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Latest Profit & Loss Figures
Another excellent week with 5 winning days out of 7 and 5 from 6 winning naps (one non-runner) resulting in a profit of +£16.83 over the seven days.
- P/L for the week ending Sunday, 1 Feburary: +£16.83
- P/L for the year 2026 to date: +£23.38
- P/L for the year 2025: +£22.38
- P/L for the year 2024: +£200.42
- P/L since 1st September 2022: +£524.04
Alan Kelly's Tips - Thursday, 5 February
The ground for Huntingdon’s Listed Sidney Banks card on Thursday is expected to ride on the soft side of good, similar to those forecast for Doncaster’s meeting on Town Moor.
In contrast, heavy going is likely to be the case for the third British jumps meeting due to take place, that of Lingfield Park.
3:10pm Huntingdon - Act Of Innocence (Nap)
This Listed Sidney Bank Novices’ Hurdle has been won by some top class national hunt horses since its inauguration back in 1976, Seven Barrows trainer Nicky Henderson being responsible for three of the last 10 winners, in particular that of Shishkin in 2020. While there is unlikely to be anything of the calibre of that multiple Grade 1 winner among today’s 6 contenders, this extended 2m 3f contest is sure to provide plenty of clues with a view to the future.
While Fresh Perspective, Glance At Midnight, Tiddesley Wood and Lady Tadita have all shown form at a decent level, this looks like a rematch of the November Newbury maiden hurdle in which Henderson’s ACT OF INNOCENCE (Nap) ran out a comfortable winner over the Dan Skelton-trained Sinnatra, the two horses due to meet on the same terms today.
While the latter improved from that run to win in a canter at Sandown last month, Harry Skelton's mount may have to settle for second spot once again, despite Act Of Innocence, who left the Ditcheat stable of Paul Nicholls in October, having suffered a subsequent defeat at the Berkshire racecourse over the Christmas period.
Time may show that the concession of 20lb to Paul Nicholls’ unexposed Minella Yoga was asking the impossible of Act Of Innocence, who went down fighting by just three quarters of a length to a horse who would go on to finish a close third in a Grade 2 juvenile hurdle on Trials Day at Cheltenham just over a week ago.
Nico De Boinville’s mount can get his career back on track and a potential visit to the Cheltenham Festival with another victory in this Listed race for the Seven Barrows handler.
Recommendation: Act Of Innocence (Nap) - 11/10 with William Hill
3:35pm Doncaster - Cuban Court
Top weight Gentleman Bill has shown some promise on his first three starts over fences but may need a little help from the handicapper before opening his account off a current mark of 122. Daragh Bourke’s Busty Boy has proved ultra-consistent over fences but is almost certainly better over a longer trip than today’s extended 2m 4f, while The Winslow Boy, William Of York and Clonakilty will need to raise their game if they are to make an impact in this Go North Monet’s Garden Series Qualifier.
Jeremy Scott’s Another Fine Mess makes his debut over fences and is worth noting for any market confidence, while Mark Walford’s bottom weight Empty Nest would have a chance on his best form, although the stable has gone over a month now without a winner.
However, despite beating only one horse home on his second outing over fences at Taunton three weeks ago, I expect a much better effort from Neil King’s CUBAN COURT, who made a winning debut over fences on this course in December off a 2lb lower mark.
Jack Quinlan's mount didn’t look at home on his first visit to Taunton last time and clearly prefers this Town Moor track, the gelding’s last four visits to Doncaster resulting in form figures of 1-3-3-1. In receipt of weight from all but one of his rivals, I expect Cuban Court to go close with a repeat of that December victory of hot favourite Spadestep.
Recommendation: Cuban Court - 6/1 with bet365
4:30pm Lingfield - Bobbi’s Beauty
Gary & Josh Moore’s Angel’s Dream won a handicap over today’s course and distance under similar conditions towards the back-end of 2024 and will attempt to record a second victory over fences off today’s 3lb lower mark. Caoilin Quinn’s mount has disappointed on three subsequent starts however (two on this course) and is best watched at the moment.
In contrast, Katy Price’s El Rojo Grande is now on a hat-trick following recent wins at Market Rasen and Ffos Las, the nine-year-old’s finally coming good after finishing second in four of his previous nine starts over fences. Despite those two wins, Sean Houlihan’s mount may struggle to overturn the form of his first run of the season when fifth here in December, three lengths behind fellow rival BOBBI'S BEAUTY and now 4lb worse off with Martin Keighley’s eight-year-old mare.
While subsequently well-beaten at Warwick on the final day of last year, Bobbi’s Beauty made most of the running until making a bad mistake 4 out over that half a mile longer trip. The mount of 7lb claimer Freddie Keighley is better over today’s shorter distance and is fancied to end the winning run of El Rojo Grande, despite that horse being 6lb well-in ahead of a new future mark of 85.
Recommendation: Bobbi’s Beauty - 11/4 with bet365
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Freebets.com in 2008.
You can follow Alan Kelly on Twitter for more racing insight.
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