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Latest Profit & Loss Figures
An excellent week ending Sunday, 17 May with a profit of £21.78 to a £1 level stake.
Tuesday’s three selections all obliged for a 40/1 treble, while we had winners 6/4, 5/4, 12/1 and 4/1 at York’s Dante meeting along with several double-figure places.
The narrow defeat of Albert Einstein (tipped at 3/1) on Saturday prevented a run of five winning naps.
- P/L for the week ending Sunday, 17 May: +£21.78
- P/L for the year 2026 to date: +£112.92
- P/L for the year 2025: +£22.38
- P/L for the year 2024: +£200.42
- P/L since 1st September 2022: +£613.58
Alan Kelly's Tips - Tuesday, 19 May
Nottingham stages the only turf Flat racing in Britain on Tuesday afternoon alongside the all-weather cards at Newcastle and Lingfield. Jump racing takes over in the evening with the fixtures at Hexham and Huntingdon. Light rain is forecast at all five meetings.
3:00pm Newcastle - Littlecote
Trainer Karl Burke and the Simon & Ed Crisford stable introduce a couple of interesting debutantes for this fillies’ novice stakes in the shape of Hello Friend, a daughter of Frankel, and the Teofilo filly Danseuse. The betting is likely to prove a significant guide to the chances of both.
The John & Thady Gosden stable are represented by the twice-raced Ticker Tape, a beaten favourite in a Lingfield maiden last month but far from disgraced in finishing a close fourth of the 12 runners. However, the Andrew Balding stable continues in decent form and this looks a good opportunity for his Camelot filly LITTLECOTE to open her account at the fifth time of asking following three seconds this season.
P J McDonald’s mount has been unfortunate to come up against three potentially decent horses in Golden Muse, Romantic Symphony and Shayhana this year, and unless one of the newcomers proves to be well above average, the Kingsclere runner looks the one to beat.
Recommendation: Littlecote - 2/1 with bet365
3:20pm Nottingham - Sports Day
Michael Bell’s son of Lope De Vega, SPORTS DAY, following three unplaced efforts at big prices as a juvenile last season, was sent off a well-supported 2/1 favourite to win on his handicap debut over 1m at Yarmouth last month. After taking the lead approaching the final furlong, the gelding was just run out of it close home in finishing a close third of the 8 runners.
Hector Crouch’s mount went one better on that course 19 days later over today’s trip of 1m 2f when beating all bar James Fanshawe’s progressive Alice De Clare, who was sent off at odds of 10/11 in receipt of 4lb from Sports Day. Raised 9lb for that victory, Alice De Clare was probably a good thing for that Class 6 contest off a mark of only 59.
Sports Day is unlikely to encounter anything as well handicapped on this occasion, the selection’s main threat probably that of Daniel & Claire Kubler’s Grindleton, two places behind Sports Day at Yarmouth, and now 3lb better off for the four and a half lengths which separated the pair.
Recommendations: Sports Day - 11/4 with bet365
6:20pm Hexham - Diamond Mix (Nap)
On his first start for trainer Adam Nicol since leaving the Maurice Barnes stable earlier this month, the seven-year-old Conquer The Breeze made a winning debut for connections with an easy victory over today’s course and distance 10 days ago as the well-supported 11/10 market leader, Ryan Mania’s mount never really looking in danger of defeat after recovering from a bad mistake at the 8th fence.
A rise of 8lb for that success still puts the son of War Command on a mark 7lb lower than his hurdles rating of 96. In receipt of weight from all but one of his 6 rivals, Conquer The Breeze is clearly respected, although slight preference is for Paul Robson’s DIAMOND MIX (Nap), the mount of Callum Bewley.
Unbeaten on both of his starts over today’s course and distance, the lightly-raced seven-year-old was particularly impressive when running out the wide-margin winner of a Go North One Man Series Qualifier here back in November with Conquer The Breeze 26 lengths back in fourth place, despite almost falling at the last when well clear of his field.
Following a break of five months, Diamond Mix finished a more than respectable third at Newcastle on his most recent start and is fancied to record a third victory at the popular Northumberland racecourse.
Recommendation: Diamond Mix (Nap) - 2/1 with bet365
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Freebets.com in 2008.
You can follow Alan Kelly on X for more racing insight.
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