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Latest Profit & Loss Figures
A disappointing set of results on Saturday meant we had our second losing week in the last nine, although a loss of -£4.80 only put a small dent in what has been a very successful year so far. I thought the one that got away came in Saturday’s main handicap at Sandown, but more on that in tomorrow’s article.
- P/L for the week ending Sunday, 5 July: -£4.80
- P/L for the year 2026 to date: +£182.34
- P/L for the year 2025: +£22.38
- P/L for the year 2024: +£200.42
- P/L since 1st September 2022: +£683.00
Alan Kelly's Tips - Monday, 6 July
We head north to Ayr in Scotland on Monday for our horse racing selections, the ground currently described as good, but with the forecast of light rain during the day.
2:30pm Ayr - Ten Clarets (Nap)
An informative juvenile race to begin Ayr’s seven-race card with 5 of the 10 runners making their racecourse debuts, the most interesting being Kevin Ryan’s Dreamlighter, the son of Earthlight already gelded but worth a look for any market confidence.
Michael Dods’ Don’t Stop Movin and Too Many Spirits from the Coyle/Woods stable have both shown promise, but I think this 7f contest may rest between Charlie Johnston’s filly Redline and Karl Burke’s TEN CLARETS (Nap), with preference for the latter.
Redline made a successful debut when beating Ben Haslam’s more experienced Eleven Eighty Two by half a length at Carlisle last month, the form receiving a boost when the third horse home, Tim Easterby’s Call Nicki, went on to win at Hamilton 10 days later. Redline has a 7lb penalty to carry for that victory however and may struggle to follow up in receipt of just 1lb from a potentially decent two-year-old in Ten Clarets.
Making his debut in a York maiden last month, Clifford Lee’s mount may have encountered a very good two-year-old in Godolphin’s two length winner Inner City Blues (entered for Thursday's July Stakes), a horse jockey William Buick had gone to the Knavesmire specifically to ride. While only fourth of the seven runners, Ten Clarets, a neck behind runner-up Stardom Glory (won next time), was only headed inside the closing stages and likely to improve significantly with that run under his belt.
Recommendation: Ten Clarets (Nap) - 5/4 with bet365
4:30pm Ayr - Kelpie Grey (Each-Way)
A competitive field of 18 for this Ayr Silver Cup Trial, the most interesting contender being David & Nicola Barron’s three-year-old Tip Foster who makes his handicap debut following just two starts, the most recent when opening his account in a 7f Thirsk maiden last month. An opening mark of 76 looks fair enough for the Dream Ahead gelding, who is worth noting for any market support.
While it is easy to make out a case out for most of the field, in the hope that high numbers have an advantage, I think it is worth taking a chance of bottom weight KELPIE GREY (Each-Way), one of three runners for the Jim Goldie stable and the mount of 5lb claimer Lauren Young.
Now running off his lowest mark (66) since winning on this course three years ago, the Havana Grey gelding finished 6th of 25 in last season’s Ayr Bronze Cup with a rating of 79. While yet to hit form this season, the six-year-old was given a very ‘tender’ ride by jockey Amie Waugh when finishing a never-nearer four length sixth on this course last time. In receipt of plenty of weight from all of his rivals, the grey is more than capable of a big run.
Recommendation: Kelpie Grey (Each-Way) - 14/1 with bet365 (5 places)
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Free Bets in 2008.
You can follow Alan Kelly on X for more racing insight.
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