.
After opening his account on heavy ground over hurdles at Ffos Las two years ago, the eight-year-old went on to record further victories at Leicester, Haydock and Hereford, achieving a mark of 107 in the process.
Well beaten over fences at Bangor, Leicester and Fontwell last season, connections haven’t given up on a horse who was so impressive in winning a handicap hurdle at Hereford last year by 25 lengths without being pushed out. Racing off a mark of 99 over fences, Charlie Deutsch’s mount is more than capable of winning a race of this nature if getting his act together.
Multiple point-to-point winner Move With The Beat is now with in-form trainer Jamie Snowden and worth noting in the betting, as is Special John on his first start for another stable going well, that of Sam Thomas.
Recommendation: Hill Of Tara (Each-Way) - 14/1 with Paddy Power (4 places)
6:10pm Newcastle - Maelstrom (Nap)
Hugo Palmer’s Stratusnine is an interesting runner in this Class 3 sprint handicap, the Far Above gelding not seen since finishing second in a £100k sales race at York 13 months ago. The mount of Liam Wright is worth noting for any market support, but I think the horse to beat is one of the other three-year-old’s in the race, the William Haggas-trained MAELSTROM (Nap).
While this is the first start on an artificial surface for the Cheveley Park-owned son of Night Of Thunder, the selection recorded a hat-trick of victories on good ground earlier in the year and may have found conditions too soft when third of 18 at Newbury on his most recent start last month. The grey has dropped 1lb to a mark of 83 following that creditable effort and Harry Burns’ mount has plenty more improvement to come, unlike the majority of his 13 rivals.
Recommendation: Maelstrom (Nap) - 3/1 with bet365
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Freebets.com in 2008.
You can follow Alan Kelly on Twitter for more racing insight.
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