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Latest Profit & Loss Figures
Following a poor start, winners at 7/2 and 9/2 on Friday and 6/1 and 13/2 on Saturday meant the week ending Sunday, 14 June resulted in a profit of +£9.35. Hopefully, we can keep the good run going during the most important week of the Flat season which gets underway on Tuesday afternoon.
- P/L for the week ending Sunday, 14 June: +£9.35
- P/L for the year 2026 to date: +£155.50
- P/L for the year 2025: +£22.38
- P/L for the year 2024: +£200.42
- P/L since 1st September 2022: +£656.16
Alan Kelly's Tips - Friday, 19 June
Friday’s card at Royal Ascot features two Group 1 races, the Commonwealth Cup at 3:05pm and Coronation Stakes at 4:20pm. The going is expected to remain on the firm side of good.
2:30pm Royal Ascot - Sun Goddess
The fourth day of the royal meeting looks to favour punters on a card featuring plenty of short priced favourites. Ballydoyle’s SUN GODDESS gets the ball rolling in this 6f Albany Stakes, with the filly running here in preference to Wednesday's Queen Mary, as the daughter of Sioux Nation is expected to be better suited to today's extra furlong.
Narrowly beaten by stablemate Carry The Flag (favourite for Saturday’s Norfolk) when looking very green on her debut at Naas last month, Ryan Moore's mount made no mistake in a Curragh maiden 15 days later when quickening clear of her 8 rivals over today's trip.
While this is a big step-up in class for Sun Goddess, she is clearly held in high regard and can give trainer Aidan O'Brien a fourth victory in the race, the most recent being that of Fairy Godmother in 2024. Well drawn in stall 17, the selection mount may have most to fear from Karl Burke’s Showcasing filly Light Of Dawn and Kevin Philippart De Foy’s Silent Beauty.
Recommendation: Sun Goddess - 11/8 with BetVictor
3:05pm Royal Ascot - Venetian Sun (Nap)
I don't think this is a particularly strong renewal of this 6f Group 1 contest for three-year-olds, despite a field of 22 runners. The powerful Ballydoyle stable of Aidan O’Brien are responsible for three of the contenders, best of which is probably Albert Einstein, although the Wootton Bassett colt has yet to get his head in front from three starts this season.
While each-way claims can be made for Clive Cox’s Cappull, William Haggas’s Division and at a big price Simon & Ed Crisford’s Zanthos, I expect Karl Burke’s filly VENETIAN SUN (Nap) to come out on top following the daughter of Starman’s impressive victory in Haydock’s Group 2 Sandy Lane Stakes last month.
A Group 1 winner over Gstaad at two, Clifford Lee’s mount patently failed to see out the one mile trip of the Betfred 1000 Guineas on her reappearance and is likely to be kept to sprint distances this season. Venetian Suns’s only defeat at two came over 7f at the Curragh when third behind subsequent Irish 1000 Guineas winner Precise in the Group 1 Moyglare Stud Stakes. The filly is potentially well drawn in stall 13.
Recommendation: Venetian Sun (Nap) - 13/8 with bet365
3:40pm Royal Ascot - Insanity (Each-Way)
Hopefully I'm not losing my mind, but at a big price I fancy Alan King's INSANITY (Each-Way) to run a big race in this wide-open Duke Of Edinburgh Stakes (Handicap). The stable had two runners at the royal meeting on the first day, Copper Horse Stakes winner Daiquiri Bay and Barso who finished an honourable fourth in the Ascot Stakes at odds of 40/1.
While Rossa Ryan's mount has form over shorter distances, I think today's 1m 4f trip on decent ground are the six-year-old’s ideal conditions. A winner at Ascot’s Shergar Cup meeting two years ago, the gelding did even better leading up to that victory when splitting two decent horses in Mount Atlas and Tabletalk, again over today's course and distance.
Those two horses are now rated 111 and 113 respectively, as opposed to Insanity’s 99, who was conceding weight to both of those Group-class performers. Runner-up at Pontefract on his reappearance, Insanity looks overpriced at the 33/1 available with bet365 (5 places).
Recommendation: Insanity (Each-Way) - 33/1 with bet365 (5 places)
5:35pm Royal Ascot - Causeway
A disappointing turnout of only 6 for this Group 2 King Edward V11 Stakes, originally known as the Ascot Derby. Following impressive wins in minor contests at Newbury and Kempton Park, the John & Thady Gosden-trained Water To Wine bypassed Epsom, almost certainly a wise move considering the Kingman colt’s lack of experience.
While William Buick’s mount is clearly an exciting prospect going forward, Ballydoyle’s CAUSEWAY is more battle hardened, the Wootton Bassett colt having his sixth career start and now on a five-timer following three wins at the Curragh and one at Naas. Ryan Moore’s mount has progressed from winning a handicap to Listed and Group 3 level and can put his greater experience to good use in what may be a tactical race.
Recommendation: Causeway - 2/1 with Betfred
6:10pm Royal Ascot - Gold Digger & Bacio
US trainer Wesley Ward’s love affair with the royal meeting always adds some spice to the five days at the Berkshire racecourse. Ward's team on this occasion isn't as strong as in previous years, his best chance of a winner possibly coming in the shape of the speedy BACIO in this three-year-old sprint handicap.
The strength of Bacio’s form in the US is hard to evaluate, but the mount of Juan J Hernandez is more than capable of blazing a trail on the rails from stall 31. Rather than back Wesley Ward’s charge each-way, I will also have an interest in GOLD DIGGER from the bang-in-form Richard Spencer stable.
Just over four lengths behind Venetian Sun in last year’s Albany, despite being slowly away, the Starman filly had little trouble in winning a minor contest at Windsor on her reappearance earlier in the month and may have been let in lightly off an opening handicap mark of 94. Drawn in stall 10, I expect Gold Digger to give Saffie Osborne an excellent ride.
Recommendations: Gold Digger - 8/1 with William Hill & Bacio - 16/1 with Paddy Power
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Freebets.com in 2008.
You can follow Alan Kelly on X for more racing insight.
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A successful punter, with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights down the years, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Free Bets.




