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A good start to Grand National week with the 9/1 victory of Soldier In Milan in Monday’s Irish Grand National. However, the best we could manage in Saturday’s feature race was the seventh place finish of our 50/1 long-range pick Final Orders.
The rain which fell at Aintree on Friday night and during racing on Saturday didn’t help the chances of our ante-post selection.
- P/L for the week ending Sunday, 12 April: -£11.25
- P/L for the year 2026 to date: +£57.35
- P/L for the year 2025: +£22.38
- P/L for the year 2024: +£200.42
- P/L since 1st September 2022: +£558.01
Alan Kelly's Tips - Wednesday, 15 April
An excellent afternoon of horse racing under both codes, featuring the second day of Newmarket's Craven meeting along with an excellent jumps card at Haydock Park, the latter fixture transferred from Cheltenham due to necessary work being carried out at the track.
1:50pm Newmarket - Double Rush
Now with trainer Andrew Balding after leaving the Charles Hills stable last month, the Blue Point colt DOUBLE RUSH looks sure to pick up a valuable sprint handicap or two this season and the mount of Oisin Murphy can start with a victory in this £50 contest at headquarters.
After winning a three-year-old handicap at this meeting 12 months ago, Double Rush ran a couple of cracking races in defeat during the summer, first of all when finishing third in York's valuable 18-runner Macmillan Sprint Handicap, before beating all bar Hugo Palmer’s Nariko in Hamilton’s Scottish Stewards’ Cup.
While Double Rush finished last season with a disappointing effort at Ascot in September, the selection is sure to be fit and ready for action on his reappearance at a meeting the Kingsclere stable do well at. Like Double Rush, William Haggas’s Realign should do well in this type of race during the months ahead, while best of those at a bigger price may be Ruth Carr’s Rousing Encore, who will be fitter than most having finished second on Newcastle’s Tapeta surface recently.
Recommendation: Double Rush - 7/2 with bet365
2:05pm Haydock - Just A Glance (Each-Way)
After winning the Grade 2 Ryanair Mares’ Novices’ Hurdle at the festival, the Bailey/Nicholls-trained White Noise is likely to go off at short odds in an effort to follow-up in this 2m 5f Listed race. The daughter of Kingston Hill had a hard race at Cheltenham however, which is prone to leave its mark, as was the case with Sober Glory at Aintree last week.
At odds of around ½ and having to concede 5lb to her 6 main rivals, I think Tom Bellamy’s mount is worth taking on with the Ian Chanin-trained JUST A GLANCE (Each-Way). Better known in the world of point-to-pointing, the Devon trainer has a decent horse on his hands with this daughter of Passing Glance, who has won both of her starts over hurdles without having to be asked a serious question.
While this is a big step-up in class for Ciaran Gething’s mount, Just A Glance would be much shorter than the 18/1 currently available with William Hill if in the hands of a more fashionable stable. Irish trainer Gordon Elliott is represented by Leopardstown maiden hurdle winner Torpille Dagrostis, who is worth noting for any market support.
Recommendation: Just A Glance (Each-Way) - 18/1 with William Hill (3 places)
2:40pm Haydock - Riskintheground (Each-Way) (Nap)
Olly Murphy’s The Bluesman ran a decent race at the festival in finishing 7th of 18 in the Jack Richards, albeit some 20 lengths behind the winner Meetmebythesea and the ill-fated Gold Dancer. Still unexposed on just his fifth start over fences, Sean Bowen's mount is greatly respected, but I think the key to the outcome of this £80k Silver Trophy rests with the Sun Racing Plate (Premier Handicap) at the Cheltenham festival.
Of the three horses who will take each other on again today, John McConnell’s Moon d’Orange came out best in finishing third, with Henry De Bromhead’s Zurich two places further back in fifth. Further back in 11th spot came Dan Skelton’s RISKINTHEGROUND (Each-Way) (Nap), who is fancied to turn that form around for the championship-winning stable which can do little wrong as the season draws to a close.
The nine-year-old son of Presenting comes alive at this time of the year (won races at Ayr and this race last April, the latter off a 1lb higher mark than today), rather than the soft ground the nine-year-old has encountered since finishing a respectable 9th of 24 in Newbury’s valuable Coral Gold Cup back in November, weakening jumping the last over a trip which stretched the gelding’s stamina.
Staying-on nicely when hampered by a faller at the final fence at Cheltenham last time, Riskintheground has his ideal conditions today and is fancied to land another big prize for trainer Dan and jockey Harry.
Recommendation: Riskintheground (Each-Way) (Nap) - 6/1 with Paddy Power
3:00pm Newmarket - Skukuza
After finishing 18th of 18 in last year’s Derby at Epsom, the Gosden’s Damysus ended last season with victories in a Listed race at Deauville as well as the Group 3 Darley Stakes over today’s course and distance. While the son of Frankel is clearly very useful, James Doyle's mount is worth opposing on his first start for 6 months, along with having to concede 3lb to his 5 rivals, in particular Karl Burke’s Boiling Point and Ed Dunlop’s SKUKUZA, both of which have had runs this year.
The two horses finished second and third respectively behind Richard Hannon’s King Of Cities in York’s Group 3 Strensall Stakes at the Ebor meeting, the pair separated by half a length. Having been hampered early on in that 1m 1f contest, and with plenty of ground to make up from the rear, Ryan Moore’s mount did well to go down narrowly and may well have won in another 100 yards or so.
Beaten less than two lengths when weakening to finish fifth in a soft-ground Group 3 at Saint-Cloud a couple of weeks ago, the five-year-old son of Blue Point will be better suited by today’s conditions and looks the value bet at the 5/1 currently available.
Recommendation: Skukuza - 5/1 with Betfred
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Freebets.com in 2008.
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