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Epsom's costly masterplan to reinvent Derby Day proved a bit of a damp squib in the end, mainly down to the awful weather which resulted in cars leaving the course in droves well before the feature race got underway at just after 4.00pm.
Having backed Dante winner Item, to see the York form overturned by over 30 lengths due to the conditions summed the day up for me. Christmas Day doesn't always bring what you had hoped for. The decision to declare Derby favourite Benvenuto Cellini a non-runner only added to the fiasco. Hopefully, the Surrey racecourse will have better luck in 12 months time, and at less expense.
Despite a slight loss on Saturday, we ended the week with a profit of +£6.65, mainly down to three successful naps, at odds of 5/1, 4/1 and 7/2 (20p R4).
- P/L for the week ending Sunday, 7 June: +£6.65
- P/L for the year 2026 to date: +£146.15
- P/L for the year 2025: +£22.38
- P/L for the year 2024: +£200.42
- P/L since 1st September 2022: +£646.81
Alan Kelly's Tips - Tuesday, 9 June
With the prospect of light rain throughout the day, Salisbury’s ground is likely to ease further from current conditions of soft, good to soft in places.
3:18pm Salisbury - Arantes Nascimento
With champion jockey Oisin Murphy taking over in the saddle for the first time, last month’s Windsor winner Distant Rumble will be fancied to follow-up, Roger Teal’s charge runner-up over today’s course and distance 9 days earlier off a 5lb lower mark.
Jonathan Portman’s Thunderous Love, a dual winner at Salisbury, once on soft ground and once on good to firm, was sent off co favourite for an apprentice fillies’ handicap at Goodwood on Friday but managed to beat only one of her 9 rivals home following an awkward start. Rob Hornby’s mount is capable of bouncing back off her lowest mark since winning a couple of races last summer.
Despite having yet to get his head in front from 11 attempts on turf, this looks a good opportunity for Michael Attwater’s ARANTES NASCIMENTO to put that record straight after finishing second on five occasions in the last six months, the Charm Spirit gelding a winner over 7f on Kempton Park’s all-weather surface on his penultimate start.
Dropped back to 6f for a handicap at Newmarket last month, Kieren Fox’s mount stayed-on to finish a never-nearer second behind Stuart Williams’ Expert Agent, looking as if a return to slightly further would help. While kept to the same trip, today’s soft conditions will make it more of a test for the selection, who looks sure to run another solid race.
Recommendation: Arantes Nascimento - 11/2 with bet365
4:30pm Southwell - Collanisi (Nap)
A modest Class 5 novices’ handicap hurdle featuring a field of 11 runners headed by James Owen’s Versatile, who has been beaten a total of 38 lengths on his two runs to date over hurdles, those defeats at Plumpton and Huntingdon either side of the Siyouni gelding refusing to race on the Flat at Leicester last month.
The Greenall/Guerriero-trained Prettylady won on her handicap debut at Stratford last month at odds of 22/1, the first signs of form shown by the daughter of The Grey Gatsby, who is far from certain to repeat that performance. In a race which should take little winning, I think Ben Pauling’s Kalanisi gelding COLLANISI (Nap) may prove the one to beat on his 5th start over the smaller obstacles.
After showing some promise in a couple of Bumpers and three outings over hurdles in novice company, Ben Jones’ mount finished a promising third on his handicap debut at Uttoxeter last month when beaten less than two lengths, holding every chance until jumping the last. The fourth home home on that occasion, Olly Murphy’s Ask A Sainte, went on to win a handicap on that course by a very easy 9 lengths last Thursday.
With just average improvement off today’s 1lb higher mark, Collanisi should be more than capable of winning a race of this nature.
Recommendation: Collanisi (Nap) - 10/3 with bet365
4:53pm Salisbury - Rossa Raheen
First and last of fourth respectively in a one mile juvenile fillies’ novice stakes at Haydock back in September, the Ralph Beckett-trained Morven and ROSSA RAHEEN from the Ollie Sangster stable look the two to concentrate on for this mile and a quarter fillies’ handicap.
The former, after finishing last of 5 in a Listed race at Pontefract on her final start at two, made a promising reappearance when losing out narrowly in a bunched finish at Wolverhampton last month, a race in which only just over two lengths covered the first five horses home. Rossa Ryan’s mount should be winning soon off a mark of 82 for a stable which does so well with this type of horse.
Preference, however, is for bottom weight Rossa Raheen and jockey David Probert. Now 11lb better off with Morven for the six and a three quarter lengths which separated the pair at Haydock last year, the daughter of Palace Pier caught the eye when finishing an unlucky neck second in a 14-runner handicap at Newbury last month.
A nose back in third on that occasion was the Andrew Balding-trained Kalokalo, who landed our nap (advised at 5/1) when sent off a heavily supported 6/4 favourite at Windsor last Monday. Raised just 1lb to a modest mark of 71, Rossa Raheen is fancied to go one better if not inconvenienced by today’s soft ground.
Recommendation: Rossa Raheen - 2/1 with bet365
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Freebets.com in 2008.
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