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A break-even week ending Sunday 30th August with a small profit of +£1.72 to a £1 level stake, although we did have three out of five winning naps (11/4, 11/4 (10p R4) and 4/7) plus a non-runner.
P/L for the week ending Sunday, 30 August: +£1.72
P/L for the year to date: +£157.90
P/L for the year 2025: +£22.38
P/L for the year 2024: +£200.42
P/L since 1st September 2022: +£658.56
Alan Kelly's Tips - Tuesday, 1 September
The going for Ripon’s card on Tuesday afternoon is expected to start on the soft side of good.
3:10pm Ripon - Star People
There is sure to be plenty of pace on for this nursery run over the minimum distance, with Ollie Pears’ top weight Lady Dublin and Roman Crystal from the Michael & David Easterby stable expected to take the field along. The former has recorded two wins in similar races over 6f and is unlikely to be inconvenienced by the drop back in trip.
With that in mind, the race could be set up nicely for the John & Sean Quinn-trained STAR PEOPLE, who has yet to open his account from five starts to date but has gone close on a couple of occasions. After being gelded in June, Jason Hart’s mount gave Karl Burke’s ⅓ favourite Great Oak a fright in a match at Ayr the following month when only caught in the dying strides at the Scottish track.
Since then, Star People has recorded excellent efforts in defeat at Nottingham and Newcastle and is fancied to get off the mark at the sixth attempt. The other one to consider is Middleham Park’s Lexington Boom, although I don't think that was a very strong race Grant Tuer’s charge won at Beverley last time.
Recommendation: Star People
4:13pm Ripon - Mister Sox (Each-Way)
Despite recent form figures reading 6-6-6-3-4-2, Paul Midgley’s top weight Almarada Prince has been running really well over the last few months, with creditable efforts in four big-field handicaps on the Knavesmire at York. Second of 21 behind Rajaking on his most recent start five weeks ago, David Nolan’s mount deserves to add to his two previous successes before the season comes to a close.
Following three runs for previous trainer George Boughey, including a victory in a Ripon maiden last September, the Havana Grey gelding Here Forever has improved with each of his three starts for the David & Nicola Barron stable, most recently when staying-on to finish 5th of 17 as an unfancied 50/1 chance at Ayr in July. Any market confidence in the only three-year-old in the race should be noted, but preference is for the Tim Easterby-trained MISTER SOX (Each-Way).
The son of Pivotal has won 6 of his 49 starts to date, two of which have come at the Garden Racecourse along with several decent efforts in defeat, most recently when 5th of 20, beaten a length and a half, in the Silver Cup here just over two weeks ago.
In a race dominated by those horses drawn high, Sean Kirrane’s mount did exceptionally well to finish as close as he did from stall 1. While not ideally drawn again coming out of stall 2, in a field of only 10, I expect the six-year-old to be tucked-in off the pace before staying-on strongly inside the closing stages.
Recommendation: Mister Sox (Each-Way)
5:18pm Ripon - Si White (Nap)
I expect the outcome of this 2m handicap to concern the two horses from the classic generation, James Tate’s Femme Fatale and Si White from the Sir Mark Prescott stable. On their most recent starts, the pair ran against each other over today’s trip on Lingfield’s all-weather surface three weeks ago, the former coming out on top by a head from Archie Watson’s Fabled Spirit with SI WHITE (Nap) a length and a half back in fifth place.
After quickening clear of his rivals turning for home, Si White looked like justifying his odds of 2/1 until Luke Morris’s mount weakened inside the closing stages of the race. Now 2lb better off with the winner, and sporting a visor for the first time, I expect today’s rider Dylan Hogan (the pair successful on Si White’s handicap debut at Southwell in July) to make his challenge a little later on a horse with a lot more potential than his current mark of 59 would suggest.
Recommendation: Si White (Nap)
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Free Bets in 2008.
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