Alan Kelly’s Tips
Alan heads to Plumpton on Monday for his Nap of the Day
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Alan also highlights his strongest selection each day, so visit our Nap of the Day page to see which horse he fancies most.
Latest Profit & Loss Figures
A cracking week ending Sunday, 8 November, with a profit of £24.18 to a £1 level stake.
Having selected the 1-2 in the Melbourne Cup at 6/1 and 25/1, we continued in good form throughout the week with winners at 20/1, 10/3, 11/4, 5/1 and 13/2.
P/L for the week ending Sunday, 8 November: +£24.18
P/L for the year to date: +£202.06
P/L for the year 2025: +£22.38
P/L for the year 2024: +£200.42
P/L since 1st September 2022: +£702.62
Alan Kelly's Tips - Monday, 16 November
Plumpton stages the only horse racing action on Monday afternoon, the ground at the Jumps fixture expected to ride on the soft side of good.
2:15pm Plumpton - Kamille Au Kanada
It’s a case of striking while the iron is hot for the Twiston-Davies team, who are represented by the seven-year-old Norman Fletcher in this Class 3 handicap hurdle, the mount of 5lb claimer Jamie Brace successful in a 18-runner conditional jockeys’ contest at Cheltenham just 3 days ago.
The son of No Risk At All escapes a penalty for that comfortable three length victory at Prestbury Park, a race in which the first three horses in the betting filled the other three places. While the claims of Norman Fletcher are there for all to see, the gelding had been on a losing run of 18 prior to that win, in which case I prefer the chances of Anthony Honeyball’s six-year-old mare KAMILLE AU KANADA.
The daughter of Tiger Groom has been beaten only once on her five outings over hurdles, that coming on her first start of the season at Chepstow last month when almost certainly in need of the run (led until headed when making a mistake 2 out). Since then the mount of 5lb claimer Chad Bament has recorded comfortable victories at Hereford, Hexham and Lingfield.
Running off a mark of 119 today, I think this improving performer has the potential to prove a lot better than that. Tom Lacey’s Tune In A Box runs off the same mark as when winning at Sandown eight days ago by an eased-down 8 lengths and is the other one to consider.
Recommendation: Kamille Au Kanada - 5/2 with bet365
3:45pm Plumpton - Bobbi’s Beauty (Nap)
This will be the first run over hurdles for Martin Keighley’s BOBBI’S BEAUTY (Nap) since the eight-year-old mare finished 4th of 7 in a Southwell handicap two and a half years ago when racing off a mark of 83. The daughter of Mahler has managed to win 5 of her 16 starts over fences in the meantime, the most recent at Stratford 7 days ago in a Challenger Mares’ Chase Series Qualifier.
The mount of 5lb claimer Freddie Keighley is expected to be given a rating in the mid 110’s when reassessed by the handicapper, but gets into this Class 5 novices’ handicap hurdle off a mark of 100. While that Stratford win came over 2m 5f, two of Bobbi’s Beauty’s wins have come over today’s trip of two miles.
James Owen’s Sir Edward Lear, a dual winner on the Flat, will need to improve significantly on his three runs to date over hurdles if he is to defy joint top weight, while the main danger to the selection is likely to come in the shape of Kotari from the Jamie & Josh Moore stable, the Nathaniel gelding most recently seen finishing third in a Flat Amateur Jockeys’ contest at Leicester last month.
Recommendation: Bobbi’s Beauty (Nap) - 5/2 with bet365
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win, and has shown a consistent profit against the bookmakers.
Since joining Free Bets in 2008, he has helped readers find the best value each day.
You can also follow Alan Kelly on X for more racing insight.
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