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Latest Profit & Loss Figures
Epsom's costly masterplan to reinvent Derby Day proved a bit of a damp squib in the end, mainly down to the awful weather which resulted in cars leaving the course in droves well before the feature race got underway at just after 4.00pm.
Having backed Dante winner Item, to see the York form overturned by over 30 lengths due to the conditions summed the day up for me. Christmas Day doesn't always bring what you had hoped for. The decision to declare Derby favourite Benvenuto Cellini a non-runner only added to the fiasco. Hopefully, the Surrey racecourse will have better luck in 12 months time, and at less expense.
Despite a slight loss on Saturday, we ended the week with a profit of +£6.65, mainly down to three successful naps, at odds of 5/1, 4/1 and 7/2 (20p R4).
- P/L for the week ending Sunday, 7 June: +£6.65
- P/L for the year 2026 to date: +£146.15
- P/L for the year 2025: +£22.38
- P/L for the year 2024: +£200.42
- P/L since 1st September 2022: +£646.81
Alan Kelly's Tips - Monday, 8 June
We head to the Flat meetings at Leicester in the afternoon and Windsor and Pontefract in the evening for Monday’s selections.
With an unsettled forecast for all three venues, the current good, good to firm conditions at Leicester and Pontefract, may ease before racing gets underway.
4:35pm Leicester - The Green Mile (Nap)
I think the two to concentrate on in this 1m 2f Class 4 handicap are the George Boughey-trained Zatsgood and THE GREEN MILE (Nap) from the Neil Mulholland stable. The latter, on his third start for Mulholland since leaving the Simon & Ed Crisford stable last month, won a handicap over today’s trip at Chepstow a couple of weeks ago, beating the Richard Hannon-trained River King by a neck with the third horse home some 6 lengths away.
A rise of just 4lb for that victory looks very lenient in the light of River King’s recent easy success at Newbury under a big weight. While David Probert’s mount gets the vote, the unexposed gelding faces an improving rival in George Boughey’s Zatsgood, the mount of Billy Loughnane.
Runner-up on his only start for Andre Fabre when trained in France last year, the son of Frankel has taken a few runs to hit form for new connections, but had little trouble in landing the odds on his handicap debut on Lingfield’s all-weather surface last month. Zatsgood should appreciate today’s step-up in trip, and off a 4lb higher mark is greatly respected on his first outing on turf.
Recommendation: The Green Mile (Nap) - 6/1 with bet365
7:30pm Pontefract - Say What You See
Not seen since finishing a narrow second at Kempton Park in October 2024 when trained by Ralph Beckett, the five-year-old Aulis is best watched on his first start for Tina Jackson in this 1m 4f handicap. David O’Meara’s Raulin has already recorded two victories on this course, both coming over 1m 2f last summer. Daniel Tudhope’s mount should appreciate the return to a course that clearly suits after finishing second in a four-runner affair at Hamilton recently.
Sir Mark Prescott is always to be respected with his runners in this type of race and last month’s Catterick winner Analogical will be fancied by many to follow up in the hands of 7lb claimer Poppy Scott once again. The Ulysses gelding is unlikely to have his own may up front on this occasion however with Liam Bailey’s Something at his best when taking the field along.
If the leaders go off too quickly, it could set the race up nicely for the latter’s stablemate SAY WHAT YOU SEE, who can gain some compensation for being disqualified at Doncaster last September due to a banned substance. Beaten less than a length when runner-up to Gemma Tutty’s Star Cast on Newcastle’s Tapeta surface last month, a performance marked up when the winner followed up at Ripon a week later, Billy Garritty’s mount gets the vote in what may prove to be a tactical affair.
Recommendation: Say What You See - 11/10 with bet365
7:39pm Windsor - Rocking Ends
A field of 9 for this Windsor Sprint Series Qualifier, the early betting headed by William Knight’s Regal Envoy, the mount of champion jockey Oisin Murphy. A dual winner on the course around this time last year, the consistent Ardad gelding looks sure to go well again following an excellent second here last month off today’s mark of 88.
Bottom weight Society Kiss is interesting on her handicap debut, the lightly-raced daughter of A'ali, a respectable 12th of 23 in last season’s Queen Mary behind subsequent Betfred 1000 Guineas winner True Love when trained by Ralph Beckett. The filly is sure to improve for her first run for current trainer John Mackie when finishing a close third at Southwell following a break of over 10 months. Any market confidence in Saffie Osborne’s mount should be noted.
However, following a spell in Bahrain during the winter, the in-form stable of Tom Clover look to have a good chance of taking this qualifier with the six-year-old grey ROCKING ENDS, who has a good record at Windsor, most recently when winning Racing League Race 22 here last August.
Well held in second place on that occasion was fellow rival Clearpoint, who is set to meet David Egan’s mount on 11lb worse terms this evening. On his return to Britain, the son of Havana Grey finished a never-nearer 4th at Yarmouth last month, and off a mark 3lb lower than when winning on that course last summer, Rocking Ends gets the vote over Regal Envoy and Charles Hills’ Trefor, who finished an eyecatching fourth in a qualifier here a couple of weeks ago.
Recommendation: Rocking Ends - 8/1 with bet365
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Freebets.com in 2008.
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