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Despite three winning naps out of six (5/2, 3/1 and 7/4) we ended the week with a loss of -£8.02, the result of some very poor picks on Wednesday and Thursday.
P/L for the week ending Sunday, 20 September: -£8.02
P/L for the year to date: +£158.53
P/L for the year 2025: +£22.38
P/L for the year 2024: +£200.42
P/L since 1st September 2022: +£659.09
Alan Kelly's Tips - Tuesday, 22 September
Ground conditions up and down the country at the moment could not be more different as we move into autumn.
Ayr’s Gold Cup meeting on Saturday just managed to beat the elements following torrential rain, while they were breaking track records at Newbury’s Mill Reef card on the same afternoon.
Tuesday’s British turf meetings at Beverley on the Flat and Warwick and Fontwell over Jumps are expected to take place on good ground, although it is firm in places at the Warwickshire racecourse.
3:15pm Beverley - Jakajaro
Both running off marks of 108, the outcome of this 5f Class 2 contest is expected to concern the Robert Cowell-trained JAKAJARO and Jm Jungle from the John & Sean Quinn stable, slight preference being for the former.
The latter's sole victory from 8 starts in 2026 came on heavy ground over today’s course and distance in the Listed Beverley Bullet at the end of last month. The six-year-old has been competing against the best sprinter around this season, including when finishing a fine 7th in the Group 1 Nunthorpe at York’s Ebor meeting.
The two horses finished 5th and 8th in the Group 1 Flying Five at the Curragh 9 days ago, Jason Hart’s mount just over two and a half lengths in front of Jakajaro. Jamie Spencer’s mount has shown tremendous early pace in his races this season however, and on a course which can suit front-runners, the Too Darn Hot gelding is expected to take some pegging back.
The most interesting of the other five contenders is Brian Ellison’s three-year-old Wor Faayth, a Listed winner in France as a juvenile. Any market move for the Ardad filly should be noted.
Recommendation: Jakajaro - 11/4 with bet365
3:57pm Fontwell - Motazzen (Nap)
Despite having been beaten on his last 7 starts, Joe Tizzard’s Siam Park is still 3lb higher than when winning over fences at Plumpton last November and may need a little help from the handicapper before troubling the judge again.
Olly Murphy’s Starshine Legend, the mount of champion jockey Sean Bowen, seemed to appreciate the step-up to 2m 4f when winning on his handicap debut at Worcester last month and may well prove the one to beat off today’s 7lb higher mark. Preference, however, is for Henrietta Knight’s MOTAZZEN (Nap), a winner four times at Fontwell, once over today’s extended 2m 5f distance.
Following wind surgery earlier in the year, Brendan Powell’s mount looked as if he would improve for his runs on Southwell’s all-weather surface and at Fontwell last month before running out an easy winner on the course 16 days ago. With three winners from her last four runners, Knight’s stable is in excellent form at the moment, and Motazzen can continue the good run with a victory in this Class 4 handicap off a mark 6lb higher than when winning by 10 lengths here back in March.
Recommendation: Motazzen (Nap) - 7/2 with bet365
This is Alan's Nap of the Day selection - see how it stacks up against Charlie McCann's pick too.
5:07pm Fontwell - Guinness Lad (Each-Way)
Barry Brennan’s Lady Fortune is the only one of these 10 runners to have recorded a victory over hurdles, the six-year-old mare’s two wins to date coming at Market Rasen and Uttoxeter earlier in the year. The daughter of Soldier Of Fortune can throw in the odd bad run however, and is now 12lb higher than when recording the first of those successes back in May.
Ben Pauling’s Lucky In Taipan is interesting with talented 7lb claimer Elliott England taking over in the saddle for the first time. A promising third on his second outing for the stable at Worcester last month, the six-year-old ran no sort of a race when eventually pulled-up at Bangor 16 days later, but should not be discounted off today’s mark of 72 and with a visor on for the first time.
The vote, however, goes to a horse who has not been seen over hurdles since finishing 8th in a novices’ limited handicap at Uttoxeter just before Christmas in 2024, the Neil Mulholland-trained GUINNESS LAD (Each-Way). James Bowen’s mount has been kept busy on the Flat since then, the gelding’s last five runs all taking place at Windsor, including a victory there in June.
Back over the smaller obstacles with a rating of 78, connections could not have found an easier opportunity for the son of Berkshire, who makes plenty of appeal in Fontwell's finale.
Recommendation: Guinness Lad (Each-Way) - 7/1 with bet365 (3 places)
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Free Bets in 2008.
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