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Latest Profit & Loss Figures
Following a poor start, winners at 7/2 and 9/2 on Friday and 6/1 and 13/2 on Saturday meant the week ending Sunday, 14 June resulted in a profit of +£9.35. Hopefully, we can keep the good run going during the most important week of the Flat season which gets underway on Tuesday afternoon.
- P/L for the week ending Sunday, 14 June: +£9.35
- P/L for the year 2026 to date: +£155.50
- P/L for the year 2025: +£22.38
- P/L for the year 2024: +£200.42
- P/L since 1st September 2022: +£656.16
Alan Kelly's Tips - Tuesday, 16 June
The opening day of Royal Ascot on Tuesday is expected to take place on good (watered) ground. The seven-race card features three Group 1 races, starting with the Queen Anne Stakes at 2:30pm.
2:30pm Royal Ascot - More Thunder
While the Harry Eustace-trained Docklands is always to be respected on his favourite course, I think the outcome of this Group 1 contest rests between the Godolphin pair of Notable Speech and Opera Bello along with William Haggas’s More Thunder.
Of the two Charlie Appleby runners, a strong preference is for this year's Lockinge winner Notable Speech, who had two lengths to spare over runner-up MORE THUNDER at the Berkshire racecourse. I fancy Tom Marquand’s mount to overturn that form however, in a race which I think will be run to suit the son of Night Of Thunder.
Often slowly away in his races, not a bad thing in moderation on this course, I expect More Thunder to be finishing best of all in a fascinating opener at the royal meeting. With Notable Speech and More Thunder coming from stalls 1 and 9 respectively, the draw could have a say in the outcome of the first of three Group 1’s on the card.
Recommendation: More Thunder - 9/2 with Coral
3:40pm Royal Ascot - Jakajaro (Each-Way)
Australian-trained runners have an excellent record in this Group 1 sprint run over the minimum trip, and in Bjorn Baker’s Overpass they may well have another horse capable of emulating the likes of Takeover Target, Miss Andretti, Nature Strip etc. The seven-year-old has been beaten on his last 7 starts however, albeit mainly in Group 1 company, but at odds as short as 2/1 Joshua Parr’s mount is worth taking on (each-way) from a value perspective.
With the speedy Overpass likely to take the field along from his draw in stall 19, the pace of the race may well favour the high numbers, in which case it could be worth taking a chance on Robert Cowell’s JAKAJARO (Each-Way) (drawn 23), the mount of Ascot specialist Jamie Spencer.
The son of Too Darn Hot has been in excellent form this season, and despite having a few pounds to find with many of his rivals based on current ratings, it would be no surprise to see the five-year-old outrun his odds (40/1 with Paddy Power and 5 places) in a race that is sure to be run at a scorching pace.
Recommendation: Jakajaro (Each-Way) - 40/1 with Paddy Power (5 places)
4:20pm Royal Ascot - Talk Of New York
This Group 1 contest run over the round mile is a rematch between the first two horses home in last month’s Betfred 2000 Guineas, Bow Echo and Gstaad. The latter went on to take the Irish version, whereas George Boughey’s charge has been kept fresh for this race.
With some eight lengths back to the third horse at headquarters, it is no surprise to see none of the beaten horses in the first classic of the season featuring among today's field. The race does include a third serious contender however in Godolphin’s promising TALK OF NEW YORK.
While this is a big step-up in class for Charlie Appleby’s charge, I was very impressed with the turn of foot shown by William Buick's mount in Sandown’s Listed Heron Stakes last time. Even though Bow Echo is fancied to confirm the Guineas form with Ballydoyle’s number one (Puerto Rico the possible pace edge), I think the boys in blue have a horse who looks more than capable of causing a minor surprise.
Recommendation: Talk Of New York - 9/2 with bet365
5:00pm Royal Ascot - Reaching High (Nap)
Not seen since finishing a desperately unlucky 9th (beaten less than 4 lengths) in this race 12 months ago, the Willie Mullins-trained REACHING HIGH (Nap) can prove a very popular winner of this 2m 4f Heritage Handicap for HM The King and HM The Queen.
Stopped in his run repeatedly from 3 out behind eventual winner Ascending last year, the lightly-raced son of Sea The Stars has clearly been trained with this race in mind for some time, the five-year-old having just his third start for the Closutton handler since leaving the stable of Sir Michael Stoute last May.
Raised 1lb to a mark of 95 since last year, it will be interesting to see if jockey Ryan Moore decides to take the inside route on his mount once again. In a tightly-knit handicap with only 9lb covering all 20 runners, 13 of which are Irish-trained, the main danger to the royal runner may be the JP McManus-owned Puturhandstogether, one of 7 Joseph O’Brien contenders, and the mount of impressive Oaks-winning jockey Dylan Browne McMonagle.
Recommendation: Reaching High (Nap) - 9/4 with Betfred
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Freebets.com in 2008.
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