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Alan Kelly's Tips - Wednesday, September 17th
The ground is likely to be testing for the flat meetings at Yarmouth and Sandown Park on Wednesday; the Esher course, in particular, is in some doubt, given the current heavy patches and the possibility of more rain to come.
The flat card at Beverley, on the other hand, is expecting ground on the soft side of good. The evening card at Kelso (good) completes the day's horse racing action.
4:00pm Yarmouth - Rainbows Edge (Each-Way)
The John & Thady Gosden stable run three in this mile and a quarter Listed race for fillies, the highest-rated of which is last year's Group 2 Duke of Cambridge Stakes winner, Running Lion. The 110-rated daughter of Roaring Lion would take plenty of beating on her best form, but has failed to beat a single rival on her last two starts, albeit in Group 1 company, and is a risky betting proposition at the moment.
The Crisford's Charlotte's Web won York's Galtres Stakes on her most recent start, but over today's two furlongs shorter trip and easier ground, I fancy the sixth horse home on the Knavesmire, the Gosden's royal contender, RAINBOWS EDGE (Each-Way), to reverse the form on 3lb better terms.
The Night Of Thunder filly had previously lost out to stablemate Sand Gazelle in a York Listed race over an extended 1m 2f, with Charlotte's Web three-quarters of a length back in third place. Jockey Billy Loughnane takes over in the saddle from William Buick (who rides Beautiful Love for Godolphin) and gets the vote ahead of the third Gosden runner, Life Is Beautiful, and James Doyle, who was not beaten far in a Group 3 at Deauville on her most recent start.
Recommendation: Rainbows Edge (Each-Way) - 5/1 with bet365 (4 places)
4:35pm Yarmouth - Sea Force (Nap)
Richard Hughes' top weight, Whip Cracker, looked a bit unlucky when going down by a head on his most recent start at Glorious Goodwood. The Cracksman gelding just failed to catch Andrew Balding's well-backed favourite, Gladius, after finding himself short of room inside the final furlong. The winner has since gone on to finish a close fourth in York's Group 3 Strensall Stakes and now runs off a mark of 106.
Billy Loughnane's mount is not the most reliable of characters, however, and has only one minor victory as a juvenile to show so far from 13 outings. Green Triangle is interesting on his first start for the Crisfords since leaving Joseph O'Brien in Ireland. But I like the chances of one of the other two three-year-olds in the race, SEA FORCE (Nap) from the in-form William Haggas stable.
The Sea The Stars gelding started the season by getting within a neck of Owen Burrows' 104-rated Remmooz at Doncaster back in April. After winning his maiden at Nottingham in June, Tom Marquand's mount has run three cracking races in defeat, including when finishing a length fourth on heavy ground at Glorious Goodwood.
Beaten just over a length in a 17-runner Heritage Handicap at York's Ebor meeting last month, Sea Force should appreciate today's extra furlong and is fancied to take this Class 3 nine-furlong handicap off a mark of 89.
Recommendation: Sea Force (Nap) - 11/4 with William Hill
6:30pm Kelso - Primoz
Bottom weight Dog Fox makes his chasing debut in this 2m 1f handicap for the Greenall/Guerriero partnership and is interesting following his victory over hurdles at Uttoxeter during the summer. Most of the other runners look quite exposed, one exception being the Russell/Scudamore contender Primoz, last seen finishing 7th in the Red Rum at Aintree's Grand National meeting.
The son of Westerner, gelded after his last start, was highly tried as a novice last season, but was an impressive winner on his chasing debut at Wetherby in October, beating fellow rival Pay The Piper without being hard pressed and meets that on horse on only 5lb worse terms today.
Derek Fox's mount has an excellent record following a break and can get his season off to the best possible start before attempting something a little more ambitious as the season develops. Garde Des Champs and 5lb claimer Alan Doyle could make it a 1-2 for the stable.
Recommendation: Primoz - 85/40 with Midnite
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Freebets.com in 2008.
You can follow Alan Kelly on Twitter for more racing insight.
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