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Latest Profit & Loss Figures
An excellent week ending Sunday, 17 May with a profit of £21.78 to a £1 level stake.
Tuesday’s three selections all obliged for a 40/1 treble, while we had winners 6/4, 5/4, 12/1 and 4/1 at York’s Dante meeting along with several double-figure places.
The narrow defeat of Albert Einstein (tipped at 3/1) on Saturday prevented a run of five winning naps.
- P/L for the week ending Sunday, 17 May: +£21.78
- P/L for the year 2026 to date: +£112.92
- P/L for the year 2025: +£22.38
- P/L for the year 2024: +£200.42
- P/L since 1st September 2022: +£613.58
Alan Kelly's Tips - Wednesday, 20 May
Wednesday afternoon’s horse racing action features the Flat card at Ayr in Scotland alongside the jumps meetings at Warwick and Ffos Las. In the evening the British Flat fixtures at Yarmouth and Kempton Park (all-weather) are joined by that of Gowran Park in Ireland.
3:42pm Ayr - Kaleido
The most interesting contenders for this Class 4 handicap run over one mile are the two horses heading the weights, the David O’Meara-trained KALEIDO and Return To Unit from the Roger Varian stable, slight preference being for the former.
The Make Believe gelding joined O’Meara from the John & Thady Gosden stable last month, David Nolan’s mount clearly in need of the run when finishing a never-nearer sixth in an extended 1m handicap at Epsom shortly afterwards.
Kaleido showed plenty of promise as a three-year-old last year, the one disappointing effort coming when failing to handle Goodwood's heavy ground on his final start for the Gosden’s last summer before being gelded. With last month’s run under his belt and a potentially decent draw in stall 1, the selection looks the type to win a valuable handicap this season off a mark of only 81.
Return To Unit makes his handicap debut today off a potentially lenient mark of 80, the son of Kingman last seen winning his maiden at Nottingham back in October. With an absence of 7 months to overcome, plus the widest draw of all in stall 12, the O’Meara runner just gets the edge.
Recommendation: Kaleido
4:00pm Warwick - Il Va De Soi
After winning races at Chepstow and Uttoxeter around this time two years ago, the Harry Derham-trained IL VA DE SOI looked set for a decent future, the son of Gris De Gris far from disgraced on his next two starts at Cheltenham and Sandown, both off a mark of 122.
However, after that the form of Paul O’Brien’s mount proved disappointing to say the least with numerous dreadful efforts before running over today’s course and distance 11 days ago. Now down to a mark of 103 and with a change of tactics, Il Va De Soi ran out a comfortable winner after making all of the running with the aid of cheekpieces for the first time.
A similar performance from the grey eight-year-old would make him very hard to beat off today’s 5lb higher mark, still 6lb lower than when recording his comfortable Uttoxeter victory of two years ago. While this Class 4 handicap is Il Va De Soi’s to lose, Anthony Honeyball’s Crest Of Stars is the one most likely to pick up the pieces if the selection fails to run up to his best.
Recommendations: Il Va De Soi
5:00pm Warwick - Mojito Des Mottes (Nap)
Jockey Harry Cobden has just the one ride on Warwick’s card, the unexposed MOJITO DES MOTTES (Nap) for boss J P McManus in this Class 3 handicap hurdle. The winner of his only start when trained in France by Francois Nicolle last year, the four-year-old proved slightly disappointing on his first three outings for trainer Ben Pauling before having a wind op a couple of months ago.
An unfancied 25/1 chance on his handicap debut at Ascot shortly afterwards, Mojito Des Mottes looked an unlucky loser in going down by a neck to Alan King’s King Al after being hampered at a crucial stage of the race. Raised 4lb to a mark of 118 following that promising effort, the lightly-raced four-year-old could turn out to be better class than his 8 rivals, best of which may be Tom Lacey’s Unjeu Royal.
Recommendation: Mojito Des Mottes (Nap)
7:30pm Kempton - Influential
Jockey Ray Dawson, fresh from his victory aboard Rahiebb in last week’s Yorkshire Cup, is enjoying a good season, the best of his three mounts at Kempton Park tonight that of Roger Varian’s INFLUENTIAL in this London Mile Series Qualifier.
Unraced as a juvenile, the son of Wootton Bassett was gelded after the last of his three runs as a three-year-old when runner-up to the 95-rated Sacred Fire at Newcastle back in October. After failing to settle when unplaced on his handicap debut at Nottingham last month, Influential showed a lot more promise over today’s course and distance earlier in the month when going down by just over a length to favourite Valentine Boy with fellow rival Bubbles Wonky just behind in third place.
While Influential is clearly no world beater, the gelding is open to plenty more improvement and more than capable of winning a race of this nature off a mark of just 75. John Butler’s Kaaranah is on a hat-trick following a couple of wins on Wolverhampton’s all-weather surface, and with a victory over today’s course and distance to his name already is respected, along with Pat Phelan’s handicap debutante Freda, the mount of in-form jockey Cieren Fallon.
Recommendation: Influential
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Freebets.com in 2008.
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