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A break-even week ending Sunday 30th August with a small profit of +£1.72 to a £1 level stake, although we did have three out of five winning naps (11/4, 11/4 (10p R4) and 4/7) plus a non-runner.
P/L for the week ending Sunday, 30 August: +£1.72
P/L for the year to date: +£157.90
P/L for the year 2025: +£22.38
P/L for the year 2024: +£200.42
P/L since 1st September 2022: +£658.56
Alan Kelly's Tips - Wednesday, 2 September
We head to the meetings at Bath in the afternoon and Kempton Park in the evening for Wednesday’s horse racing selections. The going at Bath is forecast to be on the firm side of good.
5:02pm Bath - Quebella
Owen Burrows’ QUEBELLA heads the weights for this extended 1m 3f fillies’ handicap. Previously with Richard Hughes, the daughter of Study Of Man made a pleasing start for today’s connections when finishing third in a Class 3 fillies’ handicap at Goodwood’s May meeting.
On the back of that run, Jamie Spencer’s mount was well-supported on her next start at Chester, but could only finish third of the 6 runners on the Roodee. A combination of the track, drop back in trip and the soft conditions resulted in the four-year-old filly failing to give her true running.
Quebella will be seen in a much better light under today’s conditions, and off a mark of just 84 is fancied to concede the weight to her 5 rivals, best of which may be Sir Mark Prescott’s Asset. The Wooton Bassett filly should appreciate this step-up in trip, as is usually the case with horses from this stable, and Luke Morris’s mount get a handy 13lb from the selection.
Recommendation: Quebella - 5/1 with bet365
6:30pm Kempton - Sierra Belle (Nap)
This informative juvenile contest run of 6f is likely to throw up several subsequent winners with many of the big stables fielding runners. Andrew Balding’s Al Widyan is sure to improve for his run at Newmarket last month, a remark which also applies to the John & Thady Gosden-trained Farasan.
The latter was sent off the 5/1 second favourite at headquarters behind Godolphin’s newcomer Desert Castle, a well regarded son of Frankel. While beaten just over 6 lengths in 6th place, Farasan showed plenty of promise and, along with Richard Hughes’ I Am Royal, likely to prove the main rivals to the selection, Ralph Beckett’s well-bred daughter of Frankel, SIERRA BELLE (Nap).
Rossa Ryan’s mount went down by a neck to Godolphin’s Acting Lady in a Newmarket maiden on her debut in July, a head in front of the Richard Spencer-trained Speed Of Sound, who would go on to win at Yarmouth before finishing a creditable third behind Ballydoyle’s exciting Sun Goddess in a 20-runner Sales race at York’s Ebor meeting.
Sent off at odds of 4/9 on her next start at Salisbury, Sierra Belle failed to beat Clive Cox’s Pride Of Toledo in what turned out to be a virtual match. That defeat does not look so bad now since the winner's excellent fourth on the Knavesmire, a head behind Speed Of Sound. The selection has an excellent chance to get off the mark at the third attempt for leading owner Juddmonte.
Recommendation: Sierra Belle (Nap) - 6/4 with bet365
8:30pm Kempton - Madjid
Title-chasing jockey Billy Loughnane is unlikely to go home empty handed from tonight’s meeting at Kempton, the popular rider’s best chances possibly those of Zoustar Dreams in the 7.30pm and Extraterrestrial for the Crisford stable in this finale.
The Space Blues gelding has yet to get off the mark from 9 starts to date, but went down by just a length in second place at Brighton on his most recent outing just over two months ago. However, I think Extraterrestrial may have to settle for the runner-up spot once again, on this occasion behind the Harry Charlton-trained MADJID.
The mount of Lewis Edmunds has a 6lb penalty to carry for last week’s all-the-way victory over a furlong shorter on this course. Like many three-year-old’s by his sire Time Test, Madjid has shown significant improvement throughout the year. Tonight’s revised mark of 74 still looks very attractive for a horse who is only going to get better.
Recommendation: Madjid - 8/11 with bet365
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Free Bets in 2008.
You can follow Alan Kelly on X for more racing insight.
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