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Latest Profit & Loss Figures
A small loss of £0.70 for the week ending Sunday, 23 November, although we did have three out of five winning naps (one non-runner), the big disappointment being the dismal run of Il Est Francais at Ascot on Saturday.
- P/L for the week ending Sunday, 23 November: -£0.70
- P/L for the year 2025 to date: +£71.13
- P/L for the year 2024: +£200.42
- P/L since 1st September 2022: +£557.12
Alan Kelly's Tips - Friday, 28 November
The ITV Racing cameras will be showing four races from Newbury’s two-day Coral Gold Cup meeting on Friday, along with a couple from the all-weather card at Southwell.
The ground at the Berkshire racecourse is currently described as good to soft on the chase course and soft, good to soft in places on the hurdles course.
1:50pm Newbury - Regent’s Stroll
The form of Wendigo’s head defeat at the hands of Olly Murphy’s Wade Out on his chasing debut at Worcester last month received a boost when the winner went on to win a Listed novices’chase at Cheltenham two weeks ago. Runner-up to The New Lion in the Challow Hurdle on this course towards the end of last year, Jamie Snowden’s six-year-old may prove better over a slightly longer trip than today’s two and a half mile.
Kingston Pride beat a decent novice in Jet To Vegas on his first start over fences at Perth last month and is respected, along with Ben Pauling’s No Questions Asked, who had little trouble in beating odds-on favourite Viroflay at Ascot earlier in the month. If there is a top class novice among today’s field of 6 however it is likely to be REGENT'S STROLL from the Ditcheat stable of Paul Nicholls.
Two places behind Wendigo in the Challow, when, according to Nicholls in a recent trainer file “nearly ran away with Harry (Cobden) on the way to the start,” the Walk In The Park gelding ended the season with a narrow defeat in the Grade 1 Mersey Novices’ Hurdle at Aintree’s Grand National meeting.
Along with connections, I think the six-year-old will make a better chaser than hurdler, and despite being thrown-in at the deep end for his chasing debut, I expect Harry Cobden’s mount to come through with flying colours.
Recommendation: Regent’s Stroll - 2/1 with bet365
3:00pm Newbury - Impose Toi (Nap)
The staying hurdle division is wide open this season and I think the J P McManus-owned IMPOSE TOI (Nap) could become a leading home player for the Stayer’s Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival, the Nicky Henderson-trained seven-year-old currently available at odds of 20/1 with the majority of bookmakers.
Five from 12 over hurdles, the son of It’s Gino steps up in class after putting up some excellent efforts in defeat, in particular when beating all bar Willie Mullins’ Jimmy Du Seuil in the Coral Cup back in March. Running over a trip of 3m plus for the first time on his reappearance at Aintree three weeks ago, Nico De Boinville’s mount gave both weight and a comfortable beating to his 6 rivals in a Pertemps Hurdle Series Qualifier.
Olly Murphy’s Strong Leader sets the standard for this Grade 2 Coral Long Distance Hurdle following his defeat of fellow rivals Take No Chances and Doddiethegreat in Wetherby’s bet365 Hurdle last time. However, I will be surprised if Sean Bowen’s mount is up to conceding 6lb to the selection.
Recommendation: Impose Toi (Nap) - 9/4 with Coral
3:35pm Newbury - Diamond Ri
Top weight Classic King, following a wind op, ran well to finish fourth in a competitive handicap at Cheltenham on his reappearance and is sure to improve for the run. Rex Dingle’s mount is probably in the grip of the handicapper at the moment racing off a career-high mark of 135 and will do well to concede weight all round in this afternoon’s finale.
Jockey Harry Cobden rode Classic King last time but now switches to stablemate J J Moon for Emma Lavelle. The lightly-raced six-year-old was successful over an extended 2m 5f on his handicap debut last month and is open to more improvement over today’s longer trip.
The Skelton’s have made a great start to the season and in handicap debutante Blue Carpet they may well have a well-handicapped horse on their hands, as this will be just the third run over hurdles for the Blue Bresil gelding, who runs off an opening mark of just 118.
The Hobbs/White-trained Keable is another worth considering (each-way) at a double-figure price, but I like the chances of the unexposed six-year-old DIAMOND RI from the bang-in-form stable of Joe Tizzard.
Not seen since finishing second to the Nicky Henderson-trained Peaky Boy (now with the O’Neill’s and rated 139 over fences and 132 over hurdles), Brendan Powell’s mount has a good record fresh and makes his handicap debut off what I think may prove to be a very lenient mark of 128. The Diamond Boy gelding has always been held in high regard by connections and can go some way to justifying that reputation with a victory in this Class 3 handicap.
Recommendation: Diamond Ri - 5/1 with William Hill
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Freebets.com in 2008.
You can follow Alan Kelly on Twitter for more racing insight.
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