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Latest Profit & Loss Figures
We enjoyed a fabulous week ending Sunday, 24 May, with a profit of +£26.58 to a £1 level stake, resulting in figures of +£70.00 for the month of May.
Refreshed following a break in the slightly cooler temperatures of Tenerife, the action moves on to Epsom this week for the Betfred Oaks and Derby, along with a fascinating Coronation Cup.
- P/L for the week ending Sunday, 24 May: +£26.58
- P/L for the year 2026 to date: +£139.50
- P/L for the year 2025: +£22.38
- P/L for the year 2024: +£200.42
- P/L since 1st September 2022: +£640.16
Alan Kelly's Tips - Wednesday, 3 June
Wednesday’s horse racing comes from the Flat meetings at Nottingham in the afternoon, along with Ripon and the Curragh in the evening.
The jumps cards at Newton Abbot in the afternoon and Warwick in the evening complete the action for the day.
3:48pm Nottingham - Safe Harbor
After showing some promise in four runs on the all weather, two at Southwell and one apiece at Chelmsford and Wolverhampton, Marco Botti’s SAFE HARBOR took a big step forward on her first start on turf when the daughter of Territories managed to beat all bar winner Bearin Up in a 13-runner handicap at Newmarket just over two weeks ago.
Despite receiving a bump leaving the stalls at headquarters, the unexposed filly stayed-on nicely to grab second spot close home, a length and a half behind the Tim Easterby-trained winner. Raised 1lb for that effort to a mark of 67, David Egan’s mount should be up to winning a race of this nature with more improvement to come and from a stable in decent form.
Jedd O’Keeffe’s Lillie Margot, second to the well supported Valkyrie Storm on this course last month, may give the selection most to do along with Tom Dascombe’s top weight Bami, who may just need this run, the Kodi Bear fillies’ first for six months.
Recommendation: Safe Harbor - 5/2 with bet365
4:30pm Newton Abbot - Morning Mayhem (Nap)
A field of only 5 for this Class 3 handicap hurdle but a cracking race all the same. Tom Lacey’s top weight Howth is 4 from 6 over hurdles, the Churchill gelding’s latest two victories coming over today’s course and distance last summer, the second off a 2lb higher mark. Not seen since finishing 4th of 5 at Plumpton back in September, Stan Sheppard’s mount is best watched on his first outing for over 8 months.
Paul Nicholls’ Centara returns to the smaller obstacles following a spell over fences, including victories at Hereford and on four occasions on this track. Well beaten on his reappearance here last month, the Sageburg gelding is another worth watching with a view to the future.
Joe Tizzard’s American Land won three races around this time last year, two on this course, but may just be in the grip of the handicapper now following three subsequent defeats, which leaves the two horses at the foot of the weights, MORNING MAYHEM (Nap) and Arctic Voyage as the two to concentrate on.
After pulling up in a Taunton handicap on his first start for trainer Michael Blake, Arctic Voyage has gone on to record comfortable victories in maiden and novice company at Hereford and Newton Abbot and is respected in receipt of plenty of weight from his 4 rivals. Slight preference, however, is for the Nick Scholfield-trained Morning Mayhem.
After winning a Uttoxeter handicap off a mark of 88 just before last Christmas, the five-year-old now runs off a career-high mark of 112 following several creditable efforts, including a couple of wins at Fakenham. Fourth of 12 in the valuable Grand Prix handicap on that course last month, Kielan Woods’ mount was only beaten a length after holding every chance until close home.
Despite today’s revised rating, Morning Mayhem still looks capable of defying such a mark and is fancied to get his talented trainer back on the scoresheet.
Recommendation: Morning Mayhem (Nap) - 3/1 with bet365
7:20pm Curragh - Yulia
Joseph O’Brien is responsible for three of the 12 contenders for this Sky Bet Race To The Ebor Handicap, the two horses heading the weights in Emit, with jockey Ryan Moore booked for the first time, and the J P McManus-owned Dawn Rising, runner-up in last October’s Cesarewitch at Newmarket.
While it is easy to make a strong case out for both horses, along with those of Willie Mullins’ Too Bossy For Us, I like the chances of O’Brien’s third runner, the 87-rated YULIA, the mount of Declan McDonagh. The lightly-raced daughter of Camelot won races at Nancy (1m 7f) and Deauville (1m 4 1/2f) when trained by Christophe Ferland in France last year before joining the Irish handler in December.
Having her first outing for the stable over an inadequate trip of just over a mile and a quarter at Sligo last month, Yulia did well to finish fifth, beaten just over five lengths, after being repeatedly denied a clear run following a poor start. With that run under her belt, and over tonight’s longer trip, the filly can take advantage of looks to be a favourable handicap mark.
Recommendation: Yulia - 11/2 with Virgin Bet
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Freebets.com in 2008.
You can follow Alan Kelly on X for more racing insight.
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