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Latest Profit & Loss Figures
Despite winners at 8/1 and 7/4 on Saturday, a minor loss of -£3.50 on the week, mainly down to blank days on Wednesday and Thursday.
- P/L for the week ending Sunday, 29 March: -£3.50
- P/L for the year 2026 to date: +£68.60
- P/L for the year 2025: +£22.38
- P/L for the year 2024: +£200.42
- P/L since 1st September 2022: +£569.26
Alan Kelly's Tips - Wednesday, 1 April
Good ground is expected for the jumps cards at Wincanton, Southwell and Sedgefield on Wednesday afternoon, although conditions at the County Durham racecourse do include the word soft in the going description.
2:30pm Southwell - Queen's Wish (Nap)
Neil Mulholland’s Hell Hound is the least exposed of the 6 contenders for this extended 3m handicap chase, the mount of Conor O’Farrell having just his second run over fences off a mark of 102. The winner of a maiden hurdle on this course almost two years ago, the seven-year-old probably found the testing conditions against him when pulled-up on his chasing debut at Taunton in February.
While a big run from Hell Hound would come as no surprise, preference is for Charles & Adam Pogson’s course and distance winner QUEEN'S WISH (Nap), who ran out a smooth winner here four months ago off a 3lb lower mark. The daughter of Shantou probably failed to stay on her next start when third in Market Rasen’s Lincolnshire National on Boxing Day, and looked in need of the run when weakening to finish a well-beaten third on that course in March following a break of almost three months.
Rated 107 over hurdles for previous trainer Dan Skelton, Charlie Todd’s mount can get back to winning ways over fences on a course and over a distance which clearly suits.
Recommendation: Queen's Wish (Nap) - 7/2 with bet365
3:40pm Sedgefield - Myfavouritesister
Philip Kirby’s Clean Getaway would have been a strong fancy to take this modest Class 5 handicap chase if the nine-year-old had been in the same kind of form as when winning four races on this course towards the end of 2024, two over hurdles and two over fences. Joe Williamson’s mount is now 4lb lower than when recording the last of those victories but is hard to fancy on his last three performances when beaten some 83 lengths.
Clean Getaway was narrowly beaten over hurdles here in October however, a repeat of which would probably make him the one to beat. I will watch out for any market confidence regarding the son of Getaway, but on her first start over fences, I think Patrick Neville’s MYFAVOURITESISTER can make a winning debut in receipt of weight from all of her rivals.
The daughter of Soldier Of Fortune has shown enough on her last two starts over hurdles, both at Perth in September, to suggest the mount of 3lb claimer Charlie Maggs is capable of taking this very ‘winnable’ handicap chase off a mark of just 76. Neville has had two winners from his last six runners and has a good record at the popular County Durham racecourse.
Recommendation: Myfavouritesister - 3/1 with bet365
4:40pm Sedgefield - Laddie Cooper Mia (Each-Way)
The Patrick Neville stable is in decent form at the moment and the trainer is represented by both Byron Hill and the hat-trick seeking Cosmic Soul in this two and a half mile handicap hurdle. The latter, after winning a Flat handicap on Southwell’s all-weather track in January, reverted back to the smaller obstacles to record a couple of wins on this course in March, the most recent when beating fellow rival LADDIE COOPER MIA (Nap) by almost eight lengths.
While another win for the bang-in-form mount of 3lb claimer William Maggs is more than a possibility, I fancy the runner-up on that occasion to reverse the form on 9lb better terms. Since joining the stable of Adam Nicol from that of Nigel Hawke towards the end of last year, the daughter of Diamond Boy has been fancied on all four starts for new connections, going off favourite on the first two occasions at Sedgefield and Ayr.
Dropping to a career-low mark of 75 on this course two weeks ago, the mount of 5lb claimer Joshua Thompson took the lead going to the third-last only to be hampered by a loose horse. Unable to withstand the late challenge of Cosmic Soul in the closing stages, that was still a decent effort by the six-year-old mare, who we have yet to see the best of.
The selection’s previous handler Nigel Hawke runs handicap debutante Deauville Lady, who is worth noting for any market support, while Andrew Crook’s Knacker Trapper looks best of the rest.
Recommendation: Laddie Cooper Mia (Each-Way) - 7/2 with bet365 (3 places)
Grand National (Antepost) - Final Orders (Each-Way)
With less than a month to go before the 2026 renewal of Aintree’s Randox Grand National, a good time to try and pinpoint a bit of early value in the ante-post market for the world’s most famous steeplechase. At the 50/1 currently available with William Hill about Gavin Cromwell’s Final Orders, I think last week’s Glenfarclas Cross Country Chase winner is way overpriced for the extended 4m 2f test of jumping and stamina.
Currently standing at number 40 in the pecking-order and with a maximum permitted field of 34, the 10-year-old is not guaranteed his place, but with several doubtful runners higher up in the handicap I will be surprised if the Camelot gelding ends up as one of the reserves. A greater doubt revolves around possible ground conditions at the Merseyside racecourse on April 11th, as Final Orders needs decent going to produce his best form.
With current top weight I Am Maximus (winner in 2024) a certain runner barring accidents, Final Orders has a lovely racing weight of just 10st 5lb. Five of the first 12 winners of the race in the 21st century were 10-year-olds, and while Cheltenham's cross country chase has only been going since 2005, dual Grand National winner Tiger Roll won that unique three miles five and a half furlong contest in both of the years he was victorious at Aintree.
Of Final Orders’ seven successes over fences, five came over distances ranging from two to three miles, showing the kind of versatility needed to win a race requiring both pace and stamina in equal measures (also a winner over 1m 4f on the flat). If conditions are similar at Aintree to those of last week (good to soft), a reproduction of his comfortable victory over favourite Favori De Champdou would give the selection a much better chance of emulating Tiger Roll than his current odds would indicate.
Recommendation: Final Orders (Each-Way) - 50/1 with Unibet (4 places)
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Freebets.com in 2008.
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