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Latest Profit & Loss Figures
Another excellent week, taking our profit for the last two weeks to +£45.74, the highlight being Tuesday’s 88/1 treble.
We had a total of 10 winners on the week, along with several placed selections. Saturday was our only losing day out of six, although the victories of Hawk Mountain and Give It To Me Oj kept the losses down to a minimum.
- P/L for the week ending Sunday, October 26th: +£19.91
- P/L for the year 2025 to date: +£42.57
- P/L for the year 2024: +£200.42
- P/L since 1st September 2022: +£528.56
Alan Kelly's Tips - Wednesday, October 29th
Light rain is forecast for the meetings at Nottingham and Newton Abbot on Wednesday afternoon, the going at the flat track currently described as soft, while conditions are slightly better at the jumps fixture where good to soft ground is expected.
1:23pm Newton Abbot - Gentleman Toboot (Nap)
An informative novices’ hurdle to get Newton Abbot’s card underway. Harry Derham’s Noahsgreatrainbow looked a smart prospect following a Bumper win at Wincanton before finishing a creditable second to Dan Skelton’s 138-rated Royal Infantry in a Listed National Hunt Flat Race at Newbury.
Well beaten on both starts over hurdles since then after bleeding from the nose on both occasions, Paul O’Brien’s mount is best watched at the moment but should not be written-off just yet. Dan Skelton’s A Pai De Nom made a successful debut over hurdles when justifying favouritism with a comfortable victory over today’s course and distance last month and looks like another promising recruit to hurdles.
However, Harry Skelton’s mount has to concede 6lb to David Pipe’s hurdling debutante Gentleman Toboot, the son of Harzand fancied to come out on top in the hands of jockey Jack Tudor. An Irish point-to-point winner last March, GENTLEMAN TOBOOT (Nap) could not have been more impressive when winning a Fontwell Bumper by an eased-down 16 lengths on Boxing Day before failing by just under two lengths to concede 7lb to Skelton’s unbeaten Big Cadillac in January.
Gentleman Taboot looks a smart prospect for the Pond House team and can take this on his first start since having a wind op before stepping up in class later in the season.
Recommendation: Gentleman Toboot (Nap)
2:23pm Newton Abbot - Quantock Hills
With winners at Cheltenham and Aintree over the weekend, the Anthony Honeyball stable could not be in better form and his Getaway gelding Breaking Cover has obvious claims of taking this extended 2m handicap chase. Already successful on four occasions this season, two over hurdles and two over fences, Sam Twiston-Davies’ mount looks guaranteed to run another big race.
The Paul Nicholls stable is another that is starting to fire after a slow start, Hitman’s victory in Aintree’s Old Road Chase on Sunday a statement that the Ditcheat handler can never be written off. Bond Broker is sure to win his fair share of races for the stable but I think the one Breaking Cover has to beat is the Warren Greatrex-trained chasing debutante QUANTOCK HILLS.
A winner over hurdles in France last summer, the four-year-old, after winning a Juvenile hurdle at Fontwell in November, went on to dead-heat for a Triumph Hurdle Trial the following month. Fifth in a valuable Novices’ Championship Final at Sandown on the last day of the season, Quantock Hills is making his chasing debut off an attractive opening mark of 122. James Bowen’s mount can make the most of the weight he receives from his two main rivals.
Recommendation: Quantock Hills
2:47pm Nottingham - Beshtani & Fondo Blanco
An excellent turnout for this Listed Robin Hood Stakes, the field of 8 headed by the 111-rated Ice Max from the Karl Burke stable. The four-year-old won a competitive handicap at York earlier in the month off top weight and is respected, although the Dark Angel gelding had been slightly disappointing on several previous occasions this season.
After comfortably winning a one mile handicap at Doncaster’s St Leger meeting, the Crisford’s Treble Tee was far from disgraced in finishing 6th of 23 in the Cambridgeshire and could well prove up to Listed level, a remark which also applies to Roger Varian’s FONDO BLANCO, who seemed to relish the step-up to a mile for the first time when pulling clear of his rivals in valuable Haydock handicap last month.
I think Ray Dawson’s mount will prove best of the three contenders from the classic generation, but I will also back Wathnan Racing’s BESHTANI from the bang-in-form Hamad Al Jehani stable. The winner of three races in France when in the care of Arc winning trainer Francis-Henri Graffard, the mount of Jamie Spencer, beaten less than 2 lengths in a Group 2 race at Ascot in July, will strip fitter for his run at Sandown last month and will relish today’s soft conditions.
Recommendations: Beshtani - 14/1 with William Hill & Fondo Blanco - 8/1 with William Hill
Charlie Hall Chase (Saturday) - The Real Whacker (Each-Way)
Wetherby’s feature race on Saturday is the Grade 2 bet365 Charlie Hall Chase at 2.57pm which has attracted an entry of a possible 10 runners at Monday's declaration stage. The early betting is headed by Dan Skelton’s Protektorat and Pic D’orhy from the Paul Nicholls stable.
Connections of both horses are likely to have bigger prizes in mind later in the season, whereas this is probably the main target for last year's winner, the Patrick Neville-trained THE REAL WHACKER (Each-Way). Last year's winning jockey Brian Hughes had been booked for the ride once again and following a spin over hurdles at Perth last month, the nine-year-old looks decent each-way ante-post value at the 12/1 available with the sponsor.
Recommendation: The Real Whacker (Each-Way) - 12/1 with bet365
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Freebets.com in 2008.
You can follow Alan Kelly on Twitter for more racing insight.
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