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Alan Kelly's Tips - Tuesday, 21 July
Horse Racing tips for the meetings at Nottingham and Salisbury on Tuesday. Nottingham in the afternoon and Salisbury in the evening provide Tuesday's turf Flat action, the ground at both courses on the firm side of good. Small fields are the order of the day at both courses, with only one of the 13 races attracting double figures.
5:50pm Nottingham - Coyy
With the two older horses for this sprint handicap run over the minimum trip, Mondammej and Squealer, both struggling to recapture their form at the moment, the outcome looks to concern the three horses from the classic generation, Eve Johnson Houghton's Coyy, the David O'Meara-trained Come On Over and Ed Walker's Velvet Goldmine, who makes her handicap debut off a potentially lenient mark of 69.
Tom Marquand's mount is the most interesting of the five runners, the daughter of Starman having just her fourth career start. The big doubt regarding the filly is her tendency to pull hard in her races, a trait which almost certainly cost her the race when caught close home by Eve Johnson Houghton's Doodling at Bath last month.
If Velvet Goldmine settles better on this occasion, she is clearly the one they all have to beat. Come On Over made all of the running to open his account at the 12th attempt when just holding off the late challenge of Kings Merchant over 6f at Doncaster earlier in the month. However, I think the race could be set up nicely for the consistent Far Above gelding COYY.
Charles Bishop's mount often misses the break but is a strong finisher, as when getting up close home to win at Windsor two months ago. Beaten just over 3 lengths when 7th in the three-year-old 'Dash' at Epsom on Derby Day after being slowly away, I expect Coyy to be finishing best of all in Nottingham's finale.
Recommendation: Coyy - 9/2 with bet365
8:51pm Salisbury - Mountbatten (Nap)
Well beaten in a couple of races at Chester on his last two starts, Rod Millman's top weight Curran will be better suited to this type of traditional course and is respected with champion jockey Oisin Murphy taking over in the saddle for the first time.
Jeremy Scott's Fair Dinkum has some decent form on the course, including a comfortable victory over today's distance back in October off a mark of 62. The winning jockey on that occasion, 5lb claimer Taryn Langley is in the saddle once again, although the pair failed to finish any better than 4th of 6 here last month over a trip 2f shorter.
Despite finishing last of 4 when an odds-on favourite for a handicap at Yarmouth last month, I expect Sir Mark Prescott's MOUNTBATTEN (Nap) to fulfil the potential of his previous victory at Southwell when making his handicap debut just 8 days earlier.
The son of Japan looks a typical improver for the shrewd stable now stepping-up in trip following three runs in novice company at big prices. That Yarmouth effort clearly came too soon for the mount of Luke Morris, who has had nearly a month to recover from those exertions. With blinkers on for the first time, I expect the unexposed three-year-old to prove too good for his four older rivals.
Recommendation: Mountbatten (Nap) - with bet365
Ante-Post: Coral Golden Mile (Goodwood, 31 July) - Tribal Chief (Each-Way)
Having selected the David Menuisier-trained Tribal Chief for Saturday's valuable Coral Challenge at Sandown, the race was pretty much over for Saffie Osborne's mount as the stalls opened, the five-year-old losing in the region of 8 lengths to his rivals in a race where it was almost impossible to win from such a position.
A fast finishing sixth, beaten three lengths, the son of Sioux Nation nevertheless ran a cracking trial for Goodwood's Coral Golden Mile later this month. Currently standing at number 46 for the £175k handicap on the Friday of the five-day festival, and with a maximum field of 20, the five-year-old will need a few to come out in order to make the cut.
Sixth in last year's race off a 2lb lower mark when beaten three lengths after being slowly away once again as a strongly-fancied 11/2 chance, TRIBAL CHIEF (Each-Way) will need to get his act together as the stalls open on the Sussex Downs, but following excellent efforts in both the Lincoln and Victoria Cup this season, the ante-post selection has a big handicap within him at some point.
Recommendation: Tribal Chief (Each-Way) - 16/1 with Betfred & Paddy Power (¼ odds, 1-2-3-4)
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Free Bets in 2008.
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