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Five winning days out of six for the week ending Sunday, 27 September, and a profit of +£13.13.
Our each-way nap on Saturday, Erzidjan, just missed out on a place from an unfavourable draw. We did recommend 100/1 third Altareq as the best each-way alternative, without actually tipping Jim Goldie’s charge.
P/L for the week ending Sunday, 27 September: +£13.13
P/L for the year to date: +£171.66
P/L for the year 2025: +£22.38
P/L for the year 2024: +£200.42
P/L since 1st September 2022: +£672.22
Alan Kelly's Tips - Monday, 28 September
Arc week begins on a quiet note with the meetings at Hamilton Park, Brighton, Newton Abbot and Wolverhampton in Britain along with Irish fixtures at Roscommon and Down Royal.
3:00pm Newton Abbot - Inside Man
A field of only 4 for this £15k novices’ limited handicap chase but an interesting race all the same. Anthony Honeyball’s top weight Gore Point and stablemate Juggernaut (2lb out of the handicap) have both recorded victories over fences, the former successful in 4 of the 9 chases contested.
However, it is the two chasing debutante’s who interest me the most, Minella Jury from the in-form stable of Nigel & Willie Twiston-Davies and Jane Williams’ INSIDE MAN, preference being for the latter. A Bumper winner in Ireland around this time last year when trained by John Nallen, Minella Jury won at the first time of asking for the Twiston Davies’ when taking a Uttoxeter maiden hurdle on heavy ground just before Christmas.
Sam Twiston-Davies’ mount was last seen pulling-up in a competitive handicap hurdle at Plumpton back in April and looks the type to make up into a decent chaser, although the grey son of Jukebox Jury may be better under softer conditions than those expected this afternoon.
While trainer Jane Williams hasn’t had many runners lately, the stable’s Yeld To Call was beaten a short-head on the course 10 days ago in a mares’ novices’ hurdle. Inside Man is 4 from 12 over hurdles, the latest of those victories coming on this course 12 months ago with a comfortable success off today’s mark of 120.
Sent off favourite for a conditional jockeys’ handicap at Newbury the following month, Inside Man’s jumping went to pieces after being hampered by an unseating rival at the third hurdle. Ciaran Gething’s mount has the scope to prove a better chaser than hurdler and connections look to have found a good opportunity for the Manatee gelding to make a winning start over the bigger obstacles.
Recommendation: Inside Man - 9/2 with be365
3:29pm Hamilton - Hot Cash (Each-Way)
Ralph Beckett’s top weight El Matador has performed with credit on all of his starts this season, the Lope De Vega gelding beaten a length and a half or less on all four occasions. I’m not sure how Hector Crouch’s mount will handle today’s testing ground however, unlike several of his 12 rivals, including the Phillip Makin-trained Impartiality, who has some excellent soft-ground form to his name.
Shane Gray’s mount is badly treated with another horse who relishes plenty of give in the ground in the shape of Jack Channon’s HOT CASH (Each-Way). The Too Darn Hot gelding’s last success came in the Lady Dacre Bell at Carlisle last summer when beating his 15 rivals, one of which was Impartiality back in 9th place, and now set to meet the winner on 7lb worse terms.
Despite 11 subsequent defeats, Kevin Stott’s mount has gone close on several occasions, in particular when finishing 2nd of 18, beaten a length, in the valuable HKJC World Pool Handicap at Epsom on Oaks Day.
Now down to a mark of just 82, and following a good effort when runner-up at Chester earlier in the month, Hot Cash, sporting a visor for the first time, can take this £25k Class 3 handicap at the main expense of David O’Meara’ Rhoscolyn, who has been knocking on the door lately and is another who won’t be inconvenienced by today’s conditions.
Recommendation: Hot Cash (Each-Way) - 8/1 with bet365 (4 places)
4:04pm Hamilton - City Captain (Nap)
Dropping back to the minimum trip for the first time since his two-year-old days, the Harriet Bethell-trained CITY CAPTAIN (Nap) is fancied to gain some compensation for the gelding's narrow defeat over an extra furlong on this course last week.
Daniel Tudhope’s mount recorded victories on his two previous visits to Hamilton, the most recent when justifying favouritism on good to soft ground last month off a mark of 78. Attempting to follow-up with a revised rating of 82 seven days ago, City Captain just lost out in a battle with Kevin Ryan's Belsito, the pair well clear of the other six contenders.
On ground which should suit, City Captain can make it 3 from 4 at Hamilton, the main danger likely to come in the shape of Jim Goldie's course specialist Jordan Electrics.
Recommendation: City Captain (Nap) - 7/4 with bet365
This is Alan's Nap of the Day selection - see how it stacks up against Charlie McCann's pick too.
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Free Bets in 2008.
You can follow Alan Kelly on X for more racing insight.
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