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An excellent week ended Sunday, 1 March, with a profit of +£25.78, including winning naps at 5/4, 13/8, and 5/1 plus the 20/1 victory of Heltenham in the final ITV race on Saturday afternoon.
- P/L for the week ending Sunday, 1 March: +£25.78
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Alan Kelly's Tips - Tuesday, 3 March
With Tuesday’s jumps card at Market Rasen looking in serious doubt (inspection at 1pm Monday) we will concentrate on the card at Newcastle for today’s horse racing selections.
No problems are anticipated at the north-east racecourse, where the ground is currently described as good to soft, soft in places.
2:05pm Newcastle - Leader Wing
On just her fifth start over hurdles, we have yet to see the best of the Russell/Scudamore-trained mare Green Bonnet, the daughter of Dartmouth last since finishing third in a Kelso handicap back in September. If fit enough on her first start for almost 6 months, Green Bonnet would have major claims of taking this very modest Class 5 contest.
A Sedgefield Bumper winner for trainer Tom Weston 22 months ago, the six-year-old LEADER WING, now with the Gillian Boanas stable, has yet to trouble the judge in 13 attempts over hurdles, but is fancied to make it 14th time lucky in a race which should take very little winning.
Two of Leader Wing’s best efforts to date have come over today’s course and distance, first of all when runner-up in this race 12 months ago with several subsequent winners behind, prior to finishing a close third to the same winner, Luminaries, at Gosforth Park a month later.
A short head second at Musselburgh in early December, the son of Wings Of Eagles was last seen finishing 5th over three miles on that course just before Christmas. Dropping back almost half a mile in trip and off a reasonable mark of 86, Jamie Hamilton’s mount can finally land that elusive first victory over the smaller obstacles.
Recommendation: Leader Wing - 4/1 with bet365
2:35pm Newcastle - Huit Reflets
A dual winner over hurdles for trainer Micky Hammond, top weight Singapore Trip had his first start over fences for the stable since leaving France three years ago when finishing 3rd of 6 at Market Rasen last month. Brian Hughes’ mount has won off a much higher mark over hurdles but is best watched at the moment.
Better was expected from Tom Lacey’s Wannabe when the lightly-raced six-year-old was beaten 43 lengths on his chasing debut at Market Rasen on Boxing Day (was sent off at odds of 7/2 despite carrying top weight), the Walk In The Park gelding reported to have bled from the nose. Any support for Stan Sheppard’s mount should be taken seriously.
However, I think this looks a good opportunity for Mark Walford’s HUIT REFLETS to record a second victory over fences, the first coming courtesy of a comfortable success on Sedgefield’s popular Boxing Day card. Jamie Hamilton’s mount has been running consistently well in defeat since then and can supply yet another winner for a stable which has had three successes from their last six runners as I write. I may have a saver on Wannabe if the market speaks in favour of the least exposed of the 8 contenders.
Recommendation: Huit Reflets - 9/4 with bet365
4:05pm Newcastle - Jamesieconn (Nap)
Passing Pleasure will be fancied by many to land a hat-trick of victories following successes over hurdles at Musselburgh and fences at Catterick in the first half of December. The Greenall/Guerriero-trained six-year-old may well prove a step ahead of the handicapper on his second outing in a chase off a revised mark of 109. While another win for Craig Nichol’s mount would come as no great surprise, I think the son of Passing Glance may struggle to concede 22lb to Nicky Richards’ JAMESIECONN (Nap).
This will be Jamesieconn’s third start for the Greystoke trainer since leaving the Sam England stable three months ago, the seven-year-old a winner off today’s mark of 87 at Doncaster 12 months ago. Sent off favourite on both of his starts for Richards, connections are slowly finding their way with the recent arrival, as was the case with stablemates Anglers Crag and Doyen Du Bar, who landed successive Saturday naps for us at advised odds of 8/1 and 5/1.
Jockey Danny McMenamin is riding better than ever this season and if he can get his mount to jump better than was the case when fourth behind fellow rival Uptown Harry (11lb worse off) over today’s course and distance on his most recent start 6 weeks ago, Jamesieconn can take advantage of the weight he receives from all but two of his rivals.
Recommendation: Jamesieconn (Nap) - 15/2 with bet365
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Freebets.com in 2008.
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